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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

, Volume 18, Issue 5, pp 929–936 | Cite as

Recent Researches on the Short-Term Climate Prediction at IAP—A Brief Review

  • Wang Huijun
  • Zhou Guangqing
  • Lin Zhaohui
  • Zhao Yan
  • Guo Yufu
  • Ma Zhuguo
Article

Abstract

Studies on the seasonal to extraseasonal climate prediction at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) in recent years were reviewed. The first short-term climate prediction experiment was carried out based on the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) coupled to a tropical Pacific oceanic general circulation model (OGCM). In 1997, an ENSO prediction system including an oceanic initialization scheme was set up. At the same time, researches on the SST-induced climate predictability over East Asia were made. Based on the biennial signal in the interannual climate variability, an effective method was proposed for correcting the model predicted results recently. In order to consider the impacts of the initial soil moisture anomalies, an empirical scheme was designed to compute the soil moisture by use of the atmospheric quantities like temperature, precipitation, and so on. Sets of prediction experiments were carried out to study the impacts of SST and the initial atmospheric conditions on the flood occurring over China in 1998.

Key words

Climate prediction Climate model Initialization 

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Copyright information

© Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2001

Authors and Affiliations

  • Wang Huijun
    • 1
  • Zhou Guangqing
    • 1
  • Lin Zhaohui
    • 1
  • Zhao Yan
    • 1
  • Guo Yufu
    • 1
  • Ma Zhuguo
    • 1
  1. 1.LASG, Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina

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