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Neural Computing and Applications

, Volume 31, Issue 10, pp 6781–6794 | Cite as

Dynamical regularized echo state network for time series prediction

  • Cuili Yang
  • Junfei QiaoEmail author
  • Lei Wang
  • Xinxin Zhu
Original Article

Abstract

Echo state networks (ESNs) have been widely used in the field of time series prediction. However, it is difficult to automatically determine the structure of ESN for a given task. To solve this problem, the dynamical regularized ESN (DRESN) is proposed. Different from other growing ESNs whose existing architectures are fixed when new reservoir nodes are added, the current component of DRESN may be replaced by the newly generated network with more compact structure and better prediction performance. Moreover, the values of output weights in DRESN are updated by the error minimization-based method, and the norms of output weights are controlled by the regularization technique to prevent the ill-posed problem. Furthermore, the convergence analysis of the DRESN is given theoretically and experimentally. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach can have few reservoir nodes and better prediction accuracy than other existing ESN models.

Keywords

Echo state network Dynamical structure Regularization method Time series prediction 

Notes

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grants 61603012 and 61533002, the Beijing Municipal Education Commission Foundation under Grant KM201710005025, the Beijing Postdoctoral Research Foundation under Grant 2017ZZ-028, the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation funded project as well as the Beijing Chaoyang District Postdoctoral Research Foundation under Grant 2017ZZ-01-07.

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Copyright information

© The Natural Computing Applications Forum 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent SystemBeijing University of TechnologyBeijingPeople’s Republic of China

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