Climatic Change

, Volume 110, Issue 3–4, pp 543–560 | Cite as

Climate change, sea level rise and rice: global market implications

  • Chi-Chung Chen
  • Bruce McCarlEmail author
  • Ching-Cheng Chang


Climate change will influence yields while sea level rise can inundate producing lands. The research reported investigates the individual and simultaneous effects of these factors on production, trade and consumption of rice the world’s number one food crop. A global rice trade model is utilized to do this. The results indicate that the combination of yield and sea level effects causes a significant reduction in production and an increase in rice prices which may have important policy implications for food security. Global rice production is reduced by 1.60% to 2.73% while global rice price increases by 7.14% to 12.77%. Sea level rise is particularly a risk factor in Bangladesh, Japan, Taiwan, Egypt, Myanmar and Vietnam. In the face of such developments, adaptation may well be desirable and thus an investigation is done over adaptation options of increased technical progress or trade liberalization with the results showing that both can mitigate such damages.


Rice Production Trade Liberalization Import Tariff Rice Price Rice Market 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Chi-Chung Chen
    • 1
  • Bruce McCarl
    • 2
    Email author
  • Ching-Cheng Chang
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of Applied EconomicsNational Chung Hsing UniversityTaichungTaiwan
  2. 2.Department of Agricultural EconomicsTexas A&M UniversityCollege StationUSA
  3. 3.Institute of EconomicsAcademia SinicaTaipeiTaiwan

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