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Economic Theory

, Volume 41, Issue 2, pp 175–212 | Cite as

Exactly what happens after the Anscombe–Aumann race?

Representing preferences in vague environments
  • Marie-Louise VierøEmail author
Research Article

Abstract

This paper derives a representation of preferences for a choice theory with vague environments; vague in the sense that the agent does not know the precise lotteries over outcomes conditional on states. Instead, he knows only a possible set of these lotteries for each state. Thus, this paper’s main departure from the standard subjective expected utility model is to relax an assumption about the environment, rather than weakening the axiomatic structure. My model is consistent with the behavior observed in the Ellsberg experiment. It can capture the same type of behavior as the multiple priors models, but can also result in behavior that is different from both the behavior implied by standard subjective expected utility models and the behavior implied by the multiple priors models.

Keywords

Decision theory Vagueness Utility Optimism 

JEL Classification

D800 D810 D000 

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2008

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of EconomicsQueen’s UniversityKingstonCanada

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