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Climatic Change

, Volume 87, Issue 3–4, pp 471–487 | Cite as

A new method to reconstruct low-frequency climatic variability from documentary sources: application to winter rainfall series in Andalusia (Southern Spain) from 1501 to 2000

  • F. S. RodrigoEmail author
Article

Abstract

In this work a simple approach to reconstruct climatic variables from documentary data is proposed. This approach may be especially useful when an overlapping period between documentary and instrumental data is not available. On the other hand, the method avoids use artificial statistical procedures to rescale the reconstructed series and overcome the problem of the loss of variance. The methodology allows reconstruct changes in the mean value and standard deviation of the climate variables. It is based on accounting the number of extreme events in past, and inferring mean value and standard deviation using the assumption of normal distribution for the climatic variables. The application of the method is only possible if a sufficient number of events is recorded in the data base. It is useful to reconstruct changes in the long-time scale, using at least decadal periods as time units. The method is applied to winter rainfall series corresponding to 30-year periods in Andalusia (southern Spain), obtaining results comparable with those of previous analysis.

Keywords

North Atlantic Oscillation Reference Period Instrumental Data Documentary Source North Atlantic Oscillation Phase 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2007

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Applied PhysicsUniversity of AlmeríaAlmeríaSpain

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