Skip to main content
Log in

Variations of the Present-Day Annual and Seasonal Runoff in the Far East and Siberia with the Use of Regional Hydrological and Global Climate Models

  • Published:
Water Resources Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A method of spatial calibration and verification of regional numerical physically based models of river runoff formation, incorporating runoff formation processes in the main river channel and its tributaries, was used to obtain a statistical estimate of the quality of river runoff calculation by conventional and alternative criteria focused on runoff reproduction in different phases of water regime and the characteristics of its variations. The analysis of the simulation quality of the annual and mean monthly river runoff (average runoff, standard deviation, and the coefficient of variation) at the near-mouth gages over the historical period with boundary conditions represented by data of global climate models showed the results to be satisfactory. This allows the proposed combination of climate and hydrological models to be used to study physically based regional variations of water regime under different physiographic and climatic conditions in the examined river basins with flood runoff regime (the Amur R.) and the predominant snowmelt runoff during spring flood (the Lena R.).

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Frieler, K., Lange, S., Piontek, F. et al., Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming—simulation protocol of the inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project (ISIMIP2b), Geosci. Model Dev., 2017, vol. 10, no. 12, pp. 4321–4345.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Gelfan, A., Gustafsson, D., Motovilov, Y., Arheimer, B., Kalugin, A., Krylenko, I., and Lavrenov, A., Climate change impact on water regime of two great arctic rivers: modeling and uncertainty issues, Clim. Change, 2017, vol. 141, no. 3, pp. 499–515.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Kalugin, A.S., Runoff formation model of the Amur R. and its application to access the possible changes in water regime, Cand. Sci. (Geogr.) Dissertation, Moscow: Water Problems Inst., Russian Academy of Sciences, 2016, p. 185.

    Google Scholar 

  4. Kalugin, A.S. and Motovilov, Yu.G., Runoff formation model for the Amur river basin, Water Resour., 2018, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 149–159.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Krysanova, V., and Hattermann, F., Intercomparison of climate change impacts in 12 large river basins: overview of methods and summary of results, Clim. Change, 2017, vol. 141, no. 3, pp. 363–379.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Moriasi, D.N., Gitau, M.W., Pai, N., and Daggupati, P., Hydrologic and water quality models: performance measures and evaluation criteria, Trans. ASABE, 2015, vol. 58, no. 6, pp. 1763–1785.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Motovilov, Yu.G., Hydrological simulation of river basins at different spatial scales: 1. Generalization and averaging algorithms, Water Resour., 2016, vol. 43, no. 3, pp. 429–437.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Motovilov, Y., Gottschalk, L., Engeland, L., and Rodhe, A., Validation of a distributed hydrological model against spatial observation, Agric. For. Meteorol., 1999, vols. 98–99, pp. 257–277.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Wang, X., Yang, T., Wortmann, M., Shi, P., Hattermann, F., Lobanova, A., and Aich, V., Analysis of multi-dimensional hydrological alterations under climate change for four major river basins in different climate zones, Clim. Change, 2017, vol. 141, no. 3, pp. 483–498.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. S. Kalugin.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Kalugin, A.S. Variations of the Present-Day Annual and Seasonal Runoff in the Far East and Siberia with the Use of Regional Hydrological and Global Climate Models. Water Resour 45 (Suppl 1), 102–111 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807818050366

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807818050366

Keywords

Navigation