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Short-Term Forecast of Water Levels in Don Mouth Area Using Hydrodynamic Simulation

  • THE CURRENT STATE AND THE PROSPECTS OF RIVER MOUTH HYDROLOGY: TO THE 90TH ANNIVERSARY OF V. N. MIKHAILOV
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Abstract

The article presents the results of the test operation of a calculation–simulation complex (CSC) for level forecasting in a navigable branch in Don R. mouth area with daily lead-time (CSC Don-model). The main component of the CSC is a hydrodynamic model of the Don mouth area, combined with a model of Sea of Azov circulation. The quality of level forecasts is evaluated, and the main sources of forecast errors are identified.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors are grateful to colleagues from the Rostov Hydrometeocenter, North-Caucasian HMSD for active participation in the process of information exchange and timely providing the observation data.

Funding

The article was prepared under research theme 4.6 “Development of Models, Methods, and Technologies for Monitoring the Hydrochemical Conditions and Pollution of Russian Seas and Assessing the Hydrochemical Conditions and Pollution of Seas in Russia and Assessing the Hydrological Conditions of Seas and Marine River Mouths” (АААА-А20-120042190045-6 of April 21, 2020).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Zubov State Oceanographic Institute, Roshydromet, 119034, Moscow, Russia

    I. V. Zemlyanov, A. E. Pavlovskii, I. Yu. Milyutina, O. V. Gorelits & A. A. Sapozhnikova

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  1. I. V. Zemlyanov
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  2. A. E. Pavlovskii
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  3. I. Yu. Milyutina
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  4. O. V. Gorelits
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  5. A. A. Sapozhnikova
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Correspondence to O. V. Gorelits.

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Translated by G. Krichevets

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Zemlyanov, I.V., Pavlovskii, A.E., Milyutina, I.Y. et al. Short-Term Forecast of Water Levels in Don Mouth Area Using Hydrodynamic Simulation. Water Resour 49, 808–819 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807822050177

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807822050177

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