Skip to main content
Log in

Landslide susceptibility prediction using frequency ratio model: a case study of Uttarakhand, Himalaya (India)

  • Research Paper
  • Published:
Proceedings of the Indian National Science Academy Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to develop a landslide susceptibility prediction model by applying the Frequency Ratio (FR) model and remote sensing data sets for the Northern part of Uttarakhand, India. First, a landslide inventory was carried out from the interpretation of satellite images. Thereafter, the landslide inventory points were randomly separated into training and validation datasets. Subsequently, the significant landslide causative factors such as slope, lithology, lineament density, land use/land cover, drainage density, aspect, elevation, road buffer, normalized differential vegetation index (NDVI), stream power index, and topographic wetness index were identified to run the model set up. Next, applying the FR statistical model in a GIS environment for development of landslide susceptibility index map and divided into five distinct landslide susceptibility zones (very low, low, moderate, high, and very high). To validate the results, the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve were developed to check the accurrancy of the model, and it was observed that the prediction value of the FR model was reasonably accurate (86.1% at 95% confidence level). The output LSI map would be helpful for the government and planners to map and monitor potential landslide areas and mitigate the hazards.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abedini, M., Tulabi, S.: Assessing LNRF, FR, and AHP models in landslide susceptibility mapping index: a comparative study of nojian watershed in Lorestan province, Iran. Environ. Earth Sci. 77(11), 405 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • Akgun, A.: A comparison of landslide susceptibility maps produced by logistic regression, multi-criteria decision, and likelihood ratio methods: A case study at İzmir, Turky.  Landslides 9(1), 93–106 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  • Al-Saady, Y., Merkel, B., Al-Tawash, B., Qusay Al-Suhail: Land use and land cover (LULC) mapping and change detection in the little Zab River Basin (LZRB), Kurdistan Region, NE Iraq and NW Iran. FOG-Freiberg Online Geoscience 43. (2015)

  • Bonham-Carter, G.F.: Geographic information systems for geoscientists-modeling with GIS. Comput. Methods Geosci. 13, 398 (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  • Bui, D., Tien, B., Pradhan, O., Lofman, I., Revhaug, Oystein, B.D.: Landslide susceptibility assessment in the Hoa Binh province of Vietnam: A comparison of the Levenberg–Marquardt and bayesian regularized neural networks. Geomorphology. 171, 12–29 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  • Bui, D., Tien, B., Pradhan, I., Revhaug, D.B., Nguyen, H.V., Pham, Quy Ngoc Bui: A novel hybrid evidential belief function-based fuzzy logic model in spatial prediction of rainfall-induced shallow landslides in the Lang Son city area (Vietnam). Geomatics Nat. Hazards Risk. 6(3), 243–271 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  • Catani, F., Lagomarsino, D., Segoni, S., Tofani, V.: Landslide susceptibility estimation by random forests technique: sensitivity and scaling issues. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 13(11), 2815 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen, W., Xie, X., Peng, J., Shahabi, H., Hong, H., Bui, D.T., Duan, Z., Li, S., A-Xing Zhu: GIS-based landslide susceptibility evaluation using a novel hybrid integration approach of bivariate statistical based random forest method. Catena. 164, 135–149 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • Dai, F.C., Lee, C.F.: Landslide characteristics and slope instability modeling using GIS, Lantau Island, Hong Kong. Geomorphology. 42(3–4), 213–228 (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  • Dai, F.C., Lee, C.F., Li, J.X.Z.W., Xu, Z.W.: Assessment of landslide susceptibility on the natural terrain of Lantau Island, Hong Kong. Environ. Geol. 40(3), 381–391 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  • Das, I., Stein, A., Kerle, N., Dadhwal, V.K.: Probabilistic landslide hazard assessment using homogeneous susceptible units (HSU) along a national highway corridor in the northern Himalayas, India. Landslides 8(3), 293–308 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  • Deng, X., Li, L., Yufang Tan: Validation of spatial prediction models for landslide susceptibility mapping by considering structural similarity. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 6(4), 103 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Dilley, M., Chen, R.S., Deichmann, U., Arthur, L., Lerner-Lam, and Margaret Arnold: Natural Disaster Hotspots: A Global risk Analysis. The World Bank (2005)

  • ESRI, A.: ArcGIS 10.1. Environmental Systems Research Institute, Redlands. (2012)

  • Fayez, L., Pazhman, D., Pham, B.T., Dholakia, M., Solanki, H., Khalid, M., Prakash, I.: Application of frequency ratio model for the development of Landslide susceptibility mapping at part of Uttarakhand State, India. Int. J. Appl. Eng. Res. 13, 6846–6854 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • Froude, M.J., Petley, D.: Global fatal landslide occurrence from 2004 to 2016. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 18, 2161–2181 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gao, H., Fam, P.S., Tay, L.T., Low, H.C.: An overview and comparison on recent landslide susceptibility mapping methods. Disaster Adv. 12(12), 46–64 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Geomatica: II, and Geomatica OrthoEngine. “Geomatica I.“ (2004)

  • Gomez, H.: Assessment of shallow landslide susceptibility using artificial neural networks in Jabonosa River Basin, Venezuela. Eng. Geol. 78(1–2), 11–27 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gorsevski, P.V., Brown, M.K., Panter, K., Onasch, C.M., Simic, A.: Landslide detection and susceptibility mapping using LiDAR and an artificial neural network approach: a case study in the Cuyahoga Valley National Park Ohio. Landslides 13(3), 467–484 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  • Guzzetti, F., Carrara, A., Cardinali, M., Reichenbach, P.: Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study Central Italy. Geomorphology 31(1–4), 181–216 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  • Guzzetti, F., Reichenbach, P., Cardinali, M., Galli, M., Ardizzone, F.: Probabilistic landslide hazard assessment at the basin scale. Geomorphology. 72(1–4), 272–299 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  • Hasegawa, S., Nonomura, A., Nakai, S., Dahal, R.K.: Drainage density as rainfall induced landslides susceptibility index in small catchment area. Int. J. Landslide Environ. 1(1), 27–28 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  • Hervás, J., Barredo, J.I., Rosin, P.L., Pasuto, A., Mantovani, F., Silvano, S.: Monitoring landslides from optical remotely sensed imagery: the case history of Tessina landslide Italy.  Geomorphology 54(1–2), 63–75 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  • Hong, H., Chen, W., Xu, C., Ahmed, M., Youssef, B., Pradhan, Dieu Tien Bui: Rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility assessment at the Chongren area (China) using frequency ratio, certainty factor, and index of entropy. Geocarto Int. 32(2), 139–154 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Hong, H., Pradhan, B., Xu, C., Dieu Tien Bui: Spatial prediction of landslide hazard at the Yihuang area (China) using two-class kernel logistic regression, alternating decision tree and support vector machines. Catena. 133, 266–281 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang, F., Yao, C., Liu, W., Li, Y., Xiaowen Liu: Landslide susceptibility assessment in the Nantian area of China: a comparison of frequency ratio model and support vector machine. Geomatics Nat. Hazards Risk 9(1), 919–938 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  • Inc, S.P.S.S.: SPSS 16.0 for Windows (Version 16.0)[Computer Software]. Author, Chicago (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaur, H., Gupta, S., Parkash, S.: Comparative evaluation of various approaches for landslide hazard zoning: a critical review in indian perspectives. Spat. Inform. Res. 25(3), 389–398 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kirschbaum, D., Bach, R., Adler, Y., Hong, S., Hill, Lerner-Lam, A.: A global landslide catalog for hazard applications: method, results, and limitations. Nat. Hazards 52(3), 561–575 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kwan, J.S.H., Chan, S.L., Cheuk, J.C.Y., Koo, R.C.H.: A case study on an open hillside landslide impacting on a flexible rockfall barrier at Jordan Valley, Hong Kong. Landslides 11(6), 1037–1050 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, S.A.R.O.: Application of logistic regression model and its validation for landslide susceptibility mapping using GIS and remote sensing data. Int. J. Remote Sens. 26(7), 1477–1491 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, S., and Biswajeet Pradhan: Landslide hazard mapping at Selangor, Malaysia using frequency ratio and logistic regression models. Landslides. 4(1), 33–41 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  • Li, H., Chen, Y., Deng, S., Chen, M., Fang, T., Tan, H.: Eigenvector spatial filtering-based logistic regression for Landslide Susceptibility Assessment. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Information. 8(8), 332 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Li, Y., Zhou, R., Zhao, G., Li, H., Su, D., Ding, H., Yun, Z.Y.L.Y.K., Ma, C.: Tectonic uplift and landslides triggered by the Wenchuan earthquake and constraints on orogenic growth: Aa case study from Hongchun Gully, Longmen Mountains, Sichuan, China. Quatern. Int. 349, 142–152 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  • Ma, J., Tang, H., Hu, X., Bobet, A., Zhang, M., Zhu, T., Song, Y., Mutasim, A.M., M, E.E.: Identification of causal factors for the Majiagou landslide using modern data mining methods. Landslides. 14(1), 311–322 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Mantovani, F., Soeters, R., Van Westen, C.J.: Remote sensing techniques for landslide studies and hazard zonation in Europe. Geomorphology. 15(3–4), 213–225 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  • Martha, T.R., Roy, P., Jain, N., Khanna, K., Mrinalni, K., Kumar, K.V., Rao, P.V.N.: Geospatial landslide inventory of India—an insight into occurrence and exposure on a national scale. Landslides. 18(6), 2125–2141 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  • Mathew, J., Jha, V.K., Rawat, G.S.: Application of binary logistic regression analysis and its validation for landslide susceptibility mapping in part of Garhwal Himalaya, India. Int. J. Remote Sens. 28(10), 2257–2275 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  • Mohammady, M., Pourghasemi, H.R., Biswajeet Pradhan: Landslide susceptibility mapping at Golestan Province, Iran: a comparison between frequency ratio, Dempster–Shafer, and weights-of-evidence models. J. Asian Earth Sci. 61, 221–236 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  • Nadim, F., Kjekstad, O., Peduzzi, P., Herold, C., Jaedicke, C.: Global landslide and avalanche hotspots. Landslides. 3(2), 159–173 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  • NASA:. “Global Landslide Catalog.“ NASA. (2020). Accessed 27 June 2020https://data.nasa.gov/Earth-Science/Global-Landslide-Catalog/h9d8-neg4#About

  • Ozdemir, A., Tolga Altural: A comparative study of frequency ratio, weights of evidence and logistic regression methods for landslide susceptibility mapping: Sultan Mountains, SW Turkey. J. Asian Earth Sci. 64, 180–197 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  • Palenzuela, J.A., Marsella, M., Nardinocchi, C., Pérez, J.L., Fernández, T., J Chacón, and, Irigaray, C.: Landslide detection and inventory by integrating LiDAR data in a GIS environment. Landslides. 12(6), 1035–1050 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pardeshi, S.D., Sumant, E., Autade, Suchitra, S.P.: Landslide hazard assessment: recent trends and techniques. SpringerPlus 2(1), 523 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pham, B., Thai, D.T., Bui, I., Prakash, Dholakia, M.: Evaluation of predictive ability of support vector machines and naive Bayes trees methods for spatial prediction of landslides in Uttarakhand state (India) using GIS. J. Geomat. 10, 71–79 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pham, B., Thai, D.T., Bui, I., Prakash, Dholakia, M.B.: Hybrid integration of multilayer perceptron neural networks and machine learning ensembles for landslide susceptibility assessment at Himalayan area (India) using GIS. Catena 149, 52–63 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pham, B., Thai, I., Prakash, S.K., Singh, A., Shirzadi, H., Shahabi, Bui, D.T.: Landslide susceptibility modeling using reduced error pruning trees and different ensemble techniques: hybrid machine learning approaches. Catena 175, 203–218 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pham, B., Thai, I., Prakash, J., Dou, S.K., Singh, P.T., Trinh, H.T., Tran: Tu Minh Le, Tran Van Phong, Dang Kim Khoi, and Ataollah Shirzadi. 2019. “A novel hybrid approach of landslide susceptibility modelling using rotation forest ensemble and different base classifiers.“ Geocarto International:1–25

  • Popescu, M.E.: A suggested method for reporting landslide causes. Bull. Int. Assoc. Eng. Geol.-Bulletin de l’Assoc. Int. de Géologie de l’Ingénieur 50(1), 71–74 (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pradhan, B.: Landslide susceptibility mapping of a catchment area using frequency ratio, fuzzy logic and multivariate logistic regression approaches. J. Indian Soc. Remote Sens. 38(2), 301–320 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pradhan, B., Lee, S.: Landslide susceptibility assessment and factor effect analysis: backpropagation artificial neural networks and their comparison with frequency ratio and bivariate logistic regression modelling. Environ. Model. Softw. 25(6), 747–759 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pradhan, B., Seeni, M.I., Bahareh Kalantar: Performance evaluation and sensitivity analysis of expert-based, statistical, machine learning, and hybrid models for producing landslide susceptibility maps. In: Laser Scanning Applications in Landslide Assessment, pp. 193–232. Springer (2017)

  • Regmi, A., Deep, K.C., Devkota, K., Yoshida, B., Pradhan, H.R., Pourghasemi, T., Kumamoto, Aykut Akgun: Application of frequency ratio, statistical index, and weights-of-evidence models and their comparison in landslide susceptibility mapping in Central Nepal Himalaya. Arab. J. Geosci. 7(2), 725–742 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  • Sarkar, S., Kanungo, D.P., Patra, A.K., Kumar, P.: GIS based spatial data analysis for landslide susceptibility mapping. J. Mt. Sci. 5(1), 52–62 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharma, A., Sur, U., Singh, P., Rai, P.K., Prashant, K.S.: “Probabilistic landslide Hazard Assessment using statistical information value (SIV) and GIS techniques: A case study of Himachal Pradesh, India.“ Techniques for Disaster Risk Management and Mitigation:197–208. (2020)

  • Singh, P., Sharma, A., Sur, U., et al.: Comparative landslide susceptibility assessment using statistical information value and index of entropy model in Bhanupali-Beri region, Himachal Pradesh, India. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 23, 5233–5250 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00811-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sur, U., Singh, P., Meena, S.R.: Landslide susceptibility assessment in a lesser himalayan road corridor (India) applying fuzzy AHP technique and earth-observation data, Geomatics. Nat. Hazards Risk. 11(1), 2176–2209 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2020.1836038

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sur, U., Singh, P., Rai, P.K., et al.: Landslide probability mapping by considering fuzzy numerical risk factor (FNRF) and landscape change for road corridor of Uttarakhand, India. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 23, 13526–13554 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01226-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sur, U., Singh, P., Meena, S.R., Singh, T.N.: Predicting landslides susceptible zones in the lesser Himalayas by ensemble of per pixel and object-based models. Remote Sens. 14, 1953 (2022). https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14081953

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Süzen, M., Lütfi: Data driven bivariate landslide susceptibility assessment using geographical information systems: a method and application to Asarsuyu catchment, Turkey   Eng. Geol. 71(3–4), 303–321 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  • Thai Pham, B., Shirzadi, A., Shahabi, H., Omidvar, E., Singh, S.K., Sahana, M., Dawood Talebpour, Asl, Bin Ahmad, B., Kim Quoc, N., Lee, S.: Landslide susceptibility assessment by novel hybrid machine learning algorithms. Sustainability 11(16), 4386 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Varnes, D.J.: International association of engineering geology commission on landslides and other mass movements on slopes: Landslide hazard zonation: a review of principles and practice. Nat. Hazards, Series.  3. (1984)

  • Wang, Q., Li, W.: A GIS-based comparative evaluation of analytical hierarchy process and frequency ratio models for landslide susceptibility mapping. Phys. Geogr. 38(4), 318–337 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, Q., Li, W., Wu, Y., Pei, Y., Xing, M., Yang, D.: A comparative study on the landslide susceptibility mapping using evidential belief function and weights of evidence models. J. Earth Syst. Sci. 125(3), 645–662 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, Q., Guo, Y., Li, W., He, J., Wu, Z.: Predictive modeling of landslide hazards in Wen County, Northwestern China based on information value, weights-of-evidence, and certainty factor. Geomatics Nat. Hazards Risk 10(1), 820–835 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilson, J.B.: The twelve theories of co-existence in plant communities: the doubtful, the important and the unexplored. J. Veg. Sci. 22(1), 184–195 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  • Yilmaz, I.: Landslide susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio, logistic regression, artificial neural networks and their comparison: a case study from Kat landslides (Tokat—Turkey). Comput. Geosci. 35(6), 1125–1138 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  • Yin, K.L., and  Yan, T.Z.: Statistical prediction models for instability of metamorphosed rocks. International symposium on landslides. 5. (1988)

  • Zhang, J., He, P., Jie Xiao, and, Xu, F.: Risk assessment model of expansive soil slope stability based on Fuzzy-AHP method and its engineering application. Geomatics Nat. Hazards Risk. 9(1), 389–402 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Prafull Singh.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

I am hereby confirming as the corresponding Author of the paper that the no conflict of Interest for publication of this paper. The proposed paper is original and carried out by the authors.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Singh, P., Sur, U., Rai, P.K. et al. Landslide susceptibility prediction using frequency ratio model: a case study of Uttarakhand, Himalaya (India). Proc.Indian Natl. Sci. Acad. 89, 600–612 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s43538-023-00171-z

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s43538-023-00171-z

Keywords

Navigation