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Positive and Negative Affective Forecasting in Remitted Individuals with Bipolar I Disorder, and Major Depressive Disorder, and Healthy Controls

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Abstract

Although emotional disturbances characterize mood disorders, little is known about the affective forecasts of these individuals. We examined forecasted intensity and accuracy for negative affect (NA) and positive affect (PA) among two remitted clinical groups: individuals with Bipolar I (BD; n = 31) and Major Depressive Disorder (MDD; n = 21), and healthy controls (CTL; n = 32). We also examined whether each group’s forecasting accuracy varied by valence. At the lab, participants forecasted their short-term (next day) and long-term (next week) NA and PA; then they completed a week of experience sampling. The MDD group forecasted lower PA and higher NA than the CTL group; the BD group’s forecasts varied across time frames. There were no group differences in forecasting accuracies. Regarding within group forecasting accuracy, the CTL group was more accurate in PA than NA; the BD group was similarly accurate across valence, and the MDD group’s accuracy varied based on the time frame.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Psychology, Washington University, Saint Louis, MO, USA

    Renee J. Thompson

  2. Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

    Aleksandr Spectre

  3. Department of Veteran Affairs, Center for Imaging of Neurodegenerative Diseases, San Francisco, CA, USA

    Philip S. Insel

  4. Department of Psychology, Hunter College, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA

    Douglas Mennin

  5. Department of Psychology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA

    Ian H. Gotlib

  6. Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of Colorado, 345 UCB Muenzinger D321C, Boulder, CO, 80309-0345, USA

    June Gruber

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  1. Renee J. Thompson
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  2. Aleksandr Spectre
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  3. Philip S. Insel
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  4. Douglas Mennin
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  5. Ian H. Gotlib
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  6. June Gruber
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Correspondence to June Gruber.

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Renee J. Thompson, Aleksandr Kogan, Philip Insel, Douglas Mennin, Ian H. Gotlib, June Gruber declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

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Informed consent procedures were followed in accordance with the ethical standards of the responsible committees on human experimentation at Yale University and the University of Colorado Boulder. Informed consent was obtained from all individual subjects participating in the study.

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Thompson, R.J., Spectre, A., S. Insel, P. et al. Positive and Negative Affective Forecasting in Remitted Individuals with Bipolar I Disorder, and Major Depressive Disorder, and Healthy Controls. Cogn Ther Res 41, 673–685 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10608-017-9840-2

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