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Statistical Analysis of Intra- and Interannual Variability of Extreme Values of Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes in the North Atlantic in 1979–2021

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Abstract

Statistical regularities of the intra- and interannual variability of sensible and latent heat fluxes in the North Atlantic, including those based on identifying regression dependencies with various averaging of time series, are investigated. Various characteristics of fluxes are estimated, such as maxima and minima over the water basin, mean values, and medians. Based on ERA5 reanalysis data in 1979–2021, the evolution of these values in the North Atlantic is studied and compared with the behavior of the heat fluxes, both from year to year and within a mean climatic year. It is shown that there is a positive trend in the fluxes; parameters of the fluxes are estimated. The spatiotemporal variability of the extreme characteristics of fluxes (maximum and minimum) over the computational domain at fixed times is analyzed.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Statistical analysis of the spatiotemporal reanalysis data was performed using the infrastructure of the Shared Research Facilities “High Performance Computing and Big Data” (CKP “Informatics”) of the Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow).

Funding

The studies by K.P. Belyaev were carried out as part of the State Task of the Shirshov Institute of Oceanology (no. FMWE-2021-0002) and with partial support from the Russian Science Foundation, grant no. 20-17-00139.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, 117997, Moscow, Russia

    K. P. Belyaev

  2. Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 119333, Moscow, Russia

    K. P. Belyaev, A. K. Gorshenin & V. Yu. Korolev

  3. Moscow State University, 119991, Moscow, Russia

    K. P. Belyaev, V. Yu. Korolev & A. D. Plekhanov

  4. Moscow Center for Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, 119991, Moscow, Russia

    V. Yu. Korolev

Authors
  1. K. P. Belyaev
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  2. A. K. Gorshenin
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  3. V. Yu. Korolev
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  4. A. D. Plekhanov
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Correspondence to A. K. Gorshenin.

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Translated by E.G. Morozov

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Belyaev, K.P., Gorshenin, A.K., Korolev, V.Y. et al. Statistical Analysis of Intra- and Interannual Variability of Extreme Values of Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes in the North Atlantic in 1979–2021. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 58, 609–624 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433822060044

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