Background

Antipsychotic medication is effective in diminishing severity of psychotic symptoms and in reducing the risk for psychotic relapse [1]. Most current guidelines state that individuals with a first episode of psychosis (FEP) should be offered antipsychotic medication for at least 1 year after remission of psychotic symptoms (National Institute for Clinical Excellence guidelines, 2014 (UK) [2]; Early Psychosis Guidelines Writing Group, 2010 (Australia) [3]; Zorgstandaard Psychose, 2017 (the Netherlands) [4]). Despite the favorable effect of antipsychotics on reducing positive symptoms, patients often have a strong wish to stop medication after a treatment duration shorter than 1 year. This wish partly reflects the negative side effects of antipsychotic medication, such as weight gain, anhedonia, sedation, sexual dysfunction, and parkinsonism [5]. Therefore, in day-to-day practice, patients, their relatives, as well as clinicians face the question: to continue or not to continue?

Discontinuation or maintenance therapy: relapse rates

A meta-analysis including 65 trials has shown that maintenance therapy of antipsychotic medication after remission reduced the risk of relapse more than twofold (i.e., 27% relapse rate with maintenance treatment versus 64% relapse in a year without medication) [6]. More recently, a systematic review conducted by Karson and colleagues [7] addressed the long-term effects and also found that continuation of antipsychotic medication was more effective than treatment discontinuation or intermittent/guided discontinuation in preventing relapse. However, it is important to note that most of the summarized trials were not designed to test continuation versus discontinuation. Alvarez-Jimenez and colleagues [8] specifically reviewed trials that randomized FEP patients to either dose reduction/discontinuation or maintenance treatment. They included eight randomized controlled trials; follow-up time of the included studies varied between 1 and 2 years. The overall relapse rate was higher in the dose reduction/discontinuation groups compared to maintenance treatment. This review was recently updated by Thompson and colleagues [9] including one extra study [10]; their conclusions were similar as relapse rates were higher in the discontinuation group (53%) versus the maintenance treatment group (19%) after a follow-up period of 1 to 2 years.

To date, only a few randomized trials have been conducted over a longer follow-up period of more than 2 years. Wunderink and colleagues [11] were the first to show long-term positive effects of early-course discontinuation of antipsychotic treatment, which may shed a different light on previous studies with a shorter duration. While they observed that the relapse rates were initially higher for the discontinuation strategy (43%) versus the maintenance condition (21%) after a follow-up period of 2 years, the relapse rates were equal after 3 years follow-up [12]. Moreover, after 7 years, dose reduction/discontinuation patients showed higher functional recovery rates versus patients following maintenance treatment. Recently, Hui et al. [13] reported on their 10-year follow-up study. Notably, they found higher rates of poor long-term clinical outcome in the discontinuation group (39%) compared to the maintenance treatment group (21%). Moreover, relapse was a significant predictor of 10-year clinical outcome.

Discontinuation versus maintenance therapy: functional recovery

Looking beyond relapse rates, the Dutch patient organization Anoiksis argued that the decision of patients to either continue or discontinue medication should mainly be based on its proposed impact on functioning in the main domains of everyday life (surveyed in 2017). In the short term, previous studies have found no significant difference between maintenance therapy versus dose-reduction/discontinuation on functional recovery [12, 14]. The follow-up of the Wunderink [12] study demonstrated that, after 7 years, patients in the original discontinuation condition experienced twice the functional recovery rate (40.4%) in comparison to those on maintenance treatment (17.6%) [11]. However, the recent study by Hui and colleagues [13] also investigating the effects of early discontinuation on long-term clinical outcome at 10 years was in strong contrast with the Wunderink [12] finding, as they reported a higher risk of poor clinical outcome in the discontinuation group compared to the maintenance group (respectively 39% versus 21%). Poor clinical outcome was defined by persistent positive symptoms of psychosis, treatment-resistant psychosis, or death by suicide. Finally, Tiihonen, Tanskanen, and Taipale [15] observed the risk of treatment failure after discontinuation of antipsychotic treatment in a cohort of 8719 schizophrenia patients, defined as psychiatric re-hospitalization or death. The lowest risk of treatment failure was observed in patients treated with antipsychotic drugs continuously, followed by patients who discontinued medication immediately after discharge from hospital treatment. Notably, when antipsychotic drugs were discontinued at a later stage, the risk of treatment failure was even more increased (possibly explained by changes in dopamine sensitivity or by confounding by indication).

Discontinuation versus maintenance therapy: emotional and cognitive functioning

In the context of functional recovery, the impact of (dis)continuation on emotional and cognitive functioning needs to be evaluated. Blockade of the dopamine D2 receptors, the main mediator of efficacy of antipsychotic medication [16], can produce adverse subjective experiences or neuroleptic dysphoria [17,18,19], encompassing a variety of unpleasant subjective changes in arousal, mood, thinking, and motivation [20]. Severity of these mental adverse effects depends on individual variability of sensitivity and proportion of D2 receptors blocked. Individuals with lower baseline dopamine function are at increased risk for dysphoric responses during treatment with dopaminergic blocking drugs [20]. With regard to dosage of antipsychotic medication, most mental adverse effects occur at D2 receptor occupancy higher than 65–70% [17]. In addition to dysphoria, dopamine blockade may reduce functioning by exerting negative effects on cognition. Dopamine plays an important role in learning and motivation, as it enables associative learning, especially of aversive stimuli [21]. Approximately 50% of men and up to 70% of women report difficulty in concentrating or tiredness with the use of antipsychotic medication [22]. Blockade of this system reduces the cognitive capacity to learn new associations, which may hinder study or work [23]. Blockade of the mesolimbic reward system also reduces motivation and drive, which can be expected to hamper professional and social success [24].

Mental and cognitive adverse effects associated with higher doses may explain why functional recovery can improve when patients reduce or discontinue the dose of their antipsychotic medication. Despite these theoretical expectations, cognitive improvement after continuation of treatment as compared to dose reduction/discontinuation in patients with FEP has been reported by seven studies, with a sustained effect for up to 2 years [7]. This may be explained by the deleterious effects of recurrent psychotic episodes on cognition [25]. While dopamine blockade may be aversive for mood and cognition, the effect of a psychotic relapse on both these domains may be even more substantial, leading to the relatively larger improvement when maintaining on antipsychotic treatment. However, an add-on study to the Wunderink et al. [12] trial found that dose reduction/discontinuation was associated with more improvements in neurocognitive functioning in FEP patients 5 months after receiving remission, compared to those maintaining on second-generation antipsychotics [26]. Importantly, long-term effects are still unclear, and more knowledge is needed on how maintenance therapy and dose reduction/discontinuation affect emotional and cognitive functioning in FEP patients.

The current HAMLETT study

Taken together, previous trials comparing dose reduction/discontinuation versus treatment maintenance have indicated that continuation of antipsychotic medication reduces the risk of psychotic relapse in remitted FEP patients. However, harmful effects may also be associated with maintenance treatment [27] and two studies with long-term follow-up have shown contradictory findings [12, 13]. This makes it difficult to determine best practices based on the current literature. Patients, their relatives, as well as clinicians need to know whether dose reduction is a beneficial option for them after remission of psychosis or not, particularly in terms of global functioning, thereby going beyond symptomatic remission. This knowledge is needed to inform decisions concerning when to taper off antipsychotic medication and to evaluate which factors moderate safe dose reduction. Here we will describe the rationale, design, and methods of a pragmatic single blind randomized controlled trial in the Netherlands: the HAMLETT study (Handling Antipsychotic Medication: Long-term Evaluation of Targeted Treatment).

Methods/design

This paper is written in line with the SPIRIT (Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials) 2013 explanation and elaboration [28], see Additional file 2.

Aim and objectives

The aim of the HAMLETT study is to investigate whether long-term (i.e., 4 years) functional and symptomatic recovery of patients remitted from a FEP is improved when they gradually reduce their antipsychotic medication 3 to 6 months after remission of psychotic symptoms, or when they continue to use medication for at least 1 year after remission. The following research questions will be addressed:

  1. 1.

    Do patients in the dose-reduction/discontinuation condition achieve a higher level of global functioning compared to the maintenance condition?

  2. 2.

    Does subjective wellbeing, somatic health (including metabolic syndrome), relapse rates, and hospitalizations differ between the dose-reduction/discontinuation condition and the continuation condition?

  3. 3.

    Do rates of self-harm (aggressive incidents, suicide attempts, and suicide) differ between the maintenance treatment and the dose-reduction/discontinuation condition?

  4. 4.

    Which baseline or follow-up characteristics are associated with successful discontinuation of antipsychotic medication?

In addition, health-economic evaluation and prognostic modeling will be conducted:

  1. 1.

    To assess the incremental cost-effectiveness (cost per functional recovery) of dose reduction and discontinuation relative to maintenance

  2. 2.

    To assess incremental cost-utility (cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY)) of dose reduction and discontinuation relative to maintenance

  3. 3.

    To identify patient profiles that predict the greatest net (monetary) benefits after dose reduction/discontinuation

  4. 4.

    To calculate budget impacts of scaling up dose reduction and discontinuation strategies, should these strategies be proven acceptable, effective, and cost-effective

Trial design and setting

HAMLETT is a pragmatic single-blind randomized controlled trial of continuation versus discontinuation/dose reduction of antipsychotic medication in patients remitted after a FEP. To provide clear, clinically relevant guidance for clinicians and patients on short- and long-term benefits and disadvantages of continuation or discontinuation/dose reduction of antipsychotic treatment, the study population and their treatment should resemble the general clinical situation as much as possible. Recruitment will take place at 24 Dutch sites.

The study is divided in two phases: (1) an experimental phase of 6 months, (2) a follow-up phase of 3.5 years. The experimental phase consists of a screening visit (− 3 to 0 months before participating), a baseline visit, a midterm visit (at 3 months post-baseline), and a close-out visit (6 months post-baseline). The follow-up phase consists of four visits (i.e., at 12, 24, 36, and 48 months post baseline). Study examinations scheduled in the course of the study are listed in Table 1 (these are described in more detail in Appendix 2).

Table 1 Overview of assessments during the trial

Study population and eligibility criteria

Study population

A total of 512 patients will be included with a first episode of schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, schizophreniform disorder, brief psychotic disorder, delusional disorder, substance/medication-induced psychotic disorder, or those classified as Unspecified Schizophrenia Spectrum and Other Psychotic Disorders (DSM-5, or as described in the International Classification of Diseases-10), who are in remission for 3–6 months. Patients will be recruited from both inpatient and outpatient settings in 24 health care centers throughout the Netherlands. Randomization (1:1) will be stratified according to the collaborating centers (see Appendix 1 for a list of study sites and health care centers).

Inclusion criteria

  1. 1.

    The participant has had a first episode of psychosis and uses antipsychotic medication.

  2. 2.

    Psychotic symptoms are in remission for 3-6 months.

  3. 3.

    Age 16-55 years.

  4. 4.

    The participant understands the study and is able to provide written informed consent.

  5. 5.

    HAMLETT is the only medical-scientific medication study in which the patient participates.

  6. 6.

    Sufficient knowledge and ability of the Dutch language.

Exclusion criteria

  1. 1.

    Dangerous or harmful behavior (i.e., behavior with a risk of severe physical injury, or actual physical injury inflicted, to self or others) occurred during FEP

  2. 2.

    Coercive treatment with antipsychotic medication during FEP (based on a judicial ruling)

Patient withdrawal

Subjects can leave the study at any time for any reason if they wish to do so, without any consequences. The clinician or investigator can decide to withdraw a subject from the study for urgent medical reasons.

Interventions

Continuation condition

Patients in the continuation condition are treated according to Dutch guidelines [4, 29], which recommend at least 1-year continuation after remission. During this year, medication will be kept within the same range, allowing a 25% dose reduction; increase of dosage is not restricted. After that first year, a shared decision is made for further continuation or gradual discontinuation based on the patient’s motivation and the clinical situation (in case of discontinuation, the tapering schedule as described below can be used). Patients and their treatment team may diverge from this regimen for several reasons, such as intolerable side effects, insufficient efficacy, or the wishes of the patient. In such cases, the patients will remain in the study.

Discontinuation/dose reduction condition

Discontinuation schedules have been prepared by the study team for common antipsychotic drugs available in the Netherlands (including haloperidol, risperidone, quetiapine, olanzapine, clozapine, and aripiprazole; Additional file 1). Discontinuation schedules were constructed on the following principles: smooth and gradual regular lowering of the serum levels of antipsychotic medication. Since we could not use tapering strips, we needed to diminish antipsychotic medication depending on availability of different dosages and the possibility to divide tablets. Treating physicians prescribe the tapering schedule that fits the patient’s type and dose of baseline medication, yet details can be tailored in collaboration with the patient and important relatives. When dose reduction is successful, patients can discontinue their medication completely. Duration of the discontinuation period depends on the starting dose (see Additional file 1). The average duration until complete discontinuation is 3 months.

In a letter for the treating physician, the study team provides recommendations on discontinuation schedules for the various antipsychotics used (Additional file 1) and provides a diary to be used by participants during the tapering process, providing practical advice and a questionnaire focusing on possible early warning signs for psychotic relapse. A signaling plan describing early warning signs and a plan of action is made with the treating physician prior to tapering off medication. Patients can find early warning signs (e.g., social withdrawal, sleep disturbances) in a booklet provided to the patient at the beginning of the study, and they are also noted by the patient/caregiver/family/relatives of the patient. Patients and their treatment team may opt to halt discontinuation at any time or dose when (subclinical) symptoms reappear, in which case participants will remain in the study, even though further discontinuation is not deemed possible. In case early warning signs occur, further tapering off of antipsychotic medication will be halted until early warning signs disappear. Stress reduction will be advised. When early warning signs disappear, tapering off antipsychotic medication can be resumed. When early warning signs become more severe, the dosage of antipsychotic medication will be increased to one level higher (in other words, back to the former step) of the tapering off scheme. When psychotic symptoms occur, treatment with antipsychotic medication will be restarted in the dose that patients used when the first symptomatic remission occurred. See Fig. 1 for an overview.

Fig. 1
figure 1

An overview of the procedure when early warning signs or psychotic symptoms reappear while tapering off medication. EWS early warning signs

Measures

Primary outcome

Personal and social functioning will be evaluated using the WHO-DAS 2.0 disability scale [30]. This questionnaire will be administered as an interview and consists of 36 items covering six domains of functioning in everyday life: cognition (understanding and communicating), mobility (moving and getting around), self-care (hygiene, dressing, eating, and staying alone), getting along (interacting with other people), life activities (domestic responsibilities, leisure, work, and school), and participation (joining in community activities).

Secondary outcomes—cognitive measures

Neurocognitive functioning will be assessed with the Brief Assessment of Cognition in Schizophrenia [31] (BACS). The BACS consists of the following domains:

  1. 1.

    Verbal memory: List learning

  2. 2.

    Working memory: Digit sequencing task

  3. 3.

    Motor speed: Token motor task

  4. 4.

    Verbal fluency: Category instances

  5. 5.

    Verbal fluency: Controlled oral work association test

  6. 6.

    Attention and speed of information processing: Symbol coding

  7. 7.

    Executive functions: Tower of London

Clinical outcomes

  1. 1.

    General functioning will also be evaluated using the Global Assessment of Functioning scale [32] (GAF).

  2. 2.

    Psychotic symptom severity will be measured with the Positive and Negative Symptom Scale [33] (PANSS).

  3. 3.

    Quality adjusted life years (QALYs) will be measured using the EuroQoL [34] (EQ-5D-5 L).

  4. 4.

    The presence and severity of movement disorders will be evaluated using St. Hans Rating Scale [35] (SHRS) and Barnes Akathisia Rating Scale [36] (BARS).

  5. 5.

    Personal recovery with a special focus on hope and self-determination will be assessed using the Recovery Assessment Scale [37] (RAS).

  6. 6.

    Other study parameters are psychotic relapse, rehospitalization, somatic health, obesity, parkinsonian side effects, depressed mood or anxiety, clinical variables (e.g., medication use, time spent with treatment team, premorbid adjustment, side effects), somatic health will be evaluated by measuring weight, height, blood pressure, waist circumference, and body mass index (BMI), and safety data will be evaluated by comparing incidences (number and percentage of subjects) of key serious adverse events (SAEs) between both groups (e.g., relapse and hospitalizations; Appendix 3).

Baseline characteristics

  1. 1.

    Diagnostic information and (socio)demographics will be collected using the Comprehensive Assessment of Symptoms and History [38] (CASH).

  2. 2.

    During each occasion, the following blood levels were determined: high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and fasting glucose, cholesterol, LDL, C-reactive protein (CRP), blood levels of the antipsychotic used. DNA isolation and aliquotation of the serum will also be done.

  3. 3.

    Experience of childhood trauma will be assessed at baseline using the Childhood Trauma Questionnaire–Short Form [39] (CTQ-SF).

Speech production

Antipsychotic medication is known to interact with receptors in language-related areas in the brain [40]. Therefore, antipsychotics are likely to influence language production in patients with a psychotic disorder. By analyzing phonetic, syntactic, and semantic aspects of recorded spoken language using a semi-structured interview at different time points during the study, we aim to analyze the effect of antipsychotic medication on language production.

Optional studies

Ecological momentary assessments and BeHapp

Two embedded ecological momentary assessment (EMA) [41] studies which use smartphone diary apps will be performed. In study 1, 88 patients be will assessed ten times a day at semi-random moments during 7 days to measure momentary positive/negative affect, paranoia, hallucinations, social company, and social functioning and activities. EMA will be completed at baseline, 6 months, and 1, 2, 3, and 4 years follow-up. For study 2, a sub-sample of 30 patients will complete an intensive series of EMA during 16 consecutive weeks in order to analyze within individuals to which degree early changes in the dynamic system of mental states predict future clinical change. Furthermore, we also ask participants to install the ‘BeHapp’ smartphone application [42], in which several aspects of daily life concerning social behavior will be measured passively. The application will continuously monitor frequency and duration of smartphone usage (but not content), as well as information on Bluetooth connections, WiFi, and GPS locations. For a detailed description, see Appendix 3.

Magnetic resonance imaging outcome measures

Differences in brain volume between continuation and discontinuation of antipsychotic medication will be investigated by means of structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (sMRI). Specifically, we will scan 150 patients at baseline, before (dis)continuation and after 12-month follow-up. We will evaluate the effects of antipsychotics on total brain volume and on specific structures such as hippocampus, thalamus, caudate, and parietal and prefrontal cortex, including effects of type of medication and gender. Potential brain volume loss within individuals will be investigated by comparing the two scans with a 12-month follow-up.

Positron emission tomography

Discontinuation of antipsychotic medication after the use of these drugs for several months may render patients especially vulnerable to relapse. The potential mechanism behind this vulnerability could be increased density of postsynaptic dopamine D2 receptors in the striatum. We will investigate the presence of dopaminergic abnormalities, as measured with [11C] raclopride, in relation to antipsychotic medication discontinuation in 30 patients remitted after a FEP. We will scan patients 1–7 days after discontinuation and 6–8 weeks after the first scan.

Resource use

Patients’ health care usage and productivity losses will be measured with the Trimbos and iMTA Cost questionnaire associated with Psychiatric illness [43] (TiC-P), which is the most commonly used health service receipt interview in the Netherlands. This is required to compute heath care costs (including intervention costs), the patients’ out of pocket costs for making round trips to health services, the opportunity costs of relatives and friends when offering care to the patient, and to assess the costs stemming from productivity losses when patients are on sick leave (absenteeism) and when they cut back on work while at work (presenteeism).

Safety measures

After inclusion in the study, a personal patient profile in which individual early warning signs of impending relapse are described will be created. These signs are the individual prodromal signs a patient experienced before their first psychotic episode. Patients and relatives will be instructed to contact professional caregivers in case of occurrence of early warning signs. Treatment will be modified in case of occurrence of early warning signs or other indications of clinical worsening. Documentation of occurrence and severity of signs and symptoms and treatment modification will be assessed during each visit. Patients and their involved relatives will be advised on the tapering off or continuation scheme (depending on the condition and depending on occurrence of early warning signs or psychotic relapse). Adverse events (AEs) are defined as any substantial undesirable experience occurring to a subject during the study (including a psychotic relapse without hospitalization), whether or not considered related to treatment allocation. All AEs and SAEs reported spontaneously by the subject or observed by the clinician or research staff will be recorded, according to the protocol, in the electronic case report form (eCRF).

Sample size

This study will use WHO-DAS 2.0 [30] personal and social functioning as a continuous primary outcome and is powered to detect a standardized mean effect of at least d = 0.33 (minimal effect deemed clinically relevant by Lipsey and Wilson [44]). We assume a clustering effect in the data corresponding to an intra-class correlation coefficient of 0.05. Tests will be conducted with alpha = 0.05 (two-sided) and a power (1-beta) = 0.80. This requires 230 participants per arm. Given the long follow-up, we expect dropout. Although an intention-to-treat analysis is robust against moderate dropout, we aim to include an extra 10% to compensate for dropout. Therefore, we aim to randomize 230/(1 − 0.10) = 256 per arm, or 512 patients in total.

Recruitment and allocation

Recruitment

In total, 24 different specialized health care centers collaborate in the HAMLETT study. Each participating center has a principal investigator (PI) to promote and implement the study within their organization. Each site also has a (part-time) dedicated includer (DI; i.e., who preferably is a member of the clinical staff, for instance a nurse) with the task of facilitating inclusion and assisting clinicians by selecting and inviting potential participants.

Allocation

The randomization will take place after the baseline visit and is conducted by unblinded members of the research team. A web-based application will be used (random.org/sealedenvelipe.com), randomization is stratified for treatment according to the collaborating centers, with a 1:1 allocation ratio. The randomization outcome is communicated directly to the treating physician, together with a suggestion for discontinuation/dose reduction schedule (Table 1) if their patient is randomized to this group. The general practitioner and pharmacist of the patient are also informed.

Blinding

This study will be single-blind: only the assessor who performs the assessments and conducts the interviews is blind for the treatment condition of the patient. When blinding is broken, for example, because a patient communicates about his medication use or discontinuation, the assessor is replaced by another rater who is still blind. Clinicians and patients are not blinded.

Data collection methods and management

Patient visits and examinations specified per visit can be found in Table 1; these are described in more detail in Appendix 2. Participants in the HAMLETT study will receive a gift voucher at each visit, in each study condition (as approved by the ethics committee of the University Medical Center Groningen). Data collection forms are on paper and entered into an eCRF. To ensure data quality, assessors are comprehensively informed and trained regarding Good Clinical Practice (GCP). Experts train users in the proper conduct of the WHO-DAS-2.0 [30], BACS [32], PANSS [33], CASH [38] interview, movement disorder scales (SHRS [35], BARS [36]), and cognitive testing. In addition, the team of assessors have biannual meetings every 6 months during which inter-rater reliability is assessed, new assessors are trained, supervision is given, and protocol adherence is checked.

Privacy laws and regulations will be adhered to during the length of the study. The collection and processing of participants’ personal information will be limited to what is necessary to ensure the study’s scientific practicability, the evaluation of efficacy, adherence, side effects, and the investigational product’s safety. Information collected about participants during this clinical investigation will be treated confidentially. The investigator or her co-workers will collect data and transfer them without recording the patient’s name or date of birth. Instead, data will be coded with a participant identification number.

Only authorized personnel will have access to the identification key. The source documents will be kept in a locked filing cabinet with access limited to research personnel. In accordance with national laws and guidelines and the specifications of the ICH-GCP guidelines, the investigators are obligated to archive all documents pertaining to the study for the legally required time period.

The acquired data and examination results will be entered into an eCRF that is accessible via the internet. Investigators will receive personal user names and passwords for this purpose, and data will be encrypted for transfer. It will be agreed before the start of the study as to which documents serve as source documents for all data entered into the eCRF.

Collaboration with important others

The HAMLETT study is performed in close collaboration with MIND Ypsilon, a Dutch organization of relatives and carers of people with vulnerability to psychosis, and Anoiksis, a Dutch patient organization. When a participant is enrolled in the study, he/she is invited to bring a friend, parent, or other relative to the appointments in order to receive information as well. During the phase in which medication is tapered off, participants are encouraged to engage an important other in this process (this can be a parent, partner, sibling, or close friend). Both the participant and his/her close associate are given a booklet which contains information about potential risks and gains associated with tapering off medication. This also includes a list of questions to assess early warning signs and signs of relapse. Telephone numbers are supplied to indicate how to reach both the treatment team and the HAMLETT study team.

Statistical methods

Hypothesis testing

Research questions 1 to 4 will be tested using generalized linear mixed modeling for continuous outcomes (WHO-DAS 2.0 functioning as a continuous outcome), logistic models for binary outcomes (WHO-DAS 2.0 recovery), and Poisson models for tallies (0, 1, …, N) of psychotic relapses and hospitalizations. The models will take into account the clustered data structure of repeated measures within each patient, and patients being nested in treatment centers. Data will be analyzed according to the intention to treat principle. These analyses will be conducted for both primary outcome and secondary outcomes. The tests will be conducted at α ≤ 0.05 (two-tailed), and reported as stipulated by the CONSORT statement.

Health-economic evaluation

A cost-utility analysis (CUA) and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) will be conducted alongside the study with quality adjusted life years (QALYs) gains and WHO-DAS 2.0 functional recovery as the main outcomes, respectively. Costs will be computed by multiplication of health care units (visits, sessions, contacts, hospital days) by their appropriate standard cost price. Missing cost and outcome data will be imputed using multiple imputation for intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis. Since the study’s follow-up measurements exceed 1 year, both costs and effects will be discounted by 4% and 1.5%, respectively. Cumulative costs and QALY health gains over the study’s follow-up period will be computed with the area under the curve method. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) will be computed to obtain the incremental costs per WHO-DAS 2.0 functional recovery and the incremental costs per EQ-5D-5 L QALY gained. Stochastic uncertainty will be handled using 2500 non-parametric bootstraps and by plotting the simulated ICERs on the ICER plane. For decision-making purposes, the ICER acceptability curve will be graphed for various willingness-to-pay (WTP) ceilings for making judgments whether the dose-reduction/discontinuation intervention offers good value for money relative to maintenance. One-way sensitivity analyses directed at uncertainty in the main cost drivers (e.g., costs of hospital re-admissions after psychotic relapse) and outcomes (e.g., under different imputations) will be performed to assess the robustness of our findings. Both the analysis and reporting of the research findings will conform to the CHEERS statement [45, 46].

Prognostic modeling

Prognostic modeling will be used to identify patient characteristics that predict (1) successful WHO-DAS 2.0 functional recovery, (2) successful discontinuation without psychotic relapses, and (3) greater net-benefits (QALY gains valued in euros minus health care costs). Prognostic modeling will be conducted in R with a suite of models (logistic regression, K-nearest neighbors, classification tree, random forests, gradient boosting, and support vector machine) and will be driven by the following expectations:

  1. 1.

    Patients with longer duration of untreated psychosis, comorbid drug abuse, male gender, lower education and earlier onset of psychosis will carry a poorer prognosis.

  2. 2.

    Dose-reduction/discontinuation will be more successful in patients who have used lower doses of medication, or have used medication with relatively low D2 receptor affinity (clozapine, quetiapine, and olanzapine).

  3. 3.

    Personal and social functioning will be superior in patients who participated in psychosocial interventions such as cognitive behavioral treatment (CBT) and individual placement and support (IPS).

  4. 4.

    Psychotic relapse rates after discontinuation will be lower in patients who received CBT and IPS.

In short, these analyses will address the question of what works best for whom, and may support treatment decisions such as which patients are best referred to dose-reduction and discontinuation.

Interim analysis

Interim analyses are planned to assess if one of the trial’s conditions (either discontinuation or continuation) is associated with markedly inferior outcomes. Interim analyses will be performed after 1 and 3 years by an independent statistician. Dr. Klaas Wardenaar (University Medical Center Groningen, Faculty of Medical Sciences, the Netherlands) kindly agreed to assume this role. The interim analyses will be conducted for the primary efficacy end point of the study obtained from patients in the target population. The statistical analyses will be carried out at the two-sided overall alpha-level of 0.05. The type I error boundaries for statistical significance will be adjusted for multiple comparisons (i.e., total number of analyses = 3). A design-based error spending function using the O’Brien-Fleming boundaries will be applied [47]. The O’Brien-Fleming plan allocates the alpha error conservatively across the interim and final analyses in the study. At the first interim analysis, a two-sided p value will be declared significant if it is less than 0.0021; at the second interim analysis, the respective alpha error boundary will be 0.0105. At the final analysis, the two-sided p value will be declared significant if it is less than 0.025. Based on the outcome at the interim stage (i.e., if p < 0.0021 or p < 0.0105, for the two interim analyses, respectively), the study can be stopped for overwhelming evidence of group difference.

Data monitoring

Medical ethical review board

Ethics approval covering all participating sites was obtained from the research and ethics committee of the University Medical Center Groningen, the Netherlands, protocol number NL 62202.042.17.

Declaration of Helsinki

The study will be conducted in accordance with this protocol as well as the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki (64th WMA general assembly; October 2013). Information collected about participants during this clinical investigation will be treated confidentially.

Patient safety

The study team can at all times be contacted at the telephone number provided on the contact card and letters that the patients receive during the study. The patients’ day-to-day care is the responsibility of the treating physician.

The sponsor/investigator has a liability insurance which is in accordance with article 7, subsection 6 of the WMO. The sponsor (also) has insurance for participants in accordance with the legal requirements in the Netherlands (Article 7 WMO and the Measure regarding Compulsory Insurance for Clinical Research in Humans of 23 June 2003). This insurance provides cover for damage to research subjects through injury or death caused by the study.

  1. 1.

    €650,000.-- (i.e., four hundred and fifty thousand euro) for death or injury for each subject who participates in the research;

  2. 2.

    €5,000,000.-- (i.e., three million five hundred thousand euro) for death or injury for all subjects who participate in the research;

  3. 3.

    €7,500,000.-- (i.e., five million euro) for the total damage incurred by the organization for all damage disclosed by scientific research for the Sponsor as ‘verrichter’ in the meaning of said Act in each year of insurance coverage.

The insurance applies to damage that becomes apparent during the study or within 4 years after the end of the study.

Amendments

A “substantial amendment” is defined as an amendment to the terms of the ERB application, or to the protocol or any other supporting documentation, that is likely to affect to a significant degree:

  • The safety or physical or mental integrity of the subjects of the trial

  • The scientific value of the trial

  • The conduct or management of the trial, or

  • The quality or safety of any intervention used in the trial

All substantial amendments will be submitted for approval to the ERB and to the competent authority. For non-substantial amendments, only a notification will be sent to the accredited ERB, which will be recorded and filed by the sponsor.

Public disclosure and publication policy

The results of the study will be submitted for publication in an international peer-reviewed journal adhering to applicable privacy laws and regulations. Publication strategy will be determined by the principal investigator. No treatment group information will be made available until after study completion.

Discussion

The HAMLETT study investigates the effects of continuation versusdose-reduction/discontinuation of antipsychotic medication after remission of FEP on personal and social functioning, psychotic symptom severity, health-related quality of life, and cognitive functioning, amongst a range of other relevant outcomes. Many studies comparing maintenance treatment with dose reduction/discontinuation have consistently shown that dose reduction/discontinuation increases the risk of psychotic relapse in remitted FEP patients [7,8,9]. Notably, relapse may be associated with antipsychotic treatment resistance in schizophrenia. A recent study by Takeuchi et al. [48] suggests a reduced and/or delayed antipsychotic treatment response in the face of relapse following effective treatment of first episode schizophrenia. Yet, the first study with a long follow-up time by Wunderink and colleagues reported better outcomes after 7 years with early discontinuation in terms of symptomatic and functional remission compared to maintenance treatment [11]. The recent study conducted by Hui and colleagues [13] could not replicate this finding, as they found a higher risk of poor clinical outcome in the discontinuation group compared to the maintenance group when evaluating long-term clinical outcome at 10 years. This underlines the importance of additional long-term cohorts to systematically investigate the effects of the two strategies on different outcomes. HAMLETT is a long-term, well-powered study which is conducted and supported in the majority of Dutch early psychosis treatment units.

Currently, similar trials are being conducted: the TAILOR trial [49] (Denmark), the RADAR study (research into antipsychotic discontinuation and reduction; UK), the reduce trial [50] (Australia), and “A Guided Dose Reduction Trial for Patients with Remitted Psychosis” [51] (Taiwan).

Strengths and limitations of a pragmatic trial

The HAMLETT study is aimed to be the largest randomized controlled trial yet reported that investigates the effects of maintenance treatment versus dose reduction/discontinuation for FEP. HAMLETT is a pragmatic trial, with the population and their treatment resembling the general clinical situation as much as possible to increase ecological validity and also to pave the way to future implementation. We opted for this design as this study aims to provide clear guidance for clinicians and patients on short- and long-term benefits and disadvantages of maintenance treatment and dose-reduction/discontinuation of antipsychotic treatment. The naturalistic set-up of the study has several consequences. First, we kept the exclusion criteria as few as possible. Only when the safety of the participant is at risk will exclusion follow. Patients with, for example, comorbidity and drug- and alcohol abuse will be able to participate, which leads to a heterogeneous sample reflecting clinical practice. Second, to address the issue of selection bias, all FEP patients eligible for the study are registered by the early psychosis treatment units. Data are collected on patients who do not wish to participate in the study (e.g., reason not to participate, age, and gender). Third, patients can start the trial using any type of frequently prescribed antipsychotic drug at any dose (within safety ranges). Fourth, to prevent the average dose in the maintenance arm and the dose reduction/discontinuation arm differing too much from each other, we instruct physicians to not reduce the dose by more than 25%. Fifth, clinicians and patients are informed on the allocated condition as they should be attentive to early warning signs for relapse; researchers are blinded. Lastly, research suggests that 64% of patients discontinuing medication will relapse [6], which could be quite a substantial number in our large sample. However, we expect the relapse rate to be lower in our study as a tapering schedule is provided by which patients will gradually reduce dose over the course of 3–6 months; when this is successful, patients could discontinue completely. When early warning signs are present, the dose can be increased. This way, those who respond well to discontinuation may go on to discontinue completely. The dose of the patients that do require antipsychotic treatment can be reduced as much as possible to remain symptom free.