Environmental Management

, Volume 10, Issue 6, pp 797–808

Modeling postfire conifer mortality for long-range planning

  • David L. Peterson
  • Kevin C. Ryan

DOI: 10.1007/BF01867732

Cite this article as:
Peterson, D.L. & Ryan, K.C. Environmental Management (1986) 10: 797. doi:10.1007/BF01867732


A model is presented for predicting mortality of conifers after wildfire. The model requires stand data inputs and is linked with a mathematical fire behavior model that calculates fireline intensity. Fraction of crown volume killed is calculated for each species in a stand based on mensurational data. Duration of lethal heat at the base of trees is calculated from fuel consumption and burning time values. Fraction of crown volume killed and the ratio of critical time for cambial kill to duration of lethal heat are independent variables in a function that calculates probability of mortality. The model produces reasonable estimates of stand mortality for fire and site characteristics found in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA. It has a broad resolution appropriate for use in fire management planning and has potential applications for coniferous forests throughout the United States.

Key words

Crown damage Fuels Northern Rocky Mountains Timber Wildfire 

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag New York Inc 1986

Authors and Affiliations

  • David L. Peterson
    • 1
  • Kevin C. Ryan
    • 2
  1. 1.USDA Forest ServicePacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment StationCaliforniaUSA
  2. 2.USDA Forest ServiceIntermountain Forest and Range Experiment StationDrawer G MissoulaUSA

Personalised recommendations