Heterogeneous ambiguity attitudes: a field experiment among small-scale stock investors in China
Abstract
We conducted quasi-field experiments in Chinese brokerage houses to investigate how investors react to ambiguity relative to quantifiable risks and the degree of heterogeneity in these reactions. Our experiment consists of three sections; a background survey; individual self-reports of emotional states; and a series of individual portfolio choice questions involving ambiguous assets and assets with a known probability of success. We calculate an index of ambiguity aversion that controls for risk aversion through a series of simple choices and demonstrate its outside validity. We find a significant degree of heterogeneity in ambiguity attitudes and discuss some demographic or emotional factors that might contribute to this heterogeneity. We also discuss the correlation between ambiguity attitudes and risk attitudes. By conducting these experiments in China, we were able to measure the degree of ambiguity aversion among a sample of experienced and accessible investors who face ambiguous decisions on a daily basis.
Keywords
Ambiguity attitudes Ambiguity aversion Field experiment Individual investorsJEL Classification
D81 C93 G02Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
- Ahn D, Choi S, Gale D, Kariv S (2011) Estimating ambiguity aversion in a portfolio choice experiment. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Anagol S, Bennett S, Bryan G, Davenport T, Hite N, Karlan D, Lagunes P, McConnell M (2008) There’s something about ambiguity. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Bossaerts P, Ghirardato P, Guarnaschelli S, Zame W (2010) Ambiguity in asset markets: theory and experiments. Rev Financ Stud 23(4): 1325–1359CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Camerer C, Weber M (1992) Recent developments in modeling preferences: uncertainty and ambiguity. J Risk Uncertain 5: 325–370CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cao HH, Wang T, Zhang HH (2005) Model uncertainty, limited market participation, and asset prices. Rev Financ Stud 18(4): 1219–1251CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Charness G, Gneezy U (2003) Portfolio choice and risk attitudes: an experiment. Econ Inquiry 48(1): 133–146CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Chen Y, Katuščák P, Ozdenoren E (2007) Sealed bid auctions with ambiguity: theory and experiments. J Econ Theory 136: 513–535CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cohen M, Tallon J-M, Vergnaud J-C (2011) An experimental investigation of imprecison attitude and its relation with risk attitude and impatience. Theory Decis 71(1): 81–109CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Easley D, O’Hara M (2009) Ambiguity and nonparticipation: the role of regulation. Rev Financ Stud 22(5): 1817–1843CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Ellsberg D (1961) Risk, ambiguity and the savage axioms. Q J Econ 75: 643–669CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Engle-Warnick J, Escobal J, Laszlo S (2007) Ambiguity aversion as a predictor of technology choice: experimental evidence from Peru. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Feng L, Seasholes MS (2008) Individual investors and gender similarities in an emerging stock market. Pacific-Basin Finance J 16(1–2): 44–60CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Fox CR, Tversky A (1995) Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance. Q J Econ 110(3): 585–603CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Ghirardato P, Maccheroni F, Marinacci M (2004) Differentiating ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. J Econ Theory 118: 133–173CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gilboa I, Schmeidler D (1989) Maxmin expected utility with a non-unique prior. J Math Econ 18: 141–153CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Halevy Y (2007) Ellsberg revisited: an experimental study. Econometrica 75(2): 503–536CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hopfensitz A, van Winden F (2008) Dynamic choice, independence and emotions. Theory Decis 64(2–3): 249–300CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hsu M, Bhatt M, Adolphs R, Trane D, Camerer C (2004) Neural systems responding to degrees of uncertainty in human decision-making. Science 310: 1680–1683CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kahneman D, Krueger AB, Schkade DA, Schwarz N, Stone AA (2004) A survey method for characterizing daily life experience: the day reconstruction method. Science 306(5702): 1776–1780CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Knight FH (1921) Risk, uncertainty, and profit. Houghton Mifflin, BostonGoogle Scholar
- Sarin RK, Weber M (1993) Effects of ambiguity in market experiments management. Science 39: 602–615Google Scholar
- Schmeidler D (1989) Subjective probabilities and expected utility without additivity. Econometrica 57: 571–587CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Spielberger CD, Gorsuch RL (1983) Manual for the state-trait anxiety inventory. Consulting Psychologists Press, Palo AltoGoogle Scholar
- Spielberger CD, Gorsuch RL (1970) STAI manual for the state-trait anxiety inventory. Consulting Psychologists Press, Palo AltoGoogle Scholar