Evaluating Child Welfare Policies with Decision-Analytic Simulation Models

  • Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert
  • Stephanie L. Bailey
  • Michael S. Hurlburt
  • Jinjin Zhang
  • Lonnie R. Snowden
  • Fred Wulczyn
  • John Landsverk
  • Sarah M. Horwitz
Original Paper

DOI: 10.1007/s10488-011-0370-z

Cite this article as:
Goldhaber-Fiebert, J.D., Bailey, S.L., Hurlburt, M.S. et al. Adm Policy Ment Health (2012) 39: 466. doi:10.1007/s10488-011-0370-z

Abstract

The objective was to demonstrate decision-analytic modeling in support of Child Welfare policymakers considering implementing evidence-based interventions. Outcomes included permanency (e.g., adoptions) and stability (e.g., foster placement changes). Analyses of a randomized trial of KEEP—a foster parenting intervention—and NSCAW-1 estimated placement change rates and KEEP’s effects. A microsimulation model generalized these findings to other Child Welfare systems. The model projected that KEEP could increase permanency and stability, identifying strategies targeting higher-risk children and geographical regions that achieve benefits efficiently. Decision-analytic models enable planners to gauge the value of potential implementations.

Keywords

Child Welfare Foster home care Public policy Evidence-based practice Computer simulation 

Supplementary material

10488_2011_370_MOESM1_ESM.pdf (184 kb)
Supplementary material 1 (PDF 184 kb)

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert
    • 1
  • Stephanie L. Bailey
    • 1
  • Michael S. Hurlburt
    • 2
  • Jinjin Zhang
    • 3
  • Lonnie R. Snowden
    • 4
  • Fred Wulczyn
    • 5
  • John Landsverk
    • 3
  • Sarah M. Horwitz
    • 1
  1. 1.Stanford Health PolicyStanford UniversityStanfordUSA
  2. 2.School of Social WorkUniversity of Southern CaliforniaLos AngelesUSA
  3. 3.Child and Adolescent Services Research CenterRady Children’s HospitalSan DiegoUSA
  4. 4.School of Public HealthUniversity of California BerkeleyBerkeleyUSA
  5. 5.Chapin Hall, University of ChicagoChicagoUSA

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