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Multinational Enterprises and Economic Development in Host Countries: What We Know and What We Don’t Know

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Development Finance

Part of the book series: Palgrave Studies in Impact Finance ((SIF))

Abstract

The attraction of multinational enterprises (MNEs) has become a key component of development policies, although the net benefits of an FDI-assisted development strategy depends not only on the quantity of FDI but also on the MNE’s investment motivations, the affiliates’ mandate and autonomy, which in turn determine the potential for linkages and spillovers. These effects also depend on the capacity of domestic firms to absorb, internalise and upgrade their knowledge assets. However, the tools to measure linkages and spillovers are increasingly outdated, as ‘FDI’ and ‘MNEs’ are no longer synonyms, since MNEs are increasingly able to control value chains without ownership through equity. This means that objectively judging if MNE activity have a net positive or negative effect, and whether such effects persist or attenuate over time, is increasingly complicated.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The adoption of ‘market-friendly’ policies, including the withdrawal of impediments to free capital movements, were, in fact, an important component of structural adjustment programmes supported by those multilateral agencies (Narula 2014).

  2. 2.

    Reuber et al. (1973) and Lall and Streeten (1977) were among the early studies that analysed the theme through a more conventional economics lens.

  3. 3.

    When recording Balance of Payments statistics, most countries follow the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) recommendations. The IMF adopts the OECD’s definition: ‘direct investment is a category of cross-border investment associated with a resident in one country having control or significant degree of influence on the management of an enterprise that is resident in another economy’ (IMF 2009, p. 100). According to the IMF’s definition, a significant degree of influence occurs when the foreign investor owns from 10% to 50% of the voting rights. The 10% threshold is taken as an indication of a long-lasting relationship between the investor and the invested entity (OECD 2008).

  4. 4.

    Henceforth referred to as developing economies, unless explicitly stated.

  5. 5.

    UNCTAD continues to classify some high-income economies, such as Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan, as developing economies, which distorts these figures somewhat.

  6. 6.

    Ideally, inward FDI stock statistics should show the value of the assets owned by non-residents, which should include reinvested earnings and adjust for intra-company flows. However, few countries collect such data. For countries in which these data are missing, international agencies like UNCTAD estimate FDI stocks taking the accumulation of flows over a certain period as a proxy. This practice is imperfect, as it relies on historical prices instead of market value and disregards reinvested earnings by MNEs on host economies. Nonetheless, the figures tend to be more meaningful than FDI flows when discussing development effects.

  7. 7.

    Building on the concept of comparative advantage put forth by David Ricardo, the Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) model replaced Ricardo’s idea of comparing relative productivity between countries by a prediction of the patterns of international trade based on factor endowments. The model predicts that a country will specialise in products that use their abundant production factors and import those which require factors which are scarce. The model depends on a set of rather restrictive assumptions, such as the adoption of identical technologies by different countries and constant returns to scale, besides factor immobility between countries.

  8. 8.

    Leontief (1953) tested the H-O model with US data, arriving at the striking conclusion that imports were more capital-intensive than exports, even though the US was capital rich.

  9. 9.

    For an overview of that early literature, see Iversen (1935).

  10. 10.

    Buckley (2011) presents a review of the ‘pre-Hymer’ literature on international business, recognising its fragmented nature and the lack of a ‘packaged form’. For a summary of the key theoretical literature on International Business, see Dunning (2001) and Dunning and Lundan (2008).

  11. 11.

    Dunning (1993) actually proposed a longer list of nine motives, but five were labelled secondary by him and ended up being forgotten by the academic community. Obviously, in real world firms often have more than one motive to invest in a specific location (Cuervo-Cazurra and Narula 2015).

  12. 12.

    Cuervo-Cazurra et al. (2015) propose a novel classification of internalisation motives, theoretically grounded on behavioural economics and highlighting the roles of firms’ ownership advantages (or lack of) and home and host countries’ location advantages (or disadvantages). According to the proposed taxonomy, firms expand abroad to: (a) sell more; (b) buy better; (c) upgrade; or (d) escape. The first is close to Dunning’s market-seeking motive while the second combines resource-seeking and efficiency-seeking. The third resembles strategic asset-seeking, while the fourth retrieve one of Dunning’s (1993) lost motives, and is related to avoiding institutional voids or other poor home country conditions.

  13. 13.

    The IDP follows the structuralist tradition in which structural change is a central feature of economic development. Economic structure of countries evolve from a dependency on natural assets – land, mineral deposits, unskilled labour – to an increasing dependence on created assets – capital, technology, skilled labour (Narula 1996). Structural change has to do with: Allocation of labour between agriculture, manufacturing and services; capital, skill and knowledge intensity of production techniques; consumption patterns (subsistence, standardised, differentiated goods); and sources of comparative advantages (natural assets, created assets), among others (Lall 1996). Hence, transition to higher stages of the IDP depends on the development of the infrastructure, human capital and institutions demanded at each level of economic development.

  14. 14.

    For a more detailed description of the IDP stages, see Dunning and Narula (1996).

  15. 15.

    Duran and Ubeda (2001) confirmed that structural variables has a strong explanatory power on inward FDI for developing countries, but not for developed countries. Narula (1996) showed that created assets are important determinants of both inward and outward FDI among developed countries, but not among developing countries.

  16. 16.

    Nevertheless, Narula and Dunning (2010) acknowledge that the oversimplification of the role of policies and their influence on the interaction between location advantages of countries and ownership advantages of firms constitute a weakness of the IDP.

  17. 17.

    Zanfei (2012) criticises the use of the term ‘externality’ for this type of competition effect since the increase in the domestic firm’s efficiency is determined by its own strategy and resource commitment and not by the behaviour of other firms.

  18. 18.

    In the long run this effect should disappear as the least productive firms exit the market.

  19. 19.

    Several empirical studies have confirmed that MNEs pay higher salaries. See Aitken et al. (1996), for Mexico and Venezuela, Lipsey and Sjoholm (2004), for Indonesia, and Chen et al. (2011), for China.

  20. 20.

    Nevertheless, it must be noticed that, in this case, the effect is not likely to squeeze the MNE’s rents, differently to what might occur when the leakage benefits its direct competitors (Kugler 2000).

  21. 21.

    The first studies used cross-sectional data aggregated at sectoral level, finding mostly positive and statistically significant spillovers. Haddad and Harrison (1993) is the first known published study that employed firm-level panel-data – which became the norm in the 2000s – but failed to find significant spillovers. According to some meta-analyses (Gorg and Strobl 2001; Meyer and Sinani 2009), cross-sectional studies tended to overestimate the real horizontal spillovers, since they do not control for possible reverse causality, that is, FDI flowing to more productive industries, and for unobservable heterogeneity among firms.

  22. 22.

    There is some evidence of publication bias (Gorg and Strobl 2001; Havranek and Irsova 2011, 2012), a problem that occur when studies providing the ‘right’ results are more likely to be selected for publication. The selection mechanism is usually guided by the preference of editors and referees for statistically significant results validating hypothesis or theories. According to Havranek and Irsova (2012), findings seems to obey a research-cycle: pioneer studies tend to report large and significant estimates because only strong results convince the journal editors about the relevance of the theme; as time passes, sceptical results become preferred, as they are considered more interesting.

  23. 23.

    Meyer and Sinani (2009) developed some hypotheses linking the occurrence of horizontal spillovers to the level of economic development of the countries. According to their reasoning, in low-income countries technological gap is wide, so domestic firms benefit from FDI since the MNEs would not have incentives to prevent the diffusion of standardised knowledge to firms that does not target the same market (upper-end domestic or export) as them. Moreover, the marginal cost of adopting some processes is low, while the benefits may be large. In middle-income countries, crowding-out is more likely, since the scope for imitation is narrower and concentrated in proprietary assets, and direct competition between MNEs and domestic firms is more probable as their ownership advantages are less different than in the former case, although a gap remains. Finally, in high-income countries, the competition effect is benign, since it forces domestic firms to react to foreign presence by means of improving their capabilities.

  24. 24.

    One of the most widespread criticisms against FDI-assisted development was the inadequacy of the technologies brought in by the MNEs, which were regarded as being excessively capital-intensive for countries where the abundant production factor was unskilled labour (Ahmad 1978; Lall 1978). However, this criticism implicitly supposes that capital-intensive technologies can be adapted relatively easily depending on factor prices conditions, what is rarely true. Furthermore, by doing this, the MNE would be giving up one of its most important ownership advantages, say, superior technology.

  25. 25.

    Countries like South Korea and Taiwan cannot be seen as followers of a purely export-oriented strategy from the 1960s to the 1980s since they maintained a large set of policies very similar to those adopted by Latin American countries at that time (Amsden 1989; Wade 1990).

  26. 26.

    The classification of subsidiaries was done through the application of factor analysis to a questionnaire answered by the firms about the importance they attribute to innovation initiatives. Competence-creating subsidiaries were associated mainly to product diversification, market power expansion and introduction of new products. Competence-exploiting subsidiaries were associated to labour and product cost reduction and flexible production.

  27. 27.

    The term ‘investment’ has different meanings in the System of National Accounts (SNA) and in the Balance of Payments (BP). In the SNA, investment is a synonym of gross fixed capital formation and means the additions (in a given period) to the stock of fixed assets that can be used to produce more goods in the future (UN 2003). Therefore, this concept of investment includes machinery, buildings, roads etc., but excludes non-produced fixed assets such as land. In the BP, investment is a financial flow. The funds may be used to acquire existing assets or to build new ones. Inflows of investment increase the financial liabilities of the country, outflows of investment increases the financial assets of the country. The sum of the assets and liabilities indicates the net investment position of the country.

  28. 28.

    According to the author, this result may had been driven by the prevalence of acquisitions, many of them through privatisation, and the use of the proceeds of the sales in consumption instead of domestic investment, since he had failed to find a positive relationship between FDI and total capital investment (Mencinger 2003).

  29. 29.

    See Blomstrom and Kokko (2003) for a number of convincing arguments against FDI incentives.

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Narula, R., Pineli, A. (2017). Multinational Enterprises and Economic Development in Host Countries: What We Know and What We Don’t Know. In: Giorgioni, G. (eds) Development Finance. Palgrave Studies in Impact Finance. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-58032-0_6

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