Theoretical and Applied Climatology

, Volume 110, Issue 1–2, pp 35–53 | Cite as

Seasonal temperature and precipitation variability during the last 60 years in a Mediterranean climate area of Northeastern Spain: a multivariate analysis

  • M. C. Ramos
  • J. C. Balasch
  • J. A. Martínez-Casasnovas
Original Paper

Abstract

This paper presents the analysis of mean daily temperature and precipitation from 1950 to 2010 in an area with Mediterranean climate of NE Spain including some coastal areas near Barcelona and the Penedès and Camp de Tarragona Depressions located between the Coastal Mountain Range and the Mediterranean Sea. Their variability, with especial attention to the frequency of extreme events, was analysed by using 18 indexes: seven for temperature and 11 for precipitation were analysed for four meteorological observatories. A multivariate analysis was performed in order to analyse the temperature and precipitation trends. During the analysed period, an increase in mean annual maximum temperature was observed in all observatories ranging between 1.5 and 2.2°C associated with an increase in the number of days with high extreme temperatures. Minimum temperature only increased significantly in the coast observatories (about 1.4°C). By seasons, temperature trends were greater at Vilafranca del Penedès and Barcelona observatories and lower at Reus airport. Maximum spring temperature increased between 1.5 and 2.5°C, summer temperature increased between 1.6 and 2.5°C and autumn temperature increased by up to 2.2°C. Precipitation presented a high variability from year to year, without significant trends. The most significant results were related to the dry conditions observed in spring 2000s, the wet conditions recorded in summer 2000s and 1980s and the longer dry periods in autumn 2000s. The increase of temperatures determined the increase of evapotranspiration, and due to the higher irregular distribution, water deficits for crop development were recorded. An advance of phenological dates and a reduction of grape yield are associated to climate trends.

Keywords

Winter Precipitation North Atlantic Oscillation Index Precipitation Trend Spring Precipitation Klein Tank 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Notes

Acknowledgement

This work was developed in the framework of the research project AGL2009-08353 financed by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation.

References

  1. Alexandersson H (1986) A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data. J Climatol 6:661–675CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  2. Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, Smith M (1998) Crop evapotranspiration guidelines for computing crop water requirements. FAO, Irrigation and Drainage Papers 56, RomeGoogle Scholar
  3. Altava-Ortiz V, Llasat MC, Ferrari E, Atencia A, Sirangelo B (2011) Monthly rainfall changes in Central and Western Mediterranean basins, at the end of the 20th and beginning of the 21st centuries. Int J Climatol 31:1943–1958CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Amann R (2008) Wie sich das Klima verändert hat. Der Badische Winzer 01(2008):32–35Google Scholar
  5. Arnell NW (2004) Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Chang 14:31–52CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. Bladé I, Liebmann B, Fortuny D, van Oldenborgh GJ (2011) Observed and simulated impacts of the summer NAO in Europe: implications for projected drying in the Mediterranean region. Clim Dyn (online). doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1195-x
  7. Brunet M, Jones PD, Sigró J, Saladié O, Aguilar E, Moberg A, Della-Marta PM, Lister D, Walter A, López D (2007) Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850–2005. J Geophys Res D: Atmospheres 112 (12), art. no. D12117, pp 29Google Scholar
  8. Brunetti M, Maugeru M, Nanni T, Navarra A (2002) Droughts and extreme events in regional daily Italian precipitation series. Int J Climatol 22:543–558CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. de Luis M, González-Hidalgo JC, Longares LA, Štepánek P (2009) Seasonal precipitation trends in the Mediterranean Iberian Peninsula in second half of 20th century. Int J Climatol 29(9):1312–1323CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. de Luis M, Brunetti M, Gonzalez-Hidalgo JC, Longares LA, Martin-Vide J (2010) Changes in seasonal precipitation in the Iberian Peninsula during 1946–2005. Glob Planet Chang 74:27–33CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. Easterling DR, Meehl GA, Parmensan C, Chagnon SA, Karl T, Mearns LO (2000) Climate extremes: observation, modelling and impacts. Science 289:2068–2074CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. EU Directorate Generale Science, Research and Development (1997) Climate change and agriculture in Europe. Assessment of impacts and adoptions. European Commission. Report EUR 17470 ENGoogle Scholar
  13. Frich P, Alexander LV, Della-Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Klein Tank AMG, Peterson T (2002) Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Clim Res 19:193–212CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. Giorgi F, Lionello P (2008) Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob Planet Chang 63:90–104CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Gong X, Richman MB (1995) On the application of cluster analysis to growing season precipitation data in North America east of the Rockies. J Climate 8(4):897–931CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. González-Hidalgo JC, Brunetti M, de Luis M (2010) Precipitation trends in Spanish hydrological divisions, 1946-2005. Clim Res 43(3):215–228CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  17. Goubanova K (2007) Extremes in temperature and precipitation around the Mediterranean basin in an ensemble of future climate scenario simulations. Global Planet Chang 57:27–42CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  18. Hanson R, Richard WG (2007) Atmospheric hazards: consecutive wet and dry days in Atlantic Canada. Meteorological Service of Canada—Atlantic Science Report Series 2007-02 .26 pp. Cat. No. En57-36/2007-2EGoogle Scholar
  19. Hargreaves GH, Samani ZA (1985) Reference crop evapotranspiration from temperature. Applied Eng Agric 1(2):96–99Google Scholar
  20. Hirschi M, Seneviratne SI (2010) Intra-annual link of spring and autumn precipitation over France. Clim Dynam 35(7):1207–1218CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van de Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (eds) (2001) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University PressGoogle Scholar
  22. IDESCAT (2007) Municipis de Catalunya: població, superfície i altitud. Institut d’Estadística de Catalunya. http://www.idescat.net/cat/idescat/publicacions/anuari/aec_pdf/aec-cap20.pdf. Accessed 3 September 2007
  23. Iglesias A, Garrote L, Flores F, Moneo M (2007) Challenges to manage the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean. Water Resour Manag 21(5):227–288Google Scholar
  24. Iglesias A, Garrote L, Quiroga S, Moneo M (2009) Impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe. PESETA-Agriculture study EUR 24107 EN—2009, Joint Research Centre. Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, JRC 55386, European CommissionGoogle Scholar
  25. IPCC (2007) Fourth assessment report: climate change 2007. Contribution of Working Group I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Core Writing Team Pachauri RK, Reisinger A (Eds), IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland. pp 104Google Scholar
  26. Izaurralde RC, Rosenberg NJ, Brownb RA, Thomson AM (2003) Integrated assessment of Hadley Center (HadCM2) climate-change impacts on agricultural productivity and irrigation water supply in the conterminous United States. Part II. Regional agricultural production in 2030 and 2095. Agr Forest Meteorol 117:97–122CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  27. Jones GV, Davis R (2000) Climate influences on grapevine phenology, grape composition and wine production and quality for Bordeaux, France. Am J Enol Vitic 51(3):249–261Google Scholar
  28. Karl TR (1998) Regional trends and variations of temperature and precipitation. In Watson RT, Zyinyowera MC, Moss RH (Eds), The regional impacts of climate change. An assessment of vulnerability. IPCC. Cambridge University Press. pp. 411-437Google Scholar
  29. Klein Tank AMG, Können GP (2003) Trend in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe 1946-99. J Climate 16:3665–3680CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  30. Klein Tank AMG, Wijngaard JB, Können GP, Böhm R, Demarée G, Gocheva A, Mileta M, Pashiardis S, Hejkrlik L, Kern-Hansen C, Heino R, Bessemoulin P, Müller-Westermeier G, Tzanakou M, Szalai S, Pálsdóttir T, Fitzgerald D, Rubin S, Capaldo M, Maugeri M, Leitass A, Bukantis A, Aberfeld R, Van Engelen AFV, Forland E, Mietus M, Coelho F, Mares C, Razuvaev V, Nieplova E, Cegnar T, Antonio López J, Dahlström B, Moberg A, Kirchhofer W, Ceylan A, Pachaliuk O, Alexander LV, Petrovic P (2002) Daily data set of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European climate assessment. Int J Climatol 22:1441–1453CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. Lana X, Burgueño A, Martínez MD, Serra C (2009) A review of statistical analyses on monthly and daily rainfall in Catalonia. Tethys 6:15–29Google Scholar
  32. Libiseller C, Grimvall A (2002) Performance of partial Mann–Kendall test for trend detection in the presence of covariates. Environmetrics 13:71–84CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  33. Lopez-Bustins JA, Martin-Vide J, Sanchez-Lorenzo A (2008) Iberia winter rainfall trends based upon changes in teleconnection and circulation patterns. Glob Planet Chang 63:171–176CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  34. Lund R, Seymour L, Kafadar K (2001) Temperature trends in the United Status. Environmetrics 12(7):673–690CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  35. Middelkoop H, Daamen K, Gellens D, Grabs W, Kwadijk JCJ, Lang H, Parmet BWAH, Schädler B, Schulla J, Wilke K (2001) Impact of climate change on hydrological regimes and water resources management in the Rhine Basin. Clim Chang 49(1–2):105–128CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  36. Milligan GW (1980) An examination of the effect of six types of error perturbation on fifteen clustering algorithms. Psichrometrika 45:325–342CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  37. Mullins MG, Bouquet A, Williams LE (1992) Biology of the grapevine. Cambridge University Press, Great Britain, p 239Google Scholar
  38. Nelson GC, Rosegrant MW, Koo J, Robertson R, Sulser T, Zhu T, Ringler C, Msangi S, Palazzo A, Batka M, Magalhaes M, Valmonte-Santos R, Ewing M, Lee D (2009) Climate change: impact on agriculture and costs of adaptation. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). http://dx.doi.org/ 10.2499/0896295354. Accessed 31 July 2011
  39. Olesen JE, Bindi M (2002) Consequences of climate change for European agricultural productivity, land use and policy. Eur J Agron 16(4):239–262CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  40. Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X (2004) Consistency of recent European summer precipitation trends and extremes with future regional climate projections. Geophys Res Lett 31:L13202CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  41. eterson TC, Folland C, Gruza G, Hogg W, Mokssit A, Plummer N (2001) Report on the activities of the Working Group on Climate Change Detection and Related Rapporteurs 1998–2001. WMO Rep. WCDMP 47, WMO–TD 1071, Geneva, Switzerland pp 143Google Scholar
  42. Petgen M (2007). Reaktion der Reben auf den Klimawandel . Schweizerischen Zeitschrift für Obst- und Weinbau, 9/07, pp 6-9Google Scholar
  43. Ragab R, Prudhomme C (2002) Climate change and water resources management in arid and semi-arid regions: prospective and challenges for the 21st century. Biosyst Eng 81(1):3–34CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  44. Ramos MC, Martínez-Casasnovas JA (2006) Trends in precipitation concentration and extremes in the Mediterranean Penedés-Anoia region, NE Spain. Clim Chang 74:457–474CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  45. Ramos MC, Martínez-Casasnovas JA (2010a) Effects of precipitation patterns and temperature trends on soil water available for vineyards in a Mediterranean climate area. Agr Water Manage 97:1495–1505CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  46. Ramos MC, Martínez-Casasnovas JA (2010b) Climate variability and its effects in the Penedès vineyard region (NE Spain). Proceedings VIII International Terroir Congress. Consiglio di la Recerca e la sperimentazione in Agricoltura. Centro di Recerza per la Viticoltura. 3-23—3-28Google Scholar
  47. Reiser H, Kutiel H (2010) Rainfall uncertainty in the Mediterranean: time series, uncertainty, and extreme events. Theor Appl Climatol (available on line), pp 19, doi: 10.1007/s00704-010-0345-0
  48. Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Livermore M, Fischer G (2004) Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environ Chang 14(1):53–67CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  49. Russo S (2009) Global changes in heat wave duration index from 1950 until 2100. Effects of climate change, 18/3/2009-20/3/2009, Malta, SEAMOCSGoogle Scholar
  50. Trigo RM, Valente MA, Trigo IF, Miranda M, Ramos AM, Paredes D, García-Herrera R (2008) North Atlantic wind and cyclone trends and their impact in the European precipitation and Atlantic significant wave height. Ann NY Acad Sci 1146:212–234CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  51. Vergni L, Todisco F (2011) Spatio-temporal variability of precipitation, temperature and agricultural drought indices in Central Italy. Agr Forest Meteorol 151:301–313CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  52. Von Storch H (1995) Inconsistencies at the interface of climate impact studies and global climate research. Meteor. Z. 4 NF, 72-80Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  • M. C. Ramos
    • 1
  • J. C. Balasch
    • 1
  • J. A. Martínez-Casasnovas
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Environment and Soil ScienceUniversity of LleidaLleidaSpain

Personalised recommendations