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Cost estimation in road construction using artificial neural network

  • Ksenija TijanićEmail author
  • Diana Car-Pušić
  • Marija Šperac
Original Article
  • 25 Downloads

Abstract

Road construction projects on the territory of the Republic of Croatia are characterized by the overrun of planned costs. The experience of the contractor on previous road projects is an important element that can help to prevent errors and increase the chances of success in similar future projects. Data on construction costs collected from past projects can be used to estimate costs at different stages of the project life cycle through artificial neural networks. In this paper, artificial neural networks (MLP, GRNN, RBFNN) for estimating road construction costs are modeled. During the modeling, the database of roads constructed on the territory of the Republic of Croatia was used. Comparison of performance of neural networks has shown that the GRNN has obtained the best accuracy with MAPE of 13% and coefficient of determination of 0.9595. The neural network has proven to be a promising approach to use in the initial design phase when there is usually a limited or incomplete set of data for cost analysis, and this method could yield much more accurate results and the estimation error could be reduced.

Keywords

Estimation Costs Road projects Artificial neural network 

Notes

Funding

This work has been partly supported by the University of Rijeka under the Project Number 13.05.1.3.10.

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag London Ltd., part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Faculty of Civil EngineeringUniversity of RijekaRijekaCroatia
  2. 2.Faculty of Civil Engineering OsijekJosip Juraj Strossmayer University of OsijekOsijekCroatia

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