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Climate Dynamics

, Volume 42, Issue 3–4, pp 1053–1066 | Cite as

Mediterranean warm-core cyclones in a warmer world

  • Kevin Walsh
  • Filippo Giorgi
  • Erika Coppola
Article

Abstract

Regional climate model projections over the Mediterranean region are analysed for the presence of intense, warm-core lows that share some of the characteristics of tropical cyclones. The results indicate that the number of such systems decreases in a warmer world, particularly in winter. Comparison of the simulated numbers to changes in relevant climate diagnostics suggests that numbers decrease due to an increasingly hostile environment for storm formation, combined with a general poleward shift in the incidence of wintertime lows over western Europe.

Keywords

Cyclone Tropical Cyclone Maximum Wind Speed Vertical Wind Shear Regional Climate Model Simulation 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Notes

Acknowledgments

The first author would like to thank the University of Melbourne and ICTP, which both provided partial funding for his visit to ICTP in October–December 2010. The authors would also like to thank the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) for the use of their tropical cyclone tracking scheme.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.School of Earth SciencesUniversity of MelbourneParkvilleAustralia
  2. 2.International Centre for Theoretical PhysicsTriesteItaly

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