Abstract
Background
The epidemiology of secondary cancers in childhood cancer survivors has been unknown in Asian countries. Our aim is to assess the incidence and risk factors for secondary cancers through a nationwide survey in Japan.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study comprising 10,069 children who were diagnosed with cancer between 1980 and 2009 was conducted in 15 Japanese hospitals. The cumulative incidence rate was calculated using death as the competing risk and compared by the Gray method. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was defined as the ratio of the number of observed cancers divided by the number of expected cancers. The risk factors were analyzed using Cox regression analysis.
Results
One hundred and twenty-eight patients (1.3 %) developed secondary cancers within a median follow-up of 8.4 years. The cumulative incidence rate was 1.1 % (95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.9–1.4) at 10 years and 2.6 % (95 % CI 2.1–3.3) at 20 years after primary cancer diagnosis. Sensitivity analysis, limited to 5-year survivors (n = 5,387), confirmed these low incidence rates. The SIR of secondary cancers was 12.1 (95 % CI 10.1–14.4). In the Cox analysis, the hazard ratios for secondary cancers were 3.81 (95 % CI 1.53–9.47) for retinoblastoma, 2.78 (95 % CI 1.44–5.38) for bone/soft tissue sarcomas, and 1.81 (95 % CI 1.16–2.83) for allogeneic stem cell transplantation.
Conclusions
The cumulative incidence of secondary cancers in children in Japan was not high; however, the SIR was relatively high. Retinoblastoma or sarcoma in addition to allogeneic stem cell transplantation were significant risk factors for secondary cancers.
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Abbreviations
- SIR:
-
Standardized incidence ratio
- CI:
-
Confidence interval
- CCSS:
-
Childhood Cancer Survivor Study
- BCCSS:
-
British Childhood Cancer Survivor Study
- AML:
-
Acute myeloid leukemia
- MDS:
-
Myelodysplastic syndrome
- AER:
-
Absolute excess risk
- ALL:
-
Acute lymphoblastic leukemia
- CML:
-
Chronic myeloid leukemia
- NHL:
-
Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma
- PNET:
-
Primitive neuroectodermal tumor
- HR:
-
Hazard ratio
- OS:
-
Overall survival
- OR:
-
Odds ratio
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Acknowledgments
The authors thank the medical staff of the following participating hospitals: (1) Pediatrics, Tohoku University School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan. (2) Pediatrics, St. Luke’s International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan. (3) Pediatrics and Child Health, Nihon University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan. (4) Child Cancer Center, National Center for Child Health and Development, Tokyo, Japan. (5) Hematology and Oncology, Shizuoka Children’s Hospital, Shizuoka, Japan. (6) Pediatrics, Niigata Cancer Center, Niigata, Japan. (7) Pediatrics, Mie University Graduate School of Medicine, Mie, Japan. (8) Hematology/Oncology, Osaka Medical Center and Research Institute for Maternal and Child Health, Osaka, Japan. (9) Pediatrics, Hiroshima University Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan. (10) Pediatrics, National Kyushu Cancer Center, Fukuoka, Japan. (11) Pediatrics, Kurume University School of Medicine, Kurume, Japan. (12) Pediatrics, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan. (13) Hematology, Kanagawa Children’s Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan. (14) Pediatrics, Sapporo Hokuyu Hospital, Sapporo, Japan. (15) Pediatrics, Kyoto University School of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.
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Funding
This work was supported by a research grant ‘Research on the construction of a long term follow-up center to know childhood cancer incidence and to evaluate the late effects and secondary cancers after childhood cancers’’ from the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare and in part by a grant from and a research grant from the St. Luke’s Life Science Institute.
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Supplemental Fig. 1
Overall survival proportions of 2-month survivors (PDF 49 kb)
Supplemental Fig. 2
Comparison of secondary cancer distribution among previous reports (all/2-month survivors and 5-year survivors) (PDF 77 kb)
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Ishida, Y., Qiu, D., Maeda, M. et al. Secondary cancers after a childhood cancer diagnosis: a nationwide hospital-based retrospective cohort study in Japan. Int J Clin Oncol 21, 506–516 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10147-015-0927-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10147-015-0927-z