Panel data dynamics with mis-measured variables: modeling and GMM estimation
- 401 Downloads
- 3 Citations
Abstract
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation is discussed under the joint occurrence of fixed effects and random measurement errors in an autoregressive panel data model. Finite memory of measurement errors is allowed for. Two GMM specializations are considered: (i) using instruments (IVs) in levels for a differenced version of the equation and (ii) using IVs in differences for the level version. Index sets for lags and leads are convenient in examining how the potential IV-set is affected by changes in the memory pattern. While measurement errors with long memory may give an IV-set too small for identification, problems of “IV proliferation” and “weak IVs” may arise unless the panel is short. An application based on data for (log-transformed) capital stock and output from Norwegian manufacturing firms, supplemented with Monte Carlo simulations, to illustrate finite sample biases, is considered. Overall, with respect to bias and IV strength, GMM specialization (ii) seems superior to inference using GMM specialization (i).
Keywords
Panel data Measurement error Dynamic modeling GMM Monte Carlo simulationJEL Classification
C21 C23 C31 C33 C51 E21Notes
Acknowledgments
Versions of this paper have been presented at: Conference on Factor Structures for Panel and Multivariate Time Series Data, Maastricht, September 2008, the North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, Boston, June 2009, the 15th International Conference on Panel Data, Bonn, July 2009 and the 64th Econometric Society European Meeting, Barcelona, August 2009, as well as seminars at the University of Oslo and Statistics Norway. I thank Xuehui Han for excellent assistance in the programming and testing of the numerical procedures, and Terje Skjerpen, two referees, and conference participants for comments.
References
- Ahn SC, Schmidt P (1995) Efficient estimation of models for dynamic panel data. J Econom 68:5–27CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Altonji JG, Segal LM (1996) Small-sample bias in gmm estimation of covariance structures. J Bus Econ Stat 14:353–366Google Scholar
- Anderson TW, Hsiao C (1981) Estimation of dynamic models with error components. J Am Stat Assoc 76:598–606CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Anderson TW, Hsiao C (1982) Formulation and estimation of dynamic models using panel data. J Econ 18:47–82CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Arellano M, Bond S (1991) Some tests of specification for panel data: monte carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Rev Econ Stud 58:277–297CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Arellano M, Bover O (1995) Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. J Econ 68:29–51CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Balestra P, Nerlove M (1966) Pooling cross section and time series data in the estimation of a dynamic model: the demand for natural gas. Econometrica 34:585–612CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Baltagi BH (2008) Econometric analysis of panel data, 4th edn. Wiley, ChichesterGoogle Scholar
- Biørn E (1992) The bias of some estimators for panel data models with measurement errors. Empir Econ 17:51–66CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Biørn E (1996) Panel data with measurement errors. In: Mátyás L, Sevestre P (eds) The econometrics of panel data. Handbook of the theory with applications, chapter 10. Kluwer, DordrechtGoogle Scholar
- Biørn E (2000) Panel data with measurement errors. instrumental variables and gmm estimators combining levels and differences. Econ Rev 19:391–424CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Biørn E (2003) Handling the measurement error problem by means of panel data: moment methods applied on firm data. In: Stigum B (ed) Econometrics and the philosophy of economics, chapter 24. Princeton University Press, PrincetonGoogle Scholar
- Biørn E, Krishnakumar J (2008) Measurement errors and simultaneity. In: Mátyás L, Sevestre P (eds) The econometrics of panel data. Fundamentals and recent developments in theory and practice, chapter 10. Springer, BerlinGoogle Scholar
- Blundell R, Bond S (1998) Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. J Econ 87:15–143CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bun MJG, Windmeijer F (2010) The weak instrument problem of the system gmm estimator in dynamic panel data models. Econ J 13:95–126Google Scholar
- Davidson R, MacKinnon JG (2004) Econometric theory and methods. Oxford University Press, OxfordGoogle Scholar
- Fuller WA (1987) Measurement error models. Wiley, New YorkCrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gauss (2006) Gauss\({}^{TM}\). Version 7.0. User’s Guide. Aptech Systems, Maple ValleyGoogle Scholar
- Grether DM, Maddala GS (1973) Errors in variables and serially correlated disturbances in distributed lag models. Econometrica 41:255–262CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Griliches Z, Hausman JA (1986) Errors in variables in panel data. J Econ 31:93–118CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hansen LP (1982) Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica 50:1029–1054CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Harris MN, Mátyás L, Sevestre P (2008) Dynamic models for short panels. In: Mátyás L, Sevestre P (eds) The econometrics of panel data. Fundamentals and recent developments in theory and practice, chapter 8. Springer, BerlinGoogle Scholar
- Holtz-Eakin D, Newey W, Rosen HS (1988) Estimating vector autoregressions with panel data. Econometrica 56:1371–1395CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hsiao C (2003) Analysis of panel data, 2nd edn. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeCrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kiviet JF (1995) On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models. J Econ 68:53–78CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Maravall A (1979) Identification in dynamic shock-error models. Springer, New YorkCrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Maravall A, Aigner DJ (1977) Identification of the dynamic shock-error model: The case of dynamic regression. In: Aigner DJ, Goldberger AS (eds) Latent variables in socio-economic models. North-Holland, AmsterdamGoogle Scholar
- Newey WK (1985) Generalized method of moments specification testing. J Econ 29:229–256CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Nowak E (1993) The identification of multivariate linear dynamic errors-in-variables models. J Econ 59:213–227CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Pagano M (1974) Estimation of models of autoregressive signal plus white noise. Ann Stat 2:99–108CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Pesaran MH (2006) Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor structure. Econometrica 74:967–1012CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Pesaran MH, Smith RJ (1994) A generalized \(r^2\) criterion for regression models estimated by the instrumental variables method. Econometrica 62:705–710CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Roodman D (2009) A note on the theme of too many instruments. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 71:135–158CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Staiger D, Stock JH (1997) Instrumental variables regression with weak instruments. Econometrica 65: 557–586Google Scholar
- Staudenmayer J, Buonaccorsi JP (2005) Measurement error in linear autoregressive models. J Am Stat Assoc 100:841–852CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Wansbeek TJ (2001) Gmm estimation in panel data models with measurement error. J Econ 104:259–268CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Wansbeek TJ, Koning RH (1991) Measurement error and panel data. Stat Neerl 45:85–92CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Wansbeek TJ, Meijer E (2000) Measurement error and latent variables in econometrics. Elsevier, AmsterdamGoogle Scholar
- Xiao Z, Shao J, Xu R (2007) Efficiency of gmm estimation in panel data models with measurement error. Sankhya: Ind J Stat 69:101–118Google Scholar
- Xiao Z, Shao J, Palta M (2010) Instrumental variables and gmm estimation for panel data with measurement errors. Stat Sin 20:1725–1747Google Scholar
- Ziliak JP (1997) Efficient estimation with panel data when instruments are predetermined: an empirical comparison of moment-condition estimators. J Bus Econ Stat 15:419–431Google Scholar