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Tumour growth rate improves tumour assessment and first-line systemic treatment decision-making for immunotherapy in patients with liver metastatic uveal melanoma

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Abstract

Background

The RECIST-based response variably matches the clinical benefit of systemic therapies for liver metastatic uveal melanoma (LMUM). The aims were to determine whether the tumour growth rate (TGR) can help predict the survival in patients with LMUM and to provide information for the management of first-line systemic treatment.

Methods

This retrospective study included 147 (training: n = 110, validation: n = 37) patients with LMUM treated with first-line systemic treatment between 2010 and 2021. Two TGR-derived parameters were calculated, TGR0 and TGR3m. Multivariate Cox analyses identified independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

TGR3m was a strong independent prognostic factor of PFS and OS (p < 0.001). The RECIST-based response was no longer significant in the OS analyses. Only immunotherapy regimens correlated with higher OS (HR = 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1–0.5; p < 0.001) in the low-TGR3m (≤50%/m) subgroup. These findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. TGR0, disease-free interval (DFI), and the sum of target lesions at baseline were predictive factors of low TGR3m.

Discussion

The use of TGR3m would improve tumour assessment by identifying patients who would benefit from first-line immunotherapy regimens despite PD. TGR0, DFI and the sum of target lesions were correlated with TGR3m, which can support first-line treatment decision-making for immunotherapy.

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Fig. 1
Fig. 2: Changes in TGR and correlation with RECIST-based response at 3 months in the training cohort.
Fig. 3: Survival analyses by TGR-derived parameters in the training cohort (n = 110).
Fig. 4: Overall survival by systemic treatment (second-line immunotherapy excluded) stratified by TGR3m in the training cohort.

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Data availability

The data generated in this study are available upon request from the corresponding author.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Conceptualisation: TR and VS; methodology: TR, AC and VS; software: TR; validation: all authors; formal analysis: TR and VS; investigation: all authors; resources: SP, NC, LL, DM, SG, GP, PM and VS; data curation: TR, AC and VS; writing—original draft preparation: TR; writing—review and editing: TR, AC, MR, LC, PM and VS; visualisation: all authors; supervision: VS; project administration: VS; funding acquisition: VS. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Toulsie Ramtohul or Vincent Servois.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Institutional Review Board approval was obtained from the Institut Curie prior to the initiation of this study.

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Ramtohul, T., Cohen, A., Rodrigues, M. et al. Tumour growth rate improves tumour assessment and first-line systemic treatment decision-making for immunotherapy in patients with liver metastatic uveal melanoma. Br J Cancer 127, 258–267 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41416-022-01793-8

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