1 Introduction

The exclusive semileptonic \(B \rightarrow D^* \ell \nu _\ell \) decay is a very intriguing process from a phenomenological point of view, mainly for two reasons: the first one is the \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) puzzle, i.e., the tension between the inclusive and exclusive determinations of the Cabibbo–Kobayashi–Maskawa (CKM) matrix element \(|V_{cb}|\); the second one is the discrepancy between the theory and the experiments in the determination of the \(\tau / \mu \) ratio of the branching fractions, \(R(D^*)\), which is a fundamental test of Lepton Flavour Universality in the Standard Model.

In this work we determine \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) and \(R(D^*)\) using the final lattice results of the FFs entering the semileptonic \(B \rightarrow D^*\) decays, produced recently by the FNAL/MILC Collaborations [1]. To this end we adopt the DM method of Refs. [2, 3], originally proposed in Ref. [4], to obtain the FFs in the whole kinematical range starting from the lattice computations performed at small, but non-vanishing values of the recoil variable (\(w-1\)). The crucial advantage of the DM approach is that the extrapolations of the FFs can be performed in a fully model-independent and non-perturbative way, since no assumption about the functional dependence of the FFs on the recoil w is made and all the theoretical inputs of the DM approach are computed on the lattice (see Refs. [3, 5]). Then, as in Ref. [3], we analyse the experimental data by performing a bin-per-bin extraction of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) using the DM bands of the FFs.

Our result is \(\vert V_{cb} \vert = (41.3 \pm 1.7) \cdot 10^{-3}\), which is compatible with the most recent inclusive determination \(\vert V_{cb} \vert _\mathrm{{incl}} = (42.16 \pm 0.50) \cdot 10^{-3}\) [6]. This implies that the exclusive and the inclusive determinations of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) are now compatible at the \(0.5\sigma \) level. Note that using other weak processes a similar indication was already claimed by the UTfit Collaboration in Ref. [7] and more recently in Ref. [8].

The uncertainty obtained for \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) is larger than those of other analyses available in the literature (see, e.g., Refs. [9,10,11]). In this respect we stress that in our procedure the lattice and the experimental data are two sources of information that we always kept separate at variance with the other analyses. To be more precise, the lattice computations are used in order to derive the allowed bands of the FFs, while the experimental measurements are considered only for the final determination of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \), avoiding in this way any possible bias of the experimental distribution on the theoretical predictions and hence on the extracted value of \(\vert V_{cb}\vert \). This difference justifies the larger uncertainty of our estimate of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) with respect to those of the other analyses.

The DM method allows also to predict the ratio \(R(D^{*})\) from theory, obtaining \(R(D^*) = 0.275 \pm 0.008\), which is compatible with the experimental world average \(R(D^*) = 0.295 \pm 0.011 \pm 0.008\) [12] at the \(\sim 1.3 \sigma \) level.

2 The unitarity bands of the form factors

We apply the DM method to the final lattice computations of the FFs provided by the FNAL/MILC Collaborations [1]. There, in the ancillary files, the authors give the synthetic values of the FFs \(g(w), f(w), {\mathcal {F}}_1(w)\) and \({\mathcal {F}}_2(w)\) at three non-zero values of the recoil variable (\(w-1\)), namely \(w = \{1.03,1.10,1.17\}\), together with their correlations. In what follows, we will refer to the pseudoscalar FF \(P_1(w)\), which is connected to \({\mathcal {F}}_2(w)\) through the relation \(P_1(w) = {\mathcal {F}}_2(w) \sqrt{r} / (1 + r)\), where \(r \equiv m_{D^*}/m_B \simeq 0.38\).

A brief description of the main features of the DM approach is given in Appendix A, while the nonperturbative values of the relevant susceptibilities, computed on the lattice in Ref. [5], are collected in Appendix B.

Using multivariate Gaussian distributions we generate a sample of \(10^5\) events, each of which is composed by 12 data points for the FFs (3 points for each FF) and 3 data points for the relevant susceptibilities. Then, we apply the three unitarity filters of the DM method to the FFs g, \((f, {\mathcal {F}}_1)\) and \(P_1\) (see Eqs. (21)–(23) of Appendix B). They are satisfied only by a reduced number of events. Indeed, the percentage of the surviving events turns out to be only \(\approx 1\%\) after imposing the three unitarity constraints on g, \((f, {\mathcal {F}}_1)\) and \(P_1\). The subset of the surviving events turns out to be very well approximated by a Gaussian Ansatz. Thus, on such subset we recalculate the mean values, uncertainties and correlations of the FFs (and susceptibilities). The changes in the mean values and uncertainties turn out to be quite small, while the application of the unitarity filters has its major impact on the correlations among the FFs. We repeat the generation of the sample using the new input values and we apply again the unitarity filters. Adopting the above iterative procedure the fraction of surviving events for all the FFs increases each time reaching \(\simeq 79 \%\) already after two iterations and \(\simeq 91 \%\) after three iterations. We stop the iteration procedure when the changes of the mean values, uncertainties and correlations of the FFs (and susceptibilities) are less than few permil, which occurs in practice after five iterations.Footnote 1 The resulting DM bands of the FFs are shown in the whole range of values of the recoil w as the blue bands in Fig. 1.

We have also to impose two kinematical constraints (KCs) that relate the FFs f and \({\mathcal {F}}_1\) at \(w = 1\) and the FFs \({\mathcal {F}}_1\) and \(P_1\) at \(w = w_{max} = (1 + r^2) / (2r) \simeq 1.50\), namelyFootnote 2

$$\begin{aligned} {\mathcal {F}}_1(1)= & {} m_B (1 - r) f(1), \end{aligned}$$
(1)
$$\begin{aligned} P_1(w_{max})= & {} \frac{{\mathcal {F}}_1(w_{max})}{m_B^2 (1 + w_{max}) (1 -r) \sqrt{r}}. \end{aligned}$$
(2)

The procedure adopted to include, e.g., the KC (1) is illustrated in details in the Appendix C. We apply again the iterative procedure to increase each time the percentage of surviving events after imposing the filters corresponding to the two KCs (1)–(2). We require a fraction of surviving events \( > rsim 96 \%\) after imposing all the filters (the three unitarity and the two KC filters). The resulting DM bands of the FFs are shown as the red bands in Fig. 1. It can be seen that the proper inclusion of the KCs (particularly the one at \(w = w_{max}\)) has a crucial impact on the extrapolation of the FFs f and \({\mathcal {F}}_1\) at large values of the recoil w. The extrapolations of the FFs at \(w = w_{max}\) read

$$\begin{aligned} f(w_{max})= & {} 4.19 \pm 0.31 ~ \text{ GeV },\nonumber \\ g(w_{max})= & {} 0.180 \pm 0.023 ~ \text{ GeV}^{-1},\nonumber \\ {\mathcal {F}}_1(w_{max})= & {} 11.0 \pm 1.3~\text{ GeV}^2,\nonumber \\ P_1(w_{max})= & {} 0.411 \pm 0.048. \end{aligned}$$
(3)
Fig. 1
figure 1

The bands of the FFs g(w), f(w), \({\mathcal {F}}_1(w)\) and \(P_1(w)\) computed by the DM method after imposing either the unitarity filters only (blue bands) or the unitarity filters and the two KCs (1)–(2) (red bands). The FNAL/MILC values [1] used as inputs for the DM method are represented by the black diamonds

3 Determination of \(\mathbf {\vert V_{cb} \vert }\)

We start from the measurements of the differential decay widths performed by the Belle Collaboration for the semileptonic \(B \rightarrow D^* \ell \nu _\ell \) decays [15, 16].Footnote 3 We now determine a new exclusive estimate of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) by performing a bin-per-bin study of the Belle experimental data. The latter ones are given in the form of 10-bins distribution of the quantity \(d\Gamma / dx\), where x is one of the four kinematical variables of interest (\(x = w, \cos \theta _l, \cos \theta _v, \chi \)) (see [3] for the expressions of the four-dimensional differential decay widths and Refs. [15, 16] for the specific values of the four variables x in each bin). First of all, we generate a sample of values of the FFs g, f, \({\mathcal {F}}_1\) and \(P_1\) to be used for each of the experimental bins using the DM method described in the previous section. With such FFs we compute the theoretical predictions \(d\Gamma ^{th} / dx / |V_{cb}|^2\) for each experimental bin. We also generate an independent sample of values of the experimental differential decay widths \(d\Gamma ^{exp} / dx\) for all the bins. For each event of the sample we compute \(|V_{cb}|\) as the square root of the ratio of the experimental over the theoretical differential decay widths for all the bins. Using the produced events for \(|V_{cb}|\), whose distribution turns out to be very well approximated by a Gaussian Ansatz, we compute the mean values \(\vert V_{cb} \vert _i\) and the corresponding covariance matrix \({\textbf{C}}_{ij}\) for all the bins (\(i, j = 1,\ldots , 10\)). Finally, adopting the best constant fit over the 10 bins we compute \(|V_{cb}|\) and its variance \(\sigma ^2_{\vert V_{cb} \vert } \) for each of the four kinematical variables and for each of the two experiments [15, 16] as

$$\begin{aligned} \vert V_{cb} \vert= & {} \frac{\sum _{i, j=1}^{10} ({\textbf{C}}^{-1})_{ij} \vert V_{cb} \vert _j}{\sum _{i, j=1}^{10} ({\textbf{C}}^{-1})_{ij}}, \end{aligned}$$
(4)
$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^2_{\vert V_{cb} \vert }= & {} \frac{1}{\sum _{i, j=1}^{10} ({\textbf{C}}^{-1})_{ij}}. \end{aligned}$$
(5)

In Fig. 2 we show the bin-per-bin distributions of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) for each kinematical variable x and for each experiment, together with their final weighted mean values. The latter ones are collected also in Table 1 together with the corresponding values of the reduced \(\chi ^2\)-variable, \(\chi ^2/(\text{ d.o.f.})\), being the number of d.o.f. equal to 9. As already noted in Ref. [3], we observe anomalous underestimates of the mean values of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) in the case of some of the variables x, which correspond also to large values of the reduced \(\chi ^2\)-variable.

Fig. 2
figure 2

The bin-per-bin estimates of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) and their weighted means (4)–(5) for each kinematical variable x and for each experiment adopting the original covariance matrices of the Belle experiments. The blue squares and the red circles correspond respectively to the first [15] and to the second [16] set of the Belle measurements. The dashed blue (red) bands are the results of Eqs. (4)–(5) in the case of the blue squares (red circles) for each variable x (see Refs. [15, 16] for the specific values of the four variables x in each bin)

Table 1 Mean values and uncertainties of the CKM element \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) obtained by the correlated average (4)–(5) for each of the four kinematical variables x and for each of the two experiments [15, 16] adopting the original covariance matrices of the Belle experiments. The corresponding values of the reduced \(\chi ^2\)-variable, \(\chi ^2/(\text{ d.o.f.})\), are also shown

We adopt the alternative strategy described in Ref. [3] for each of the two Belle experiments. We consider the relative differential decay rates given by the ratios \((d\Gamma / dx) / \Gamma \) (where \(x = w, \cos \theta _l, \cos \theta _v, \chi \)) for each bin by using the experimental data. In this way we guarantee that the sum over the bins is exactly independent (event by event) of the choice of the variable x. Hence, we compute a new correlation matrix using the events for the ratios \((d\Gamma / dx) / \Gamma \). The new correlation matrix has four eigenvalues equal to zero, because the sum over the bins of each of the four variable x is always equal to unity. In other words, the number of independent bins for the ratios is 36 and not 40 for each experiment. Then, following Ref. [3] a new covariance matrix of the experimental data is constructed by multiplying the new correlation matrix by the original uncertainties associated to the measurements.

Thus, we repeat the whole procedure for the extraction of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) using the new experimental covariance matrices. In Fig. 3 we show the bin-per-bin distributions of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) for each kinematical variable x and for each experiment, together with their final weighted mean values. The latter ones are collected also in Table 2. A drastic improvement of the values of the reduced \(\chi ^2\)-variable is obtained for each of the kinematical variable x and for each of the two Belle experiments.

Fig. 3
figure 3

The same as in Fig. 2, but using the new experimental covariance matrices described in the text

Table 2 The same as in Table 1, but using the new experimental covariance matrices described in the text

Then, we combine the mean values of Table 2 through the formulæ [18]

$$\begin{aligned} \mu _x= & {} \frac{1}{N} \sum _{k=1}^N x_k, \end{aligned}$$
(6)
$$\begin{aligned} \sigma _x^2= & {} \frac{1}{N} \sum _{k=1}^N \sigma _k^2 + \frac{1}{N} \sum _{k=1}^N(x_k-\mu _{x})^2, \end{aligned}$$
(7)

where the second term in the r.h.s. of Eq. (7) accounts for the spread of the values of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) corresponding to the various kinematical variables and experiments. We obtain for each of the two Belle experiments the averages

$$\begin{aligned} \vert V_{cb} \vert= & {} (41.8 \pm 1.5) \cdot 10^{-3} \qquad \text{ Ref. } \text{[15] }\\= & {} (40.8 \pm 1.7) \cdot 10^{-3} \qquad \text{ Ref. } \text{[16] } \end{aligned}$$

and by further combining the two Belle experiments the final estimate

$$\begin{aligned} \vert V_{cb} \vert = (41.3 \pm 1.7) \cdot 10^{-3}, \end{aligned}$$
(8)

which is compatible with the most recent inclusive determination \(\vert V_{cb} \vert _\mathrm{{incl}} = (42.16 \pm 0.50) \cdot 10^{-3}\) [6] at the \(0.5\sigma \) level.

Without the modification of the experimental covariance matrices (i.e. using the eight mean values shown in Table 1 and in Fig. 2) the final estimate of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) would have read

$$\begin{aligned} \vert V_{cb} \vert = (40.5 \pm 1.7) \cdot 10^{-3}, \end{aligned}$$

which is still compatible with the most recent inclusive determination at the \(1\sigma \) level.

Fig. 4
figure 4

The differential decay width \(d\Gamma / dw\) measured by the two Belle experiments [15, 16] in the 10 experimental w-bins compared with the corresponding theoretical predictions obtained in this work using the DM bands for the FFs, based on the FNAL/MILC synthetic data [1] (see Fig. 1), and adopting for \(|V_{cb}|\) our final determination given by Eq. (8)

From Fig. 3 we note that:

  1. (a)

    in the top left panel the value of \( \vert V_{cb} \vert \) exhibits some dependence on the specific w-bin. The value obtained adopting a constant fit is dominated by the bins at small values of the recoil, where direct lattice data are available and the length of the momentum extrapolation is limited;

  2. (b)

    in the bottom left panel the value of \( \vert V_{cb} \vert \) deviates from a constant behavior, as it is also signaled by the large value of the corresponding reduced \(\chi ^2\)-variable for the second set of the Belle measurements. Instead of a constant fit, we try a quadratic one of the form \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \left[ 1 + \delta B \, \text{ cos}^2(\theta _v) \right] \), suggested by the structure of the differential decay rate \(d\Gamma / d \text{ cos }(\theta _v)\) within the Standard Model and beyond (see, e.g., Ref. [19])). If the dependence of the experimental and theoretical decay rates upon \(\text{ cos }(\theta _v)\) were the same, then the parameter \( \delta B\) would identically vanish. Instead we get a non-vanishing value of the parameter \( \delta B\), namely: \(\vert V_{cb} \vert = (41.1 \pm 1.4) \cdot 10^{-3}\) and \( \delta B = 0.144 \pm 0.074\) for the first set [15] of the Belle measurements, and \(\vert V_{cb} \vert = (40.8 \pm 1.0) \cdot 10^{-3}\) and \( \delta B = 0.184 \pm 0.050\) for the second set [16]. The values of \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) are consistent with each other and also with the corresponding values obtained adopting a constant fit and shown in the fourth column of Table 2.

Both observations may be related to a different w-slope of the theoretical FFs based on the lattice results of Ref. [1] with respect to the Belle experimental data [15, 16], as shown in Fig. 4. This crucial issue (a kind of a new slope puzzle) needs to be further investigated by forthcoming calculations of the FFs at non-zero recoil expected from the JLQCD Collaboration [20] as well as by future improvements of the precision of the experimental data.

4 Evaluation of \(R(D^*)\) and polarization observables

By using the unitarity bands of the FFs we can compute the pure theoretical expectation values of the ratio \(R(D^*)\), the \(\tau \)-polarization \(P_{\tau }(D^*)\) and the longitudinal \(D^*\)-polarization \(F_L(D^*)\), obtaining

$$\begin{aligned} R(D^*)= & {} 0.275 \pm 0.008,\nonumber \\ P_{\tau }(D^*)= & {} -0.529 \pm 0.007,\nonumber \\ F_L(D^*)= & {} 0.414 \pm 0.012 \end{aligned}$$
(9)

to be compared with the experimental values

$$\begin{aligned} R(D^*)\vert _\mathrm{{exp}}= & {} 0.295 \pm 0.011 \pm 0.008 \qquad \text{ Ref. } \text{[12] },\nonumber \\ P_{\tau }(D^*)\vert _{\exp }= & {} -0.38 \pm 0.51^{+0.21}_{-0.16} \qquad \text{ Ref. } \text{[21] },\nonumber \\ F_L(D^*)\vert _{\exp }= & {} 0.60 \pm 0.08 \pm 0.04 \qquad \text{ Ref. } \text{[22] }. \end{aligned}$$
(10)

While the theoretical and the experimental values of \(P_{\tau }(D^*)\) are in agreement (mainly due to the larger experimental uncertainty), the compatibility for \(R(D^*)\) and \(F_L(D^*)\) is at the \(\sim 1.3 \sigma \) and \(\sim 2.1 \sigma \) level, respectively. Note that the \(R(D^*)\) anomaly results to be smaller with respect to the \(\sim 2.5 \sigma \) tension stated by HFLAV Collaboration [12].

In Ref. [3] the DM method was applied to the final lattice data for the \(B \rightarrow D \ell \nu _\ell \) transition provided by the FNAL/MILC Collaboration [23]. We obtained for the ratio R(D) the pure theoretical estimate \(R(D) = 0.296 \pm 0.008\), which is consistent with the experimental world average \(R(D)\vert _\mathrm{{exp}} = 0.340 \pm 0.027 \pm 0.013\) [12] at the \(\sim 1.4 \sigma \) level. In Fig. 5 we show the comparison of the DM results for the two ratios R(D) and \(R(D^*)\) with the corresponding experimental world averages from HFLAV [12].

Fig. 5
figure 5

The contour plots of the DM results for the ratios R(D) and \(R(D^*)\), obtained respectively in Ref. [3] and in this work, compared with those corresponding to the experimental world averages from HFLAV [12]

Note that we have considered our values for R(D) and \(R(D^*)\) as uncorrelated. This is motivated by the absence of any information about possible correlations among the lattice FFs entering the \(B \rightarrow D\) and \(B \rightarrow D^*\) decays and by the fact that the correlation induced by the vector transverse susceptibility \(\chi _{1^-}(0)\), which is present in both channels, is very mild, as we have explicitly checked.

5 Conclusions

In this work we have applied the DM method [2, 3] to the lattice computations of the FFs entering the semileptonic \(B \rightarrow D^* \ell \nu _\ell \) decays, produced recently by the FNAL/MILC Collaborations [1] at small, non-zero values of the recoil. Thanks to the DM method the FFs have been extrapolated in the whole kinematical range accessible to the semileptonic decays in a completely model-independent and non-perturbative way, implementing exactly both unitarity and kinematical constraints.

Using our theoretical bands of the FFs we have determined \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) from the experimental data and computed \(R(D^*)\) from theory. Our final result for \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) is \(\vert V_{cb} \vert = (41.3 \pm 1.7) \cdot 10^{-3}\), which is compatible with the latest inclusive determination \(\vert V_{cb} \vert _\mathrm{{incl}} = (42.16 \pm 0.50) \cdot 10^{-3}\) [6] at the \(0.5\sigma \) level. Moreover, we have obtained the pure theoretical value \(R(D^*) = 0.275 \pm 0.008\), which is compatible with the experimental world average at the \(\sim 1.3 \sigma \) level. Together with future improvements of the precision of experimental data, new forthcoming lattice determinations of the FFs at non-zero recoil, expected from the JLQCD Collaboration [20], will be crucial to confirm our present indication of a sizable reduction of the \(\vert V_{cb} \vert \) puzzle.