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Temperature Variability in Murmansk over the Last 70 Years: Long-term Trends and Extreme Events

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Abstract

Extreme temperature events and their long-term variability are investigated using daily air temperature data from Murmansk weather station for the period of 1942–2018. It was found that the variability of extremely warm and cold events in Murmansk in winter is mainly explained rather by the dynamics of storm tracks than by the local processes of air mass transformation in the region. It is shown that the main characteristics of extreme events demonstrate a clearly pronounced seasonality. It was revealed that the positive trend in seasonal mean temperatures is mainly due to the reduced number of extremely cold events in Murmansk. The study shows that the leading factor determining the variability of extreme events is the Arctic Oscillation (AO). In turn, the AO anomalies are formed as a result of the dynamic stratosphere–troposphere coupling, which is expressed in the response of storm tracks to sudden stratospheric warmings.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, 117997, Moscow, Russia

    Yu. V. Selivanova, Yu. A. Zyulyaeva & I. I. Zveryaev

  2. University of Bologna, Department of Physics and Astronomy, 40127, Bologna, Italy

    Yu. V. Selivanova

  3. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, 119017, Moscow, Russia

    Yu. A. Zyulyaeva

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  1. Yu. V. Selivanova
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Correspondence to Yu. A. Zyulyaeva.

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Translated from Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2022, No. 2, pp. 106-118. https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2022-2-106-118.

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Selivanova, Y.V., Zyulyaeva, Y.A. & Zveryaev, I.I. Temperature Variability in Murmansk over the Last 70 Years: Long-term Trends and Extreme Events. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 47, 148–157 (2022). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373922020091

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