Skip to main content

Part of the book series: International Papers in Political Economy Series ((IPPE))

  • 654 Accesses

Abstract

This chapter examines the impact of the recent global crisis on emerging economies and draws a number of policy conclusions. It shows that the impact of the crisis was more pronounced in countries that had initial weaker fundamentals and greater openness to global financial and trade links. It is also revealed that while emerging economies had exhibited some resilience through the early stages of the financial turmoil, they have been hit hard since the mid-2008. While this is partly explained by the collapse in world trade and the sharp drop in commodity prices, this will not tell the full story. Misguided policies in the major economies of the world, especially the USA, produced a dangerous situation in some of the emerging economies, leading to the creation of bubbles. This chapter investigates the transmission mechanisms that seem to be in operation in this regard; and will conclude by offering policy recommendations to the emerging economies to reduce their exposure to external vulnerabilities.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Akyüz, Y. (2013) Waving or Drowning: Developing Countries After the Financial Crisis, South Centre, Research Paper 48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Akyüz, Y. (2014) Crisis Mismanagement in the United States and Europe: Impact on Developing Countries and Longer-term Consequences, South Centre, Research Paper 50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Akyüz, Y. (2015) Internationalization of Finance and Changing Vulnerabilities in Emerging and Developing Economies, South Centre, Research Paper 60.

    Google Scholar 

  • Albo, G. (2012) ‘The Crisis and Economic Alternatives’, in L. Panitch, G. Albo and V. Chibber (eds), The Question of Strategy, Socialist Register, London: Merlin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Asmundson, I., Dorsey T., Khachatryan, K., Niculcea, I., and Saito, M. (2011) Trade and Trade Finance in the 2008–2009 Financial Crisis, IMF Working Paper WP/11/16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baker, D. (2009) Plunder and Blunder: the Rise and Fall of the Bubble Economy, San Francisco: PoliPoint Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barnett, S. (2014) ‘China: Slower Growth, but Bigger Economy’. Available at http://www.hufflngtonpost.com/steven-barnett/china-economy-growth_b_5105990.html.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bibow, J. (2010) Global Imbalances, the US Dollar, and How the Crisis at the Core of Global Finance Spread to ‘Self-insuring’ Emerging Economies, Levy Institute, Working paper no. 591.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bird, M. (2015) ‘China’s House Price Crisis is Creating a Perverse Bailout Bubble for Property Companies’. Available at http://uk.businessinsider.com/chinas-house-price-crisis-creating-a-bailout-bubble-lor-property-companies-2015-3.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bishop, K. (2013) ‘What Cuts? US Austerity “Tougher Than in Europe”’. Available at http://www.cnbc.com/id/101201622.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boorman, J. (2009) ‘The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Emerging Economies, the Transmission Mechanism, Policy Responses and Lessons’, Emerging Markets Forum. Available at http://osservatoriocrisi.progetti.informest.it/docs/archivio/altri/OERARC76.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Buttiglione, L., Lane, P.R., Reichlin, L. and Reinhart, V. (2014) Deleveraging? What Deleveraging?, Geneva: International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colombo, J. (2013) ‘Thailand’s Bubble Economy is Heading for a 1997-style Crash’. Available at http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2013/11/04/thailands-bubble-economy-is-heading-for-a-1997-style-crash/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colombo, J. (2013a) ‘The Emerging Markets Bubble’. Available at http://www.thebubblebubble.com/emerging-markets-bubble/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colombo, J. (2014) ‘Why the Worst is Still Ahead for Turkey’s Bubble Economy’. Available at http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2014/03/05/why-the-worst-is-still-ahead-for-turkeys-bubble-economy/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colombo, J. (2014a) ‘A Guide to South Africa’s Economic Bubble and Coming Crisis’. Available at http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2014/03/19/a-guide-to-south-africas-economic-bubble-and-coming-crisis/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colombo, J. (2014b) ‘Why Singapore’s Economy is Heading for an Iceland Style Meltdown’. Available at http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2014/01/13/why-singapores-economy-is-heading-for-an-iceland-style-meltdown/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Curran, E. (2015) ‘China to be Superpower That Wasn’t, Sage of Japan Slide Say’. Available at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-02/china-will-be-superpower-that-wasn-t-sage-of-japan-demis.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dooley, M. and Hutchinson, M. (2009) ‘Transmission of the US Subprime Crisis to Emerging Markets. Evidence on the Decoupling-Recoupling Hypotheses’. Available at http://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/64057.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • European Union Chamber of Commerce in China (EUCCC) (2009) ‘Overcapacity in China: Causes, Impacts and Recommendations’. Available at http://www.europeanchamber.com.cn/en/overcapacity-in-china.

    Google Scholar 

  • European Mortgage Federation (EMF) (2013) ‘A Review of European Mortgage and Housing Markets’. Available at http://hb.betterregulation.com/external/Hypostat%202013%20-%20A%20review%20of%20Europes%20mortgage%20and%20housing%20markets.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Feng, W. (2011) ‘The End of “Growth With Equity”? Economic Growth and Income Inequality in East Asia’, AsiaPacific Issues, June. Analysis from the East-West Center, no. 101.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fidrmuc, J. and Korhonen, L (2009) ‘The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Business Cycles in Asian Emerging Economies’. Available at http://hdl.handle.net/10419/30422.

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman, D. (2013) ‘China’s Consumption to the Rescue?’ Available at http://www.understandingchina.eu/Chinaideascommunity/LatestresearchonChina/tabid/887/PostID/2754/Default.aspx.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fung, E. (2015) ‘China Month-on-month December Housing Prices Fall at Slower Pace’. Available at http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-month-on-month-december-housing-prices-fall-at-slower-pace-1421548940.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ghosh, J. (2013) ‘The Global Economic Chessboard and the Role of the BRICS: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa’. Available at http://www.global-research.ca/the-global-economic-chessboard-and-the-role-of-the-brics-brazil-russia-india-china-south-africa/5357502.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grey, B. (2013) ‘Turmoil in Emerging Economies: A Symptom of a Global Crisis’. Available at http://www.globalresearch.ca/turmoil-in-emerging-economies-a-symptom-of-global-crisis/5347057.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hersh, A. (2013) ‘Fiscal Austerity Is Undermining Long-Term US Economic Prospects’. Available at https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/economy/news/2013/06/06/64608/fiscal-austerity-is-undermining-long-term-u-s-economic-prospects/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hilary J. (2013) The Poverty of Capitalism: Economic Meltdown and the Struggle for What Comes Next, London: Pluto Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hung, H.-E (2009) ‘America’s Head Servant? The PRC’s Dilemma in the Global Crisis’, New Left Review, 60 (November–December).

    Google Scholar 

  • Hung, H.-E (2011) ‘Sinomania: Global Crisis, China’s Crisis’, in L. Panitch, G. Albo and V. Chibber (eds), The Crisis and the Left, Socialist Register2012, London: The Merlin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hung, H.-E (2013) ‘China’s Rise Stalled?’, New Left Review, 81 (May–June).

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2007) World Economic Outlook, Globalization and Inequality, October. Available at https://www.iml.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2007/02/pdl/text.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2009) Review of Recent Crisis Programs. Available at https://www.iml.org/external/np/pp/eng/2009/091409.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2010) How did Emerging Markets Cope in the Crisis? Available at https://www.iml.org/external/np/pp/eng/2010/061510.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2014) Global Financial Stability Report, Moving from Liquidity- to Growth-Driven Markets, April. Available at http://www.iml.org/external/pubs/FT/GFSR/2014/01/pdf/text.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • IMF (2015) World Economic Outlook Database, April. Available at http://www.imf.org/external/ns/cs.aspx?id=28.

    Google Scholar 

  • International Labour Organisation (ILO) (2015) Global Wage Report 2014/15: Wages and Income Inequality, Geneva. Available at http://www.ilo.org/global/publications/books/WCMS_324678/lang-en/index.htm.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jianwu, H. and Kuijs, L. (2007) Rebalancing China’s Economy — Modelling a Policy Package, World Bank China Research Paper no. 7.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jomo, K.S. (2006) Growth with Equity in East Asia, DESA Working Papers no. 33.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kavoussi, B. (2012) ‘Average Cost of a Factory Worker in the US, China and Germany’. Available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/08/average-cost-factory-worker_n_1327413.html.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keles, O. (2015) ‘An Assessment of Turkish External Debt’. Available at http://www.turkishweekly.net/op-ed/3283/an-assessment-of-turkish-external-debt.html.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keynes, J.M (1936) The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, London: Macmillan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Khor, M. (2009) ‘Statement by the South Centre’. Available at http://www.un.org/ga/president/63/interactive/financialcrisis/southcentre.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krugman, P. (1988) Financing vs. Forgiving a Debt Overhang, NBER Working Paper, No. 2486.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Kynge, J. (2014) ‘Emerging Markets, Fears of Contagion’. Available at http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b201ae8e-89a5-11e3-8829-00144feab7de.html#slide0.

    Google Scholar 

  • Laccino, L. (2014) ‘China: More than 82 Million People Live Below Poverty Line’. Available at http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/china-more-82-million-people-live-below-poverty-line-1470313.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lapavitsas, C. et al. (2012) Crisis in the Euro Zone, London: Verso.

    Google Scholar 

  • Llaudes, R., Salman, E and Chivakul, M. (2010) The Impact of the Great Recession on Emerging Markets, IMF Working Paper, WP/10/237.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lynch, D. (2011) ‘China Will Face Crisis Within 5 Years Investors Say’. Available at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2011-;01-26/china-willlace-crisis-within-5-years-45-ol-investors-in-global-poll-say

    Google Scholar 

  • McKinsey Global Institute (2015) ‘Debt and (Not Much) Deleveraging’. Available at http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/economic_studies/debt_and_not_much_deleveraging.

    Google Scholar 

  • McNally D. (2011) Global Slump: The Economics and Politics of Crisis and Resistance, Oakland, CA: PM Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • McNally, D. (2011b) ‘Slump, Austerity and Resistance’, in L. Panitch, G. Albo and V. Chibber (eds), The Crisis and the Left, Socialist Register 2012, London: The Merlin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Minxin, P. (2015) ‘China’s Slowing Economy: the Worst Yet to Come’. Available at http://lortune.com/2015/01/21/china-economy-growth-slowdown/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mishra, P., Moriyama, K., N’Diaye, P., and Nguyen, L. (2014) Impact of Ted Tapering Announcements on Emerging Markets, IMF Working Paper, WP/14/109.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moreno, E.L. and Blanco, Z.G. (2014) ‘Ghost Cities and Empty Houses: Wasted Prosperity’, American International Journal of Social Science, 3(2), pp. 207–16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morris, C.R. (2008) The Two Trillion Dollar Meltdown: Easy Money, High Rollers and the Great Credit Crash, New York: Public Allairs.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moyo, D. (2012) Winner Take All: China’s Race for Resources and What it Means for Us, London: Penguin Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Naude, W. (2009) ‘The Financial Crisis of 2008 and the Developing Countries’. Available at http://hdl.handle.net/10419/84665.

    Google Scholar 

  • Naughton, B. (2008) ‘Understanding the Chinese Stimulus Package’. Available at http://www.hoover.org/sites/delault/liles/uploads/documents/CLM28BN.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ocampo, J.A. (2009) ‘Latin America and the Global Financial Crisis’, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33, pp. 703–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Page, J. (1994) The East Asian Miracle: Tour Lessons for Development Policy, Washington, DC: World Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Piketty, T. (2014) Capital in the Twenty-Tirst Century, Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Pooler, M. (2014) ‘Tackling Turkish Debt: Will it Work?’ Available at http://blogs.ft.com/beyond-brics/2014/05/15/tackling-turkish-debt-will-it-work/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Qinglian, H. (2015) ‘China’s “Marshall Plan” Will Not Solve Overcapacity in China’s Economy’. Available at http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/1248064-chinas-marshall-plan-will-not-solve-overcapacity-in-chinas-economy/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rasmus, J. (2015) ‘China and the Shadow Bankers’. Available at http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/01/09/china-and-the-shadow-bankers/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reddy S.G. (2005) ‘Counting the Poor: the Truth About World Poverty Statistics’, in L. Panitch and C. Leys (eds), Telling the Truth, Socialist Register, 2006, London: The Merlin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roberts, D. (2013) ‘Overcapacity Threatens China Growth’. Available at http://www.bloomberg.com/bw/articles/2013-12-11/overcapacity-threatens-china-growth.

    Google Scholar 

  • Singh, A. and Singh, G. (2014) Almost Steady East Asian Rise: Implications for Labour Markets and Income Distribution, Working Paper no. 456.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sonniez, M. (2014) ‘Lira Leads the Way in Emerging Currency Devaluation’. Available at http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/lira-leads-the-way-in-emerging-currency-devaluation-.aspx?PageID=238&NID=72573&NewsCatID=344.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stiglitz, J.E. (2013) The Price of Inequality: How Today’s Divided Society Endangers Our Future, London: Penguin Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations (UN) (2015) World Economic Situation and Prospects. Available at http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/wesp/wesp_archive/2015wesp_lull_en.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • United States Government Accountability Office (2011) ‘Federal Reserve System: Opportunities Exist to Strengthen Policies and Processes for Managing Emergency Assistance’, July.

    Google Scholar 

  • Whitehouse, M (2014) ‘Is China’s Bubble the Next Financial Crisis?’ Available at http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014–10-09/is-china-s-bubble-the-next-ftnancial-crisis.

    Google Scholar 

  • World Bank (2010) ‘INFRA Update’. Available at http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTSDNET/Resources/5944695-;1247775731647/INFRA_China_Newsletter.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • World Bank (2015) International Debt Statistics Available at http://data.worldbank.org/sites/delault/files/ids2015.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yu, Y. (2010) The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on the Chinese Economy and China’s Policy Responses, Penang: Third World Network.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yu, X. (2012) China Family Panel Studies. Available at http://www.isss.edu.cn/crps/d/lile/EN/Documentation/js/2014-09-18/bedee4470e0469260939e40eac2415c9.pdf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zalewski, P. (2014) ‘How Debt Threatens Turkey’s Economy’. Available at http://www.lt.com/cms/s/0/0b9b66bc-cc98-11e3-ab99-001441eabdc0.html#axzz3a4DRdoQA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhuang, J., Kanbur, R. and Rhee, C. (2014) Rising Inequality in Asia and Policy Implications, Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Copyright information

© 2016 Ahmad Seyf

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Seyf, A. (2016). The Emerging Economies and the Great Recession. In: Arestis, P., Sawyer, M. (eds) Emerging Economies During and After the Great Recession. International Papers in Political Economy Series. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137485557_2

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics