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Journal of Oceanology and Limnology

, Volume 37, Issue 6, pp 2014–2024 | Cite as

Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province

  • Qingrong Liu
  • Jian Li
  • Chengqing RuanEmail author
  • Zhonghui Yin
  • Yan Jiao
  • Qing Sun
  • Xihu Lian
  • Shan Zhong
Article

Abstract

Sea level rise is a slow-onset disaster. We collected information about the natural and ecological environments, tides and sea levels, and socio-economic aspects to investigate the distribution and zoning of the risks from sea level rise across Shandong Province. The trends in sea level in different counties of Shandong Province were predicted using moving averages and a random dynamic analysis forecasting model, and the model outputs and socio-economic indicators were combined to assess the risks. The results show that the risks of sea level rise along the western coast of Bohai Bay and Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province were sufficiently large to warrant attention.

Keyword

sea level rise risk assessment risk zoning 

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Copyright information

© Chinese Society for Oceanology and Limnology, Science Press and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Qingrong Liu
    • 1
  • Jian Li
    • 1
  • Chengqing Ruan
    • 1
    Email author
  • Zhonghui Yin
    • 1
  • Yan Jiao
    • 1
  • Qing Sun
    • 1
  • Xihu Lian
    • 1
  • Shan Zhong
    • 1
  1. 1.North China Sea Marine Forecasting CenterMinistry of Natural Resources (MNR)QingdaoChina

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