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A multifactorial severity score for left congenital diaphragmatic hernia in a high-risk population using fetal magnetic resonance imaging

  • Brandon P. BrownEmail author
  • Michael T. Clark
  • Rachel L. Wise
  • Lava R. Timsina
  • Thomas A. Reher
  • Robert J. Vandewalle
  • Joshua J. Brown
  • Zoe M. Saenz
  • Brian W. Gray
Original Article
  • 33 Downloads

Abstract

Background

Adverse outcomes for infants born with left congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) have been correlated with fetal imaging findings.

Objective

We sought to corroborate these correlations in a high-risk cohort and describe a predictive mortality algorithm combining multiple imaging biomarkers for use in prenatal counseling.

Materials and methods

We reviewed fetal MRI examinations at our institution from 2004 to 2016 demonstrating left-side CDH. MRI findings, hospital course and outcomes were recorded and analyzed using bivariate and multivariable analysis. We generated a receiver operating curve (ROC) to determine a cut-off relation for mortality. Finally, we created a predictive mortality calculator.

Results

Of 41 fetuses included in this high-risk cohort, 41% survived. Per bivariate analysis, observed-to-expected total fetal lung volume (P=0.007), intrathoracic position of the stomach (P=0.049), and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) requirement (P<0.001) were significantly associated with infant mortality. Youden J statistic optimized the ROC for mortality at 24% observed-to-expected total fetal lung volume (sensitivity 64%, specificity 82%, area under the curve 0.72). On multivariable analysis, observed-to-expected total fetal lung volume ± 24% was predictive of mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: 0.09 [0.02, 0.55]; P=0.008). We derived a novel mortality prediction calculator from this analysis.

Conclusion

In this high-risk cohort, decreased observed-to-expected total fetal lung volume and stomach herniation were significantly associated with mortality. The novel predictive mortality calculator utilizes information from fetal MR imaging and provides prognostic information for health care providers. Creation of similar predictive tools by other institutions, using their distinct populations, might prove useful in family counseling, especially where there are discordant imaging findings.

Keywords

Congenital diaphragmatic hernia Fetus Magnetic resonance imaging Neonate Perinatal outcome Predictive mortality model 

Notes

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflicts of interest

None

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Brandon P. Brown
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Michael T. Clark
    • 3
  • Rachel L. Wise
    • 3
  • Lava R. Timsina
    • 4
  • Thomas A. Reher
    • 2
  • Robert J. Vandewalle
    • 4
  • Joshua J. Brown
    • 1
  • Zoe M. Saenz
    • 3
  • Brian W. Gray
    • 4
  1. 1.The Fetal Center at Riley Children’s HealthIndianapolisUSA
  2. 2.Department of Radiology and Imaging SciencesIndiana University School of MedicineIndianapolisUSA
  3. 3.Indiana University School of MedicineIndianapolisUSA
  4. 4.Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of SurgeryIndiana University School of MedicineIndianapolisUSA

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