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Oecologia

, Volume 126, Issue 2, pp 216–224 | Cite as

Cycles and synchrony in the Collared Lemming (Dicrostonyx groenlandicus) in Arctic North America

  • Martin Predavec
  • Charles J. Krebs
  • Kjell Danell
  • Rob Hyndman
Article

Abstract

Lemming populations are generally characterised by their cyclic nature, yet empirical data to support this are lacking for most species, largely because of the time and expense necessary to collect long-term population data. In this study we use the relative frequency of yearly willow scarring by lemmings as an index of lemming abundance, allowing us to plot population changes over a 34-year period. Scars were collected from 18 sites in Arctic North America separated by 2–1,647 km to investigate local synchrony among separate populations. Over the period studied, populations at all 18 sites showed large fluctuations but there was no regular periodicity to the patterns of population change. Over all possible combinations of pairs of sites, only sites that were geographically connected and close (<6 km) showed significant synchrony in fluctuations. The populations studied may not even be cyclic, at least for the time period 1960 to 1994, and although fluctuating, randomisation tests could not reject the null hypothesis of random fluctuations. These data have implications for the testing of hypotheses regarding lemming cycles and highlight the need for long-term trapping data to characterise the lemming cycle.

Keywords

Lemming cycle Synchrony Dicrostonyx groenlandicus 

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2000

Authors and Affiliations

  • Martin Predavec
    • 1
  • Charles J. Krebs
    • 1
  • Kjell Danell
    • 2
  • Rob Hyndman
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of ZoologyUniversity of British ColumbiaVancouverCanada
  2. 2.Department of Animal EcologySwedish University of Agricultural SciencesUmeåSweden
  3. 3.Department of MathematicsMonash UniversityClaytonAustralia

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