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Factors associated with in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes during the vulnerable post-discharge phase after the first episode of acute heart failure: results of the NOVICA-2 study

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A Correction to this article was published on 23 December 2020

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Abstract

Objective

To identify patients at risk of in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes during the vulnerable post-discharge period after the first acute heart failure episode (de novo AHF) attended at the emergency department.

Methods

This is a secondary review of de novo AHF patients included in the prospective, multicentre EAHFE (Epidemiology of Acute Heart Failure in Emergency Department) Registry. We included consecutive patients with de novo AHF, for whom 29 independent variables were recorded. The outcomes were in-hospital all-cause mortality and all-cause mortality and readmission due to AHF within 90 days post-discharge. A follow-up check was made by reviewing the hospital medical records and/or by phone.

Results

We included 3422 patients. The mean age was 80 years, 52.1% were women. The in-hospital mortality was 6.9% and was independently associated with dementia (OR = 2.25, 95% CI = 1.62–3.14), active neoplasia (1.97, 1.41–2.76), functional dependence (1.58, 1.02–2.43), chronic treatment with beta-blockers (0.62, 0.44–0.86) and severity of decompensation (6.38, 2.86–14.26 for high-/very high-risk patients). The 90-day post-discharge combined endpoint was observed in 19.3% of patients and was independently associated with hypertension (HR = 1.40, 1.11–1.76), chronic renal insufficiency (1.23, 1.01–1.49), heart valve disease (1.24, 1.01–1.51), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.22, 1.01–1.48), NYHA 3–4 at baseline (1.40, 1.12–1.74) and severity of decompensation (1.23, 1.01–1.50; and 1.64, 1.20–2.25; for intermediate and high-/very high-risk patients, respectively), with different risk factors for 90-day post-discharge mortality or rehospitalisation.

Conclusions

The severity of decompensation and some baseline characteristics identified de novo AHF patients at increased risk of developing adverse outcomes during hospitalisation and the vulnerable post-discharge phase, without significant differences in these risk factors according to patient age at de novo AHF presentation.

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Acknowledgements

The members of Investigators of the ICA-SEMES (Research group on Acute Heart Failure of the Spanish Society of Emergency Medicine) are Marta Fuentes, Cristina Gil (Hospital Universitario de Salamanca), Héctor Alonso, Enrique Pérez-Llantada (Hospital Marqués de Valdecilla de Santander), Francisco Javier Martín-Sánchez, Guillermo Llopis García, Mar Suárez Cadenas (Hospital Clínico San Carlos de Madrid), Òscar Miró, Víctor Gil, Rosa Escoda, Carolina Xipell, Carolina Sánchez (Hospital Clínic de Barcelona), María José Pérez-Durá, Eva Salvo (Hospital Politénic La Fe de Valencia), José Pavón (Hospital Dr. Negrín de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria), Antonio Noval (Hospital Insular de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria), José Manuel Torres (Hospital Reina Sofía de Córdoba), María Luisa López-Grima, Amparo Valero, María Ángeles Juan (Hospital Dr. Peset de Valencia), Alfons Aguirre, Maria Angels Pedragosa, Silvia Mínguez Masó (Hospital del Mar de Barcelona), María Isabel Alonso, Francisco Ruiz (Hospital de Valme de Sevilla), José Miguel Franco (Hospital Miguel Servet de Zaragoza), Ana Belén Mecina (Hospital de Alcorcón de Madrid), Josep Tost, Marta Berenguer, Ruxandra Donea (Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa), Susana Sánchez Ramón, Virginia Carbajosa Rodríguez (Hospital Universitario Rio Hortega de Valladolid), Pascual Piñera, José Andrés Sánchez Nicolás (Hospital Reina Sofía de Murcia), Raquel Torres Garate (Hospital Severo Ochoa de Madrid), Aitor Alquézar-Arbé, Miguel Alberto Rizzi, Sergio Herrera (Hospital de la Santa Creu y Sant Pau de Barcelona), Javier Jacob, Alex Roset, Irene Cabello, Antonio Haro (Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge de Barcelona), Fernando Richard, José María Álvarez Pérez, María Pilar López Diez (Hospital Universitario de Burgos), Pablo Herrero Puente, Joaquín Vázquez Álvarez, Belén Prieto García, María García García, Marta Sánchez González (Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias de Oviedo), Pere Llorens, Patricia Javaloyes, Víctor Marquina, Inmaculada Jiménez, Néstor Hernández , Benjamín Brouzet, Begoña Espinosa (Hospital General de Alicante), Juan Antonio Andueza (Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón de Madrid), Rodolfo Romero (Hospital Universitario de Getafe de Madrid), Martín Ruíz, Roberto Calvache (Hospital de Henares de Madrid), María Teresa Lorca Serralta, Luis Ernesto Calderón Jave (Hospital del Tajo de Madrid), Beatriz Amores Arriaga, Beatriz Sierra Bergua (Hospital Clínico Lozano Blesa de Zaragoza), Enrique Martín Mojarro, Brigitte Silvana Alarcón Jiménez (Hospital Sant Pau i Santa Tecla de Tarragona), Lisette Travería Bécquer, Guillermo Burillo (Hospital Universitario de Canarias de Tenerife), Lluís Llauger García, Gerard Corominas LaSalle. (Hospital Universitari de Vic de Barcelona), Carmen Agüera Urbano, Ana Belén García Soto, Elisa Delgado Padial (Hospital Costa del Sol de Marbella de Málaga), Ester Soy Ferrer (Hospital Josep Trueta de Girona). José Manuel Garrido (Hospital Virgen Macarena de Sevilla), Francisco Javier Lucas-Imbernón (Hospital General Universitario de Albacete), Rut Gaya (Hospital Juan XXIII de Tarragona), Carlos Bibiano, María Mir, Beatriz Rodríguez (Hospital Infanta Leonor de Madrid), José Luis Carballo (Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Ourense), Esther Rodríguez-Adrada, Belén Rodríguez Miranda (Hospital Rey Juan Carlos de Móstoles de Madrid).

We would like to thank the Department of Medicine of the Autonomous University of Barcelona for its logistical and administrative support.

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Correspondence to Miguel Alberto Rizzi.

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The authors state that they have no conflict of interests with the present work. The ICA-SEMES Research Group has received unrestricted support from Orion Pharma and Novartis. The present study was designed, performed, analysed and written exclusively by the authors independently of these pharmaceutical companies.

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The original online version of this article was revised: the missing sentence are given below.

We would like to thank the Department of Medicine of the Autonomous University of Barcelona for its logistical and administrative support.

The members of ICA-SEMES Research Group is present in the Acknowledgements section.

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Rizzi, M.A., Sarasola, A.G., Arbé, A.A. et al. Factors associated with in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes during the vulnerable post-discharge phase after the first episode of acute heart failure: results of the NOVICA-2 study. Clin Res Cardiol 110, 993–1005 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00392-020-01710-0

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