Climatic Change

, Volume 87, Supplement 1, pp 1–6 | Cite as

Overview of the California climate change scenarios project

  • Daniel R. Cayan
  • Amy L. Luers
  • Guido Franco
  • Michael Hanemann
  • Bart Croes
  • Edward Vine
Article

Abstract

In response to an Executive Order by California Governor Schwarzenegger, an evaluation of the implications to California of possible climate changes was undertaken using a scenario-based approach. The “Scenarios Project” investigated projected impacts of climate change on six sectors in the California region. The investigation considered the early, middle and later portions of the twenty-first century, guided by a set of IPCC Fourth Assessment global climate model runs forced by higher and lower greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Each of these climate simulations produce substantial impacts in California that would require adaptations from present practices or status. The most severe impacts could be avoided, however, if emissions can be held near the lower end of global greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2007

Authors and Affiliations

  • Daniel R. Cayan
    • 1
  • Amy L. Luers
    • 2
  • Guido Franco
    • 3
  • Michael Hanemann
    • 4
  • Bart Croes
    • 5
  • Edward Vine
    • 6
  1. 1.Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of OceanographyUCSD, U.S. Geological SurveyLa JollaUSA
  2. 2.Union of Concerned ScientistsBerkeleyUSA
  3. 3.California Energy CommissionSacramentoUSA
  4. 4.University of California, BerkeleyBerkeleyUSA
  5. 5.California Air Resources BoardSacramentoUSA
  6. 6.California Institute for Energy and EnvironmentSacramentoUSA

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