Abstract
This paper presents a method for deriving optimal lower and upper bounds for probabilities and conditional probabilities (given a σ-field) for various combinations of events. The optimality is understood as the possibility that inequalities become equalities for some sets of events. New generalizations of the Jordan formula and the Bonferroni inequalities are obtained. The corresponding conditional versions of these results are also considered.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
A. N. Frolov, “On inequalities for probabilities wherein at least r from n events occur,” Vestn. St. Petersburg Univ.: Math. 50, 287–296 (2017). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1063454117030074
A. N. Frolov, “On inequalities for probabilities of joint occurrence of several events,” Vestn. St. Petersburg Univ.: Math. 51, 286–295 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1063454118030032
A. N. Frolov, “Bounds for probabilities of unions of events and the Borel-Cantelli lemma,” Stat. Probab. Lett. 82, 2189–2197 (2012).
A. N. Frolov, “On lower and upper bounds for probabilities of unions and the Borel-Cantelli lemma,” Stud. Sci. Math. Hung. 52, 102–128 (2015).
W. Feller, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications (Wiley, New York, 1957; Mir, Moscow, 1967), Vol. 1, in Ser.: Wiley Series in Probability and Mathematical Statistics.
J. Galambos, “Bonferroni inequalities,” Ann. Probab. 5, 577–581 (1977).
J. Galambos, I. Simonelli, Bonferroni-Type Inequalities with Applications (Springer-Verlag, New York, 1996).
F. M. Hoppe and E. Seneta, “A Bonferroni-type identity and permutation bounds,” Int. Stat. Rew. 58, 253–261 (1990).
S. Kounias and J. Marin, “Best linear Bonferroni bounds,” SIAM J. Appl. Math. 30, 307–323 (1976).
S. Kounias and K. Sotirakoglou, “Upper and lower bounds for the probability that r events occur,” J. Math. Programming. Oper. Res. 27, 63–78 (1993).
E. Margaritescu, “Improved Bonferroni inequalities,” Rev. Roum. Math. Pures Appl. 33, 509–515 (1988).
T. F. Móri and G. J. Székely, “A note on the background of several Bonferroni-Galambos-type inequalities,” J. Appl. Probab. 22, 836–843 (1985).
A. Prékopa, “Boole-Bonferroni inequalities and linear programming,” Oper. Res. 36, 145–162 (1988).
Recsei E and E. Seneta, “Bonferroni-type inequalities,” Adv. Appl. Probab. 19, 508–511 (1987).
M. Sobel and V. R. R. Uppuluri, “On Bonferroni-type inequalities of the same degree for probabilities of unions and intersections,” Ann. Math. Stat. 43, 1549–1558 (1972).
A. M. Walker, “On the classical Bonferroni inequalities and the corresponding Galambos inequalities,” J. Appl. Probab. 18, 757–763 (1981).
K. L. Chung and P. Erdős, “On the application of the Borel-Cantelli lemma,” Trans. Am. Math. Soc. 72, 179–186 (1952).
D. A. Dawson and D. Sankoff, “An inequality for probabilities,” Proc. Am. Math. Soc. 18, 504–507 (1967).
E. G. Kounias, “Bounds for the probability of a union, with applications,” Ann. Math. Stat. 39, 2154–2158 (1968).
S. M. Kwerel, “Bounds on the probability of the union and intersection of m events,” Adv. Appl. Probab. 7, 431–448 (1975).
E. Boros and A. Prékopa, “Closed form two-sided bounds for probabilities that at least r and exactly r out of n events occurs,” Math. Oper. Res. 14, 317–342 (1989).
D. de Caen, “A lower bound on the probability of a union,” Discrete Math. 169, 217–220 (1997).
H. Kuai, F. Alajaji, and G. Takahara, “A lower bound on the probability of a finite union of events,” Discrete Math. 215, 147–158 (2000).
A. N. Frolov, “On inequalities for probabilities of unions of events and the Borel-Cantelli lemma,” Vestn. St. Petersburg Univ.: Math. 47, 68–75 (2014). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1063454114020034
A. N. Frolov, “On estimation of probabilities of unions of events with applications to the Borel-Cantelli lemma,” Vestn. St. Petersburg Univ.: Math. 48, 175–180 (2015). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1063454115030036
A. N. Frolov, “On inequalities for conditional probabilities of unions of events and the conditional Borel-Cantelli lemma,” Vestn. St. Petersburg Univ.: Math. 49, 379–388 (2016). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1063454116040063
A. N. Frolov, “On inequalities for values of first jumps of distribution functions and Hölder’s inequality,” Stat. Probab. Lett. 126, 150–156 (2017).
Acknowledgments
The author is grateful to anonymous reviewers, whose comments favored the improvement of the text of this paper.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
About this article
Cite this article
Frolov, A.N. On Bounds for Probabilities of Combinations of Events, the Jordan Formula, and the Bonferroni Inequalities. Vestnik St.Petersb. Univ.Math. 52, 178–186 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1063454119020055
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1063454119020055