Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv

, Volume 90, Issue 2, pp 299–321 | Cite as

The effects of vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany

  • Reinhard Hujer
  • Stephan L. Thomsen
  • Christopher Zeiss


Vocational training programmes have been the most important active labour market policy instrument in Germany in the last years. However, the still unsatisfying situation of the labour market has raised doubt on the efficiency of these programmes. In this paper, we analyse the effects of the participation in vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany. Based on administrative data for the time between the October 1999 and December 2002 of the Federal Employment Administration1, we apply a bivariate mixed proportional hazards model. By doing so, we are able to use the information of the timing of treatment as well as observable and unobservable influences to identify the treatment effects. The results show that a participation in vocational training prolongates the unemployment duration in Eastern Germany. Furthermore, the results suggest that locking-in effects are a serious problem of vocational training programmes.


Vocational training programme evaluation duration analysis treatment effect JEL J64 J24 I28 J68 


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2006

Authors and Affiliations

  • Reinhard Hujer
    • 1
  • Stephan L. Thomsen
    • 2
  • Christopher Zeiss
    • 3
  1. 1.University Frankfurt/M, IZA, ZEW) Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity Frankfurt/MainFrankfurt/M
  2. 2.Zentrum für Europäische WirtschaftsforschungMannheim
  3. 3.Faculty of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity Frankfurt/MainFrankfurt/M

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