A technique of quantitative risk assessment of the functionality of production equipment on the basis of a probabilistic mathematical model is proposed. A method of determining and modeling risks in transitions of the elements of production equipment from a normal state into a state of physical deterioration with the use of an analytic dependence of the magnitude of the predicted service life on accident factors is developed. It is shown that identification and modeling may be used in the assessment of operational risks as a tool necessary for planning and performing repairs of production equipment.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
E. A. Petrovskiy and M. V. Gagina, “A study of Markov models of rates of failure of pump plants in an oil and gas complex,” Izv. Vys. Ucheb. Zaved. Neft i Gaz, No. 1, 106–110 (2016).
E. A. Petrovskiy, I. B. Lebedev, and N. A. Mel’nikova, “Systems analysis and optimization of quality costs,” Stand. Kachestvo, No. 9, 78 (2003).
Federal Law (July 21, 1997) No. 116–FZ, On Industrial Safety of Dangerous Production Facilities, with changes and additions, edition of July 13, 2015, No. 233-FZ.
E. A. Petrovskiy, V. V. Bukhtiyarov, I. V. Savich, et al., “The FMEA risk analysis of oil and gas process facilities with hazard assessment based on fuzzy logic,” Modern Appl. Sci., 9, No. 5, 25–37 (2015).
E. A. Petrovskiy and M. V. Gagina, “Prediction of risk and accident rate in technical systems of an oil and gas complex,” Tr. Mezhd. Nauch. Shkoly MABR (2015), pp. 206–209.
A. V. Kazantseva and E. A. Petrovskiy, “Mathematical experiment design and increasing the level of technical maintenance of centrifugal pumps of pipelines,” Glob. Nauch. Potentsial, No. 2, 43–47 (2013).
E. A. Petrovskii and M. V. Gagina, “Assuring reliability and safety of the main pipelines of an oil and gas complex based on the use of the technique of failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA),” Proc. 8th Int. Sci. Techn. Conf. Reliability and Safety of Main Transport Pipelines (2014), pp. 40–41.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
Translated from Khimicheskoe i Neftegazovoe Mashinostroenie, No. 9, pp. 42–44, September, 2016.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Petrovskii, E.A., Bukhtoyarov, V.V. & Starostina, E.O. Risk Assessment for the Elements of Production Equipment. Chem Petrol Eng 52, 642–646 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10556-017-0246-5
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10556-017-0246-5