Aquaculture International

, Volume 23, Issue 2, pp 523–534 | Cite as

The impact of climate change on salinity intrusion and Pangasius (Pangasianodon Hypophthalmus) farming in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam

  • Tran Thi Ngoc TrieuEmail author
  • Nguyen Thanh Phong


The combined impact of sea level rise, changes in the upstream freshwater flow, and tidal regime on salinity intrusion that affects Pangasius (Pangasianodon hypophthalmus) farming in the Mekong Delta was assessed in this study. Salinity intrusion was simulated for the whole Mekong Delta by a 1D numerical model. The scenario derived from the SRES B2 climate change projection for Vietnam by the year 2100 (0.73 m of sea level rise and 29 % reduction of the Mekong River flow in the dry season). The simulated results suggest that the saline water will shift landward by 70–80 km which covers almost 63 % area of the Mekong Delta. Furthermore, it shows that the Pangasius farming area will be reduced by approximately 11 % with the shrinkage of the freshwater zone due to the salinity intrusion.


Climate change Pangasius farming Salinity intrusion Scenario Sea level rise 



The authors gratefully acknowledge Professor Le Song Giang (Fluid Mechanics Department, Ho Chi Minh city University of Technology, Vietnam) whose software MK4 has been used.


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Atmosphere and Ocean Research InstituteThe University of TokyoKashiwaJapan
  2. 2.Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringNagaoka University of TechnologyNagaokaJapan

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