Review of World Economics

, Volume 145, Issue 1, pp 133–154 | Cite as

Die another day: duration in German import trade

Original Paper


International trade patterns at the product level are surprisingly dynamic. The majority of trade relationships exist for just a few, often only one to three, years. In this paper, I examine empirically the duration in German import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005. I find that survival probabilities are affected by exporter characteristics, product type and market structure. Specifically, I show that the duration of exporting a product to Germany is longer for products obtained from countries that are economically large and geographically close to Germany; for products with large trade value and a low elasticity of substitution; and for trade pairs that command a large share of the German import market and are characterized by two-way trade.


Survival Product Relationship Pattern 

JEL Classification

F14 F19 C14 C41 


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Copyright information

© Kiel Institute 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.KOF Swiss Economic InstituteETH ZurichZurichSwitzerland
  2. 2.Department of EconomicsFree University BerlinBerlinGermany

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