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Journal of Oceanology and Limnology

, Volume 37, Issue 6, pp 1929–1940 | Cite as

Validation of an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang, South China

  • Tao LiEmail author
  • Fangdong Wang
  • Jingming Hou
  • Zhumei Che
  • Jianxi Dong
Article

Abstract

In this study, an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang, South China was developed based on a coupled storm-surge and wave model. This forecasting system is important because of the high cost of storm-surge damage and the need for rapid emergency planning. A comparison with astronomical tides in 2016 and the validation of storm surges and high water marks of 20 typhoons verified that the forecast system has a good simulation ability. The system can forecast relatively realistic water levels and wave heights as shown under the parametric atmospheric forces simulated in a case study; the sea dikes in credible high risk were mainly located in the estuaries, rivers, and around the islands in the southern Zhejiang Province. Therefore, the forecast system is applicable in the southern Zhejiang with a support to the effective prevention from typhoon storm-surge damage.

Keyword

storm surge sea dike operational forecast southern Zhejiang Province risk calculation 

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Copyright information

© Chinese Society for Oceanology and Limnology, Science Press and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Tao Li
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Fangdong Wang
    • 3
  • Jingming Hou
    • 1
    • 2
  • Zhumei Che
    • 4
  • Jianxi Dong
    • 1
    • 2
  1. 1.National Marine Environmental Forecasting CenterBeijingChina
  2. 2.Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting of State Oceanic AdministrationBeijingChina
  3. 3.Beijing Space Flight Control CenterBeijingChina
  4. 4.Marine Monitoring and Forecasting Center of Zhejiang ProvinceHangzhouChina

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