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Idiosyncratic epistasis creates universals in mutational effects and evolutionary trajectories

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Abstract

Patterns of epistasis and shapes of fitness landscapes are of wide interest because of their bearings on a number of evolutionary theories. The common phenomena of slowing fitness increases during adaptations and diminishing returns from beneficial mutations are believed to reflect a concave fitness landscape and a preponderance of negative epistasis. Paradoxically, fitness decreases tend to decelerate and harm from deleterious mutations shrinks during the accumulation of random mutations—patterns thought to indicate a convex fitness landscape and a predominance of positive epistasis. Current theories cannot resolve this apparent contradiction. Here, we show that the phenotypic effect of a mutation varies substantially depending on the specific genetic background and that this idiosyncrasy in epistasis creates all of the above trends without requiring a biased distribution of epistasis. The idiosyncratic epistasis theory explains the universalities in mutational effects and evolutionary trajectories as emerging from randomness due to biological complexity.

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Fig. 1: Idiosyncratic index of a wide variety of phenotype landscapes.
Fig. 2: Negative correlation between mutational effect and background fitness as a result of idiosyncratic epistasis.
Fig. 3: Fitness declines decelerate during mutation accumulation as a result of idiosyncratic epistasis.
Fig. 4: Adaptation slows as a result of idiosyncratic epistasis.

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Data availability

Data analysis and simulations for all landscapes except the tRNA and model landscapes were performed using R version 3.5.2. Analysis and simulations for the tRNA and model landscapes were performed using Python version 3.6.9. All figures were made with the matplotlib package in Python and Keynote. New data are available at https://github.com/lyonsdm/idiosyncrasy.

Code availability

Code is available at https://github.com/lyonsdm/idiosyncrasy.

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Acknowledgements

We thank A. Kondrashov, A. Lauring and members of the Zhang laboratory for valuable comments. This work was supported by US National Institutes of Health (NIH) research grant R01GM103232 to J.Z. D.M.L. was supported by NIH F31AI140618.

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Contributions

D.M.L., Z.Z. and J.Z. conceived of and designed the study. D.M.L. and Z.Z. performed the research and analysed the data. H.X. provided the mathematical proofs. All authors contributed to writing the paper.

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Correspondence to Jianzhi Zhang.

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Extended data

Extended Data Fig. 1 The high idiosyncrasy indices (Iid) observed are not due to phenotype measurement errors or the use of standard deviation (SD) instead of range of mutational effects.

a, SD-based Iid of the yeast tRNA fitness landscape is insensitive to the number of experimental replicates used in the fitness estimation. Boxplots show the distribution of Iid values of 828 single mutations in the tRNA landscape, calculated based on different numbers of replicates. The lower and upper edges of a box represent the first (qu1) and third (qu3) quartiles, respectively, the horizontal line inside the box indicates the median (md), the whiskers extend to the most extreme values inside inner fences, md ± 1.5(qu3 − qu1), and the grey dots represent values outside the inner fences (outliers). Violet dots show mean Iid of all mutations calculated based on respective numbers of replicates. b, Range-based Iid for various phenotype landscapes. Error bars show standard errors. Detailed information of each landscape is provided in Supplementary Table 1. Shown in red is the fraction of mutations exhibiting sign epistasis in each phenotype landscape.

Extended Data Fig. 2 Negative correlation between mutational effect and background phenotype in GFP and RNA stability landscapes.

a, Distribution of Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) between mutational effect and background phenotype for individual mutations in the GFP landscape. b, Distribution of r for individual mutations in the RNA stability landscape. c, Relationship between background phenotype and mutational effect for all mutations in the GFP landscape. d, Relationship between background phenotype and mutational effect for all mutations in the RNA stability landscape. MFE, minimum free energy. The red line depicts the running mean in non-overlapping X-axis bins of width = 0.02 and 2 in (c, d), respectively, in all bins with more than 10 data points. There is no measurement error in the RNA stability landscape. Shared measurement error between mutational effect and background fitness cannot be controlled for in GFP as replicate fitness measurements are not available. For each mutation and its reverse, we considered a random one of them in (c, d).

Extended Data Fig. 3 Patterns of correlation between mutational effect and background fitness/phenotype for individual beneficial or deleterious mutations in various landscapes.

a, Boxplots showing distributions of correlations in a series of n-order landscapes of 16 sites (where the highest order of nonzero interaction is indicated on the X-axis) for beneficial (blue) and deleterious (red) mutations, respectively. The lower and upper edges of a box represent the first (qu1) and third (qu3) quartiles, respectively, the horizontal line inside the box indicates the median (md), the whiskers extend to the most extreme values inside inner fences, md ± 1.5(qu3 − qu1), and the dots represent values outside the inner fences (outliers). b-d, Frequency distributions of correlations for individual beneficial mutations (blue) and deleterious mutations (red) in the tRNA (b), GFP (c), and RNA stability (d) landscapes. Whether a mutation is beneficial or deleterious is determined in reference to the wild-type (tRNA and GFP) or an arbitrary reference genotype (n-order and RNA stability). The wider distribution for deleterious than beneficial mutations is at least in part due to the larger number of deleterious than beneficial mutations.

Extended Data Fig. 4 Average fitness trajectories of mutation accumulation simulated in various n-order additive landscapes (k = 1) with different numbers of sites (n).

The mean trajectories are scaled so that the minimum fitness appearing in the trajectory is 0 and the maximum is 1 to allow direct comparison.

Extended Data Fig. 5 Fitness declines decelerate during mutation accumulation as a result of idiosyncratic epistasis.

a, A total of 5000 fitness trajectories of mutation accumulation simulated in the GFP landscape, with the average trajectory shown in black, at each step when the trajectory number exceeds 10. b, A total of 350 fitness trajectories of mutation accumulation simulated in the RNA stability landscape, with the average trajectory shown in black. The dotted lines indicate the mean phenotypic value of all genotypes in the landscape, excluding non-active genotypes in the GFP landscape. For comparison, the dashed line in (a) or (b) represents the predicted linear decline given the slope in the first mutational step.

Extended Data Fig. 6 Idiosyncratic epistasis is necessary but not sufficient to cause decelerating adaptations.

a, Gamma distributions of genotype fitness for house-of-cards landscapes, with different values of the gamma shape parameter α. b, Theoretically computed mean fitness trajectories of adaptation on landscapes in (a) with corresponding colors. c, Average adaptive trajectories starting from the genotype with the lowest fitness (0), simulated in a series of n-order landscapes of 16 sites where each nonzero interaction term of each genotype is drawn from a gamma distribution of α = 1. d, Average adaptive trajectories starting from the genotype with the lowest fitness (0), simulated in a series of n-order landscapes of 16 sites where each nonzero interaction term of each genotype is drawn from a beta distribution with a=b=0.25. For each landscape in (c) and (d), the distribution of epistasis between mutations is symmetrical with mean equal to 0.

Extended Data Fig. 7 Adaptation slows in empirical phenotype landscapes.

a, A total of 5000 adaptive trajectories simulated in the GFP landscape, with the average trajectory shown in black, at each step when the trajectory number exceeds 10. b, A total of 350 adaptive trajectories simulated in the RNA stability landscape, with the average trajectory shown in black, at each step when the trajectory number exceeds 10. For comparison, the dashed line in (a) or (b) represents the predicted linear increase given the slope in the first mutational step.

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Lyons, D.M., Zou, Z., Xu, H. et al. Idiosyncratic epistasis creates universals in mutational effects and evolutionary trajectories. Nat Ecol Evol 4, 1685–1693 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-01286-y

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