, Volume 18, Issue 1–2, pp 21–41 | Cite as

The application of evolution models in scientometrics

  • E. Bruckner
  • W. Ebeling
  • A. Scharnhorst


According to the connection between field mobility and coupled manpower growth processes in a system of scientific fields a deterministic, stochastic and continuous version of an evolution model is presented. Some simulation results on base of the stochastic model are given in Section 5 and compared with corresponding trend analyses of the deterministic model. Several interesting effects, as delayed growth and temporal disappearance as well as rapid growth and overshooting of a new field, are shown by the simulations.


Rapid Growth Evolution Model Growth Process Stochastic Model Trend Analysis 
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Notes and references

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Copyright information

© Akadémiai Kiadó 1990

Authors and Affiliations

  • E. Bruckner
    • 1
  • W. Ebeling
    • 2
  • A. Scharnhorst
    • 1
  1. 1.Institute for Theory, History and Organisation of ScienceAcademy of Sciences of the GDRBerlin(GDR)
  2. 2.Department of PhysicsHumboldt UniversityBerlin(GDR)

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