Climatic Change

, 96:97 | Cite as

Impact of climate-related disasters on human migration in Mexico: a spatial model

  • Sergio O. Saldaña-ZorrillaEmail author
  • Krister Sandberg


The great human-environmental diversity of Mexico provides a framework for an initial understanding of the wide disparities between rich and poor. Mexico is still dominated in many regions by agriculture, and during the last 25 years, weather-related disasters have accounted for about 80% of economic losses. This is dramatic, especially considering that this sector produces only ca. 4% of GDP while providing a livelihood to one-quarter of the country’s population. Based on a spatial model, this paper tests the contribution of natural disasters to catalyzing the emigration process in vulnerable regions throughout Mexico. Besides coping and adaptive capacity, we assess the effect of economic losses from disasters in combination with adverse production and trade conditions during the 1990s in triggering out-migration.


Income Ordinary Little Square Natural Disaster Spatial Weight Matrix Spatial Error Model 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  • Sergio O. Saldaña-Zorrilla
    • 1
    Email author
  • Krister Sandberg
    • 2
  1. 1.Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera (CCA)Universidad Nacional Autonóma de México (UNAM)México, DFMexico
  2. 2.Swedish Institute for Transport and Communicaton Analysis (SIKA)ÖstersundSweden

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