Abstract
Using the data of the ERA-Interim reanalysis, we have obtained estimates of changes in temperature, the geopotential and its large-scale zonal harmonics, wind velocity, and potential vorticity in the troposphere and stratosphere of the Northern and Southern hemispheres during the 11-year solar cycle. The estimates have been obtained using the method of multiple linear regression. Specific features of response of the indicated atmospheric parameters to the solar cycle have been revealed in particular regions of the atmosphere for a whole year and depending on the season. The results of the analysis indicate the existence of a reliable statistical relationship of large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic processes in the troposphere and stratosphere with the 11-year solar cycle.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
L. G. Gray, J. Beer, M. Geller, et al., “Solar influence on climate,” Rev. Geophys. 48, RG4001 (2010). doi 10.1029/2009RG000282
K. Labitzke, M. Kunze, and S. Brönnimann, “Sunspots, the QBO and the stratosphere in the north polar region—20 years later,” Meteorol. Z. 15 (3), 355–363 (2006).
A. N. Gruzdev and V. A. Bezverkhnii, “Possible ozone influence on the quasi-biennial oscillation in the equatorial stratosphere,” Dokl. Earth Sci. 434 (1), 1279–1284 (2010).
L. L. Hood and B. E. Soukharev, “The lower-stratospheric response to 11-yr solar forcing: Coupling to the troposphere–ocean response,” J. Atmos. Sci. 69 (6), 1841–1864 (2012).
Y. Brugnara, S. Brönnimann, J. Luterbacher, and E. Rozanov, “Influence of the sunspot cycle on the Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation from long upper-air data sets,” Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13 (13), 6275–6288 (2013).
J. Zhou and K.-K. Tung, “Observed tropospheric temperature response to 11-yr solar cycle and what it reveals about mechanisms,” J. Atmos. Sci. 70 (1), 9–14 (2013).
A. Kuchar, P. Sacha, J. Miksovsky, and P. Pisoft, “The 11-year solar cycle in current reanalyses: A (non)linear attribution study of the middle atmosphere,” Atmos. Chem. Phys. 15 (12), 6879–6895 (2015).
M. Fujiwara, T. Hibino, S. K. Mehta, L. Gray, D. Mitchell, and J. Anstey, “Global temperature response to the major volcanic eruptions in multiple reanalysis data sets,” Atmos. Chem. Phys. 15 (23), 13507–13518 (2015).
H. Gleisner, P. Thejll, M. Stendel, E. Kaas, and B. Machenhauer, “Solar signals in tropospheric reanalysis data: Comparing NCEP/NCAR and ERA40,” J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phys. 67 (8–9), 785–791 (2005).
C. Claud, C. Cagnazzo, and P. Keckhut, “The effect of the 11-year solar cycle on the temperature in the lower stratosphere,” J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phys. 70 (16), 2031–2040 (2008).
J. J. Bauman, P. B. Russell, M. A. Geller, and P. Hamill, “A stratospheric aerosol climatology from SAGE II and CLAES measurements: 2. Results and comparison, 1984–1999,” J. Geophys. Res. 108 (D13), 4383 (2003). doi 10.1029/2002JD002993
A. N. Gruzdev and V. A. Bezverkhnii, “Quasi-biennial oscillation in the atmosphere over North America from ozonesonde data,” Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 41 (1), 29–42 (2005).
A. N. Gruzdev and V. A. Bezverkhnii, “Quasi-biennial variations in ozone and meteorological parameters over western Europe from ozonesonde data,” Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 42 (2), 203–214 (2006).
A. N. Gruzdev, “Latitudinal structure of trends and effect of solar activity in stratospheric NO2,” Dokl. Earth Sci. 416 (7), 1057–1061 (2007).
A. N. Gruzdev, “Latitudinal dependence of variations in stratospheric NO2 content,” Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 44 (3), 319–333 (2008).
A. N. Gruzdev, “Latitudinal structure of variations and trends in stratospheric NO2,” Int. J. Remote Sens. 30 (15), 4227–4246 (2009).
A. N. Gruzdev, “Estimate of the effect of the 11-year solar activity cycle on the ozone content in the stratosphere,” Geomagn. Aeron. (Engl. Transl.), 54 (5), 633–639 (2014).
A. N. Gruzdev, “Estimate of the effects of Pinatubo eruption in stratospheric O3 and NO2 contents taking into account the variations in the solar activity,” Atmos. Oceanic Opt. 27 (5), 403–411 (2014).
T. A. Agekyan, Basics of Error Theory (Nauka, Moscow, 1972) [in Russian].
L. G. Gray, S. T. Rumbold, and K. P. Shine, “Stratospheric temperature and radiative forcing response to 11-year solar cycle changes in irradiance and ozone,” J. Atmos. Sci. 66 (8), 2403–2417 (2009).
B. E. Soukharev and L. L. Hood, “Solar cycle variation of stratospheric ozone: Multiple regression analysis of longterm satellite sets and comparison with models,” J. Geophys. Res. 111, D20314 (2006). doi 10.1029/ 2006JD007107
A. N. Gruzdev and V. A. Semenov, “Temperature response to the change in the stratospheric ozone content during the 11-year cycle of solar activity according to the climate model results,” in Atmospheric and Oceanic Optics, Atmospheric Physics: Proceedings of the XXII International Symposium (IOA SO RAN, Tomsk, 2016), pp. D368–D371 [in Russian].
N. Butchart, “The Brewer–Dobson circulation,” Rev. Geophys. 52 (2), 157–184 (2014).
J. R. Holton, An Introduction to Dynamical Meteorology (Elsevier, Burlington, 2004).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Original Russian Text © A.N. Gruzdev, 2017, published in Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk, Fizika Atmosfery i Okeana, 2017, Vol. 53, No. 4, pp. 502–511.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Gruzdev, A.N. Variations in the temperature and circulation of the atmosphere during the 11-year cycle of solar activity derived from the ERA-Interim reanalysis data. Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 53, 441–448 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433817040053
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433817040053