Optimal Emission Tax with Endogenous Location Choice of Duopolistic Firms

Abstract

This study explores an optimal (pre-committed or ex-ante) environmental tax policy in a three-stage game in which polluting firms strategically choose the location of their plants after the government has chosen the optimal emission tax rate. We show not only that the optimal emission tax is non-decreasing with the declining cost of relocation (e.g., setup or fixed costs), or else, the progress of globalization but also that the firms may move back their relocated plants to the home country, causing the resulting welfare to decline. As a consequence, the domestic welfare varies in a non-monotonic way. We also show that such a counterintuitive non-monotonic relationship does not arise under time-consistent (ex-post) emission taxes.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The main difference between Markusen et al. (1993) and Motta and Thisse (1994) is that when the game begins in the latter model, firms have been established in their home country, implying that fixed setup (i.e., plant) costs are sunk. Motta and Thisse show that in the presence of large fixed sunk costs, relocation of firms may not be the most natural response to stringent environmental policies.

  2. 2.

    Nevertheless, we assume that the relocating firm exports its product to country \(H\) without transport costs. We discuss the case where there are transport costs in Sect. 5.3.

  3. 3.

    Several models consider an output market in a foreign country (Ulph and Valentini 2001; Petrakis and Xepapadeas 2003; Kayalica and Lahiri 2005). The introduction of an explicit goods market in country \(F\) into our model strengthens the incentive of firms to relocate their plant to country \(F\) without environmental policy. In response, the government of the home country \(H\) has to impose a lower emission tax rate in order to retain the firms. As a result, it is more likely that plant relocation to country \(F\) occurs even if the relocation cost \(f\) and emission tax rates are the same as in our model.

  4. 4.

    In the literature on environmental policies and endogenous plant location, there are several ways to distribute the profits earned by foreign affiliations. Markusen et al. (1993) assume that all profits go to the owners outside the concerned countries; hence, the profits of the firms are not included as a component of the social welfare function. In contrast, Motta and Thisse (1994), Hoel (1997), and Kayalica and Lahiri (2005) assume that a fixed proportion of profits flows to the home country and might reflect the ownership share of the firm or efforts of the multinational corporations not only to minimize their tax liabilities at home but also to finance their foreign operations and their investment. Although the last assumption might be the most natural one, depending on the magnitude of this proportion, we can potentially obtain a variety of results regarding the welfare effects of environmental policies. Hence, following Ulph and Valentini (2001) and Petrakis and Xepapadeas (2003), we consider only the simplest case where profits accrue to the country where the firm’s production plant is located because of lack of space.

  5. 5.

    Taking into account the facts that the functions \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) and \( W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) are concave in \(t\) and that the coefficients of \(t^{2}\) in (7) and (8) are negative, with \(\underset{ t\rightarrow \pm \infty }{\lim }W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)=\underset{t\rightarrow \pm \infty }{\lim }W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)=-\infty \), we can show that these two functions are inverse \(U\)-shaped in \(t\).

  6. 6.

    The government has to increase the optimal tax rate from \(t_{\textit{HH}}(f_{4})\) to \(t_{\textit{HF}}(f_{4})\) at point \(a\) in Fig. 5.

  7. 7.

    When the relocation cost reaches \(f_{2}\), the government wants both firms to stay in the home country \(H\). To this end, the government has to make the optimal tax rate decrease from \(t_{\textit{HF}}(f_{2})\) to \(t_{\textit{HH}}(f_{2})\) at point \( b \) in Fig. 5.

  8. 8.

    Wagner and Timmins (2009) used panel data on outward FDI flows of German manufacturing industries between the years 1996 and 2003 to test the PHH, and they found statistically significant evidence of the PHH for the chemical industry. More recently, Kalamova and Johnstone (2011) analyzed the relationship between environmental regulation and FDI over the period 2001–2007 using data on FDI flows of 27 countries taken from the OECD and their stringency levels of environmental regulation and find a strong positive impact on the FDI flows of stringency of environmental policy adopted by Germany, Scandinavian countries, Austria, Switzerland, and the Netherlands.

  9. 9.

    Detailed proofs of Proposition 8 are available from the corresponding author upon request.

  10. 10.

    The detailed derivations for (14 ), (15), (16), and the numerical examples we conducted are available from the corresponding author upon request.

  11. 11.

    Detailed derivations for (17), (18), and (19) are available from the corresponding author upon request.

  12. 12.

    When the emission tax rate is negative, the equilibrium location is given by \(HH\) irrespective of the value of \(f\), which is drawn in Fig. 1. To save space, we focus on the case where the tax rate is non-negative in this “Appendix”.

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Acknowledgments

We are grateful to participants at EAERE 17th Annual Conference, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (2009), the spring Annual Meeting of JER, Chiba (2010), SFU-NIESG Workshop, Vancouver, Canada (2013), and seminars at Kyoto University (2009) and Bond University, Australia (2010). Especially, we also appreciate very much the Co-editor, Andreas Lange, and two anonymous referees for their extremely helpful and constructive comments. Owing to their serious comments, earlier versions of the present paper have been significantly improved. The first author gratefully acknowledges the financial support from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), and the second and the third authors acknowledge the financial support provided by the Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science #25285089 and #24530255, respectively. Any remaining errors are ours.

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Correspondence to Masako Ikefuji.

Appendix

Appendix

Lemma 1

When \(0\le d\le 2/3\), \(W_{\textit{HH}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,A/2\right] \).Footnote 12

Proof

It follows from (13) that \(g_{3}(t;d)=18(W_{\textit{HH}}-W_{\textit{HF}})=0\) has one negative root, \(t_{3}\), and one positive root, \(t_{6\text {, }}\)for \( 0\le d\le 2/3\). Hence, \(g_{3}(t;d)\ge 0\) for \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{6} \right] \), while it is negative for \(t\notin \left[ t_{3},t_{6}\right] \). Moreover, it is easy to see that \(0<W_{\textit{FF}}<W_{\textit{HF}}\) \((0;d)\le W_{\textit{HH}}(0;d)\) and that \(W_{\textit{HF}}(A/2;d)<W_{\textit{FF}}<W_{\textit{HH}}(A/2;d)\). \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) is a concave function of \(t\) and, \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) is a constant function. Taken together, \( W_{\textit{HH}} \) is the largest in \(t\in \left[ 0,A/2\right] \). \(\square \)

Lemma 2

When \(2/3<d\le d^{*}\), \(W_{\textit{HF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{3} \right] \), while \(W_{\textit{HH}}\) is the largest if \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{5}\right] \) , where \(d^{*}\) represents the threshold value at which \( W_{\textit{HH}}(t_{3};d^{*})=W_{\textit{HF}}(t_{3};d^{*})=W_{\textit{FF}}\).

Proof

Differentiating \(W_{\textit{HH}}\) and \(W_{\textit{HF}}\) with respect to \(d\) yields

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{\partial W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)}{\partial d}=-\frac{2}{9}(t-A)^{2}<0\text { and } \frac{\partial W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)}{\partial d}=-\frac{1}{18}(A-2t)^{2}<0, \end{aligned}$$
(20)

for \(t<A/2\). This implies that the functions \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) and \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) are decreasing in \(d\), whereas the function \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) takes a constant value independently of \(d\). Hence, when \(d=d^{*}\), the functions \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) and \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) take a minimum value for each \(t\). We compare the welfare functions at \(d=d^{*}\). Because when \(2/3<d^{*}\), the quadratic equation \(g_{3}(t;d^{*})=0\) has two positive real roots, \(0<t_{3}<t_{6}\) , and because the graph of \(g_{3}(t;d^{*})\) is inverse U-shaped in \(t\), \( g_{3}(t;d^{*})\equiv 18\left[ W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d^{*})-W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d^{*}) \right] \le 0\) for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{3}\right] \) implies that \( W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d^{*})\ge W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d^{*})\) for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{3}\right] \). Next, we compare between \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d^{*})\) and \(W_{\textit{FF}}\). When \(t=0\),

$$\begin{aligned} W_{\textit{HF}}(0;d^{*})=\frac{1}{18}\left( 6-d^{*}\right) A^{2}>\frac{2}{9} A^{2}=W_{\textit{FF}}, \end{aligned}$$

where the inequality follows from the fact that \(d^{*}<15/7\), while \( W_{\textit{HF}}(t_{3};d^{*})=W_{FF\text { }}\) by definition of \(d^{*}\). Taken together, \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{3}\right] \).

Consider a case where \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{5}\right] \). Because \( g_{3}(t;d)\ge 0\) for \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{6}\right] \) and because \( t_{5}<t_{6}\), \(g_{3}(t;d)\ge 0\) for \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{5}\right] \). This implies that \(W_{\textit{HH}}\ge W_{\textit{HF}}\) for \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{5}\right] \). In addition, by definition of \(d^{*}\), \(W_{\textit{FF}}=W_{\textit{HF}}(t_{3}^{*};d^{*})<W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d^{*})\). Combining these facts, \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ t_{3},t_{5}\right] \). \(\square \)

Lemma 3

When \(d^{*}<d<5/4\), \(W_{\textit{HF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{4} \right] \), \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ t_{4},t_{2}\right] \) and \(W_{\textit{HH}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ t_{2},t_{5}\right] \).

Proof

For \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{4}\right] \) \(g_{2}(t;d)\le 0\) implies \(W_{\textit{FF}}\le W_{\textit{HF}}\). Because \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) and \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) are decreasing functions of \(d \), the intersection between the curves \(W_{\textit{HH}}(t;d)\) and \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) is situated below the horizontal line \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) for \(d^{*}\le d\). As shown in Fig. 5, we have \(t_{4}<t_{3}<t_{2}\). An inspection of Fig. 5 delivers the desired result. \(\square \)

Lemma 4

When \(5/4\le d\le 2\), \(W_{\textit{HF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{4} \right] \), whereas \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ t_{4},A^{2}/2 \right] \). When \(2<d\le 15/7\), \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{1}\right] \) or \(t\in \left[ t_{4},A^{2}/2\right] \), while \(W_{\textit{HF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ t_{1},t_{4}\right] \).

Proof

It follows from (11) that \(W_{\textit{HH}}\) is never the largest, because \( W_{\textit{HH}}\) cannot intersect \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) (recall that the quadratic equation \( g_{1}(t;d)=0\) has complex roots). Hence, we compare \(W_{\textit{HF}}\) with \(W_{\textit{FF}}\). When \(5/4\le d\le 2\), \(W_{\textit{HF}}(t;d)\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{4} \right] \) because \(g_{2}(t;d)\equiv 18\left[ W_{\textit{FF}}-W_{\textit{HF}}\right] \le 0\) for \(t\in \left[ 0,t_{4}\right] \), while \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in \left[ t_{4},A/2\right] \) because \(g_{2}(t;d)\ge 0\) for \(t\ge t_{4}\). When \( 2<\) \(d\le 15/7\), on the other hand, because \(g_{2}(t;d)\le 0\) for \(t\in [0,t_{1}]\), \(W_{\textit{FF}}\) is the largest for \(t\in [0,t_{1}]\). The rest of the proof is the same as others. \(\square \)

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Ikefuji, M., Itaya, Ji. & Okamura, M. Optimal Emission Tax with Endogenous Location Choice of Duopolistic Firms. Environ Resource Econ 65, 463–485 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-015-9914-0

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Keywords

  • Environmental policy
  • Globalization
  • Relocation
  • Welfare

JEL Classification

  • F18
  • H23
  • L13