Climatic Change

, Volume 109, Issue 3–4, pp 245–260 | Cite as

On the return period of the 2003 heat wave

Article

Abstract

Extremal events are difficult to model since it is difficult to characterize formally those events. The 2003 heat wave in Europe was not characterized by very high temperatures, but mainly the fact that night temperature were no cool enough for a long period of time. Hence, simulation of several models (either with heavy tailed noise or long range dependence) yield different estimations for the return period of that extremal event.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Université Rennes 1, CREM-CRESTRennesFrance
  2. 2.École PolytechniquePalaiseau cedexFrance

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