Public Choice

, Volume 14, Issue 1, pp 125–132 | Cite as

Poll positions and win probabilities: a stochastic model of the electoral process

  • Jerry F. Medler
  • Donald S. Tull


Stochastic Model Public Finance Poll Position Electoral Process 
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  1. Coleman, James S., “Internal Processes Governing Party Positions in Elections,”Public Choice, 11, (Fall, 1971), 35–60.Google Scholar
  2. Downs, Anthony,An Economic Theory of Democracy, New York, Harper & Row, 1957.Google Scholar
  3. Fleitas, Daniel W., “Bandwagon and Underdog Effects in Minimal-Information Elections”,The American Political Science Review, 65, No. 2 (March, 1971), 434–438.Google Scholar
  4. Laponce, J. A., “An Experimental Method to Measure the Tendency to Equibalance in a Political System”,The American Political Science Review, 60, No. 4 (December, 1966), 982–993.Google Scholar
  5. Mendelsohn, Harold, and Irving Crespi,Polls, Television, and the New Politics, Scranton, Penn., Chandler, 1970.Google Scholar
  6. Simon, Herbert A., “Bandwagon and Underdog Effects of Election Predictions”,Models of Man, New York, Wiley, 1957, 79–87.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Center for Study of Public Choice Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 1973

Authors and Affiliations

  • Jerry F. Medler
    • 1
  • Donald S. Tull
    • 1
  1. 1.University of OregonUSA

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