Theoretical and Applied Climatology

, Volume 123, Issue 3–4, pp 461–471 | Cite as

Changes of Meiyu system in the future under A1B scenario simulated by MIROC_Hires model

Original Paper
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Abstract

The Meiyu/Baiu/Changma is an important and unique persistent rainfall over East Asian during the northward progress of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) from late spring to middle summer. In this study, changes of Meiyu system under global warming are examined by MIROC_Hires coupled model. The results reveal that the Meiyu system becomes weaker in the warmer future: the large precipitation center shifts to northern China; ratio of Meiyu rainfall to total summer precipitation ratio decreases. For the three-dimensional atmospheric circulation, the configuration of upper and lower jets benefits the heavy rainfall located over the northern China, associated with abundant water vapor transporting to northern China. The heterogeneous warming over land and sea may be a possible reason for the changes of Meiyu system. Larger thermal contrast is indicated between the Asian continent and the western Pacific during the Meiyu period, which may result in the enhanced southerly with abundant water vapor arriving at northern China. Therefore, rainfall over Meiyu region may be suspended.

Keywords

East Asian Summer Monsoon Western Pacific Subtropical High Rain Belt Anticyclone Anomaly East Asian Summer Monsoon Index 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.
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Notes

Acknowledgments

This study is jointly sponsored by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 51190091, 41105044, 41205038, and 41130963) and the Open Project Program of State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment (SKLLQG1308). This work was supported by the Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change. The numerical calculations in this paper have been done on the IBM Blade cluster system in the High Performance Computing Center (HPCC) of Nanjing University. We would like to thank the anonymous reviewers and the editor for their insightful comments and scientific hints, which greatly improve the quality of the study.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Wien 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic EngineeringHohai UniversityNanjingChina
  2. 2.School of Atmospheric SciencesNanjing UniversityNanjingChina
  3. 3.State key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth EnvironmentChinese Academy of SciencesXi’anChina

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