Cybernetics and Systems Analysis

, Volume 51, Issue 1, pp 125–133

Systems Analysis of Robust Strategic Decisions to Plan Secure Food, Energy, and Water Provision Based on the Stochastic Globiom Model

  • T. Yu. Ermolieva
  • Yu. M. Ermoliev
  • P. Havlik
  • A. Mosnier
  • D. Leclere
  • F. Kraksner
  • N. Khabarov
  • M. Obersteiner
Article

Abstract

The paper focuses on the development of adequate approaches to the systems analysis of geographically-explicit robust decisions for long-term consistent management of interdependent land use systems. We introduce a stochastic partial equilibrium Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) enabling to analyze secure food, energy, and water provision accounting for interdependencies between countries and global diversification of systemic risks.

Keywords

secure food, energy, water provision GLOBIOM stochastic optimization robust strategic and operative decisions global diversification of systemic risks risk measures VaR and CVaR 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • T. Yu. Ermolieva
    • 1
  • Yu. M. Ermoliev
    • 1
  • P. Havlik
    • 1
  • A. Mosnier
    • 1
  • D. Leclere
    • 1
  • F. Kraksner
    • 1
  • N. Khabarov
    • 1
  • M. Obersteiner
    • 1
  1. 1.Institute for Applied Systems AnalysisLaxenburgAustria

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