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Antidumping protection and welfare in a differentiated duopoly

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Abstract

This paper employs a two-country Cournot model to investigate the protection and welfare effects of an antidumping (AD) duty and a price-undertaking policy under different dumping measures (i.e., injury margin and dumping margin) in a differentiated duopoly. We show that the welfare levels of the host country and the world as a whole are lower under a price-undertaking policy than an AD-duty policy. However, the former is superior to the AD-duty policy in terms of protection. These results are robust even if the firms engage in Bertrand competition.

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Notes

  1. According to Article VI of the GATT, dumping occurs when the price charged in the export market is below the ‘normal’ or ‘fair’ value of the good. We can also verify the definition of dumping in EU regulation 384/96. In theoretical papers, it is usually assumed that dumping occurs if the ex-factory price of the foreign product sold in the domestic market is lower than the price of the product sold in the foreign market. However, in cases where the price information of the foreign market is inadequate, the government bases the fair value on the price in a third-country market. If the price information of the third-country market is inadequate, then the fair value is based on a constructed value for fair value using the investigated firm’s manufacturing costs, selling, general and administrative costs, profits, and packaging costs (e.g., Veugelers and Vandenbussche 1999; Vandenbussche et al. 2001; Falvey and Wittayarungruangsri 2006 and Wu et al. 2014, among others).

  2. Until the mid-1950s, AD was a trade policy that only eight countries—Canada, Australia, South Africa, the United States, Japan, France, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom—had.

  3. According to the Global Trade Protection Report 2009, the countries/regions which initiated antidumping investigations most frequently in 2008 were: India (28), Brazil (23), Turkey (22), Argentina (19), the EU (19), the US (19), China (14), Indonesia (7), Ukraine (7), Australia (6), Colombia (6), Korea (5), Canada (3), Pakistan (3), Chile (1), Israel (1), Mexico (1), and South Africa (1).

  4. Tharakan (1991) also indicates that, out of 249 affirmative case decisions between 1980 and 1987, as many as 72% were terminated by the acceptance of undertakings in the EEC. For more discussions and the importance of price undertaking, please refer to Stegemann (1990), Pauwels and Springael (2002), Moore (2005), Peng and Hwang (2008), and Ishikawa and Miyagiwa (2008).

  5. For the detail, please refer to: https://practiceguides.chambers.com/practice-guides/international-trade-2018/european-union/11-anti-dumping-measures.

  6. We shall investigate the Bertrand case in Sect. 5.

  7. Blonigen and Haynes (2002) indicate that the US Department of Commerce (USDOC) calculates the dumping margin based on the difference between the ex-factory foreign export price and the home price of the good. However, in cases where home market sales are inadequate, the USDOC then bases the fair value on the sale prices in third-country markets. In the US, the import duty is fixed at the level of the dumping margin (Horlick 1989).

  8. This kind of setup on AD duty can also be found in Veugelers and Vandenbussche (1999), Vandenbussche et al. (2001), Pauwels et al. (2001), Pauwels and Springael (2002), Wu et al. (2014), and Hansen and Nielsen (2014), among others.

  9. Since the AD duty calculation is based on the free-trade equilibrium, the model, strictly speaking, should have consisted of two periods, where in the first period, there is free trade and then in the second the AD duty is announced followed by trade under the duty. If the foreign firm recognizes this link, then it might find it profitable to modify the first-period sale to avoid the duty in the second period. This rationality is at the heart of the dynamic model of AD (for example, Reitzes 1993). In this paper, we employ a one-period model to simplify the analysis. It is implicitly assumed that the foreign firm is too naïve to recognize this link or it believes irrationally that there would be no AD investigations and duty imposition in the subsequent period. We are indebted to an anonymous referee for this helpful comment.

  10. In practice, the exporter has an option to reject the offer of price undertaking by the importing government, and if it rejects, an AD duty is applied. It implies that price undertakings occur only if \( \pi_{y}^{U} \, > \, \pi_{y}^{T} \); otherwise, the foreign firm would choose to pay the AD duty. We are indebted to a referee for the comment.

  11. It is worth noting that in the absence of this assumption, price undertaking may result in a mixed strategy equilibrium. Please refer to Krishna (1989) and Miyagiwa and Ohno (2009) for the related discussions and derivations.

  12. Since \( k \in (0,1) \), it is obvious that \( \delta \) and \( \chi \) are positive.

  13. We are indebted to an anonymous referee for drawing attention to this point.

  14. Since \( k \in (0,1) \), it is obvious that \( (16 - 24k + 12k^{2} - 2k^{3} )a + (12 + 8k - 17k^{2} + 6k^{3} )c_{x} \) is positive.

  15. We are indebted to a referee for suggesting this extension.

  16. The result could be different under different market or cost structures.

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Acknowledgements

This work was financially supported by the Center for Research in Econometric Theory and Applications (Grant no. 108L900204) from The Featured Areas Research Center Program within the framework of the Higher Education Sprout Project by the Ministry of Education (MOE) in Taiwan, and by the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), Taiwan, under Grant No. MOST 108-3017-F-002-003.

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Appendix

Appendix

We use this appendix to supplement the mathematical calculations in Sect. 5. We shall first show the derivations of results in Sect. 5.1 followed by those in Sect. 5.2.

By substituting (10), the equilibrium outputs under the DM regime, and (15), the equilibrium outputs under the IM regime, into the corresponding profit and welfare functions, we can compare the profits and welfare between DM and IM under the AD-duty policy as follows:

$$ \pi_{x}^{DM} - \pi_{x}^{IM} = \frac{{k(c_{x}^{D} - c_{x} )\Delta_{1} }}{{4(2 - k)^{4} (2 + k)^{4} }}, $$
$$ \pi_{y}^{DM} - \pi_{y}^{IM} = - \frac{{(c_{x}^{D} - c_{x} )\Delta_{2} }}{{(2 - k)^{4} (2 + k)^{4} }}, $$
$$ {\text{SW}}^{DM} - {\text{SW}}^{IM} = \frac{{(c_{x}^{D} - c_{x} )\Delta_{3} }}{{8(2 - k)^{3} (2 + k)^{3} }}, $$
$$ {\text{WW}}^{DM} - {\text{WW}}^{IM} = - \frac{{(c_{x}^{D} - c_{x} )\Delta_{4} }}{{8(2 - k)^{4} (2 + k)^{4} }}, $$

where,

$$ \Delta_{1} \equiv (32 - 16k - 6k^{2} + 3k^{3} )(a - c_{x} ) - (12 + 2k - k^{2} )kc_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{2} \equiv (16 - 10k - 3k^{2} + 2k^{3} )(a - c_{x} ) + (12 + 2k - k^{2} )c_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{3} \equiv (16 - 6k - k^{2} )(a - c_{x} ) - (12 - 12k - 6k^{2} )c_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{4} \equiv (64 - 56k - 4k^{2} + 10k^{3} - k^{4} )a + (16 + 48k - 20k^{2} - 4k^{3} + 6k^{4} )c_{x} . $$

Since \( c_{x} \, < \, (2 - k)a/2 \) by (4) and \( k \in \left( {0,1} \right) \), \( \Delta_{1} \), \( \Delta_{2} \), \( \Delta_{3} \), and \( \Delta_{4} \) are all positive. As a result, we can obtain that \( \pi_{x}^{DM} \, > \, \pi_{x}^{IM} \), \( \pi_{y}^{DM} \, < \, \pi_{y}^{IM} \), \( SW^{DM} \, > \, SW^{IM} \), and \( WW^{DM} \, < \, WW^{IM} \) if \( c_{x} \, < \, c_{x}^{D} \), where \( {{c_{x}^{D} \equiv ka ( 2- k )} \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{c_{x}^{D} \equiv ka ( 2- k )} {2(2 - k^{2} )}}} \right. \kern-0pt} {2(2 - k^{2} )}} \). This is the result in Sect. 5.1.1.

Similarly, we can derive the counterparts under the price-undertaking policy as follows:

$$ \pi_{x}^{DM} - \pi_{x}^{IM} = \frac{{k(c_{x}^{U} - c_{x} )\Delta_{5} }}{{4(2 - k^{2} )^{2} (2 + k)^{2} }}, $$
$$ \pi_{y}^{DM} - \pi_{y}^{IM} = - \frac{{(c_{x}^{U} - c_{x} )\left( {(1 + k)ka + (2 - k^{2} )c_{x} } \right)}}{{2(2 - k^{2} )(2 + k)^{2} }}, $$
$$ {\text{SW}}^{DM} - {\text{SW}}^{IM} = - \frac{{(c_{x}^{U} - c_{x} )\Delta_{6} }}{{8(2 - k^{2} )^{2} (2 + k)}}, $$
$$ {\text{WW}}^{DM} - {\text{WW}}^{IM} = - \frac{{(c_{x}^{U} - c_{x} )\Delta_{7} }}{{8(2 - k^{2} )^{2} (2 + k)^{2} }}, $$

where

$$ \Delta_{5} \equiv (8 - 3k^{2} )(a - c_{x} ) - (2 + k)kc_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{6} \equiv (8 - 10k - 3k^{2} + 4k^{3} )a - (4 - 10k - 2k^{2} + 4k^{3} )c_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{7} \equiv (16 - 4k - 8k^{2} + k^{3} )a + (8 + 16k - 2k^{2} - 6k^{3} )c_{x} . $$

Again, by utilizing \( c_{x} \, < \, (2 - k)a/2 \) and \( k \in \left( {0,1} \right) \), we find that \( \Delta_{5} \), \( \Delta_{6} \), and \( \Delta_{7} \) are all positive. Consequently, we can derive that \( \pi_{x}^{DM} \, > \, \pi_{x}^{IM} \), \( \pi_{y}^{DM} \, < \, \pi_{y}^{IM} \), \( SW^{DM} \, < \, SW^{IM} \), and \( WW^{DM} \, < \, WW^{IM} \) if \( c_{x} \, < \, ka/2(1 + k) \equiv c_{x}^{U} \). This is the result in Sect. 5.1.2.

We now show the detailed algebra for the results in Sect. 5.2 dealing with Bertrand competition. By routine calculations, we can derive the differences in terms of the profit of the domestic firm, the domestic social welfare, the world welfare, and the profit of the foreign firm under the two AD policies as follows:

$$ \pi_{x}^{T} - \pi_{x}^{U} = - \frac{{k^{2} ( 2- k^{2} ) ( ( 2+ k )a - 2c_{x} )\Delta_{8} }}{{16(4 - k^{2} )^{4} ( 1- k^{2} )}}, $$
$$ {\text{SW}}^{T} - {\text{SW}}^{U} = \frac{{k ( ( 2+ k )a - 2c_{x} )\Delta_{9} }}{{32(4 - k^{2} )^{3} ( 1- k^{2} )}}, $$
$$ {\text{WW}}^{T} - {\text{WW}}^{U} = \frac{{k(2 - k^{2} ) ( ( 2+ k )a - 2c_{x} )\Delta_{10} }}{{32(4 - k^{2} )^{4} ( 1- k^{2} )}}, $$
$$ \pi_{y}^{T} - \pi_{y}^{U} = \frac{{k ( 2a + ka - 2c_{x} )(\bar{c}_{x}^{DM} - c_{x} )}}{{8(4 - k^{2} )^{4} ( 1- k^{2} )}} \, > ( \le ) \, 0,{\text{ if }}c_{x} \, < ( \ge ) \, \bar{c}_{x}^{DM} , $$

where,

$$ \Delta_{8} \equiv (64 - 32k - 36k^{2} + 14k^{3} + 6k^{4} - k^{5} )(a - c_{x} ) - (32 - 14k^{2} + k^{4} )kc_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{9} \equiv (192 - 184k - 172k^{2} + 96k^{3} + 40k^{4} - 10k^{5} - k^{6} )a + (184k - 96k^{3} + 10k^{5} )c_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{10} \equiv (128 - 80k - 104k^{2} + 52k^{3} + 34k^{4} - 10k^{5} - 5k^{6} )a + (80k - 52k^{3} + 10k^{5} )c_{x} . $$

Note that the equilibrium output \( x^{T} \) under the DM regime is positive, which requires that \( c_{x} \, < \, {{\left( {(2 + k)(8 - 8k - k^{2} + 2k^{3} )a} \right)} \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{\left( {(2 + k)(8 - 8k - k^{2} + 2k^{3} )a} \right)} {2(8 - 5k^{2} + k^{4} )}}} \right. \kern-0pt} {2(8 - 5k^{2} + k^{4} )}} \). Utilizing this condition together with the assumption \( k \in \left( {0,1} \right) \), we can derive that \( \Delta_{8} \), \( \Delta_{9} \), and \( \Delta_{10} \) are all positive. Therefore, we can find that \( \pi_{x}^{T} \, < \, \pi_{x}^{U} \), \( {\text{SW}}^{T} \, > {\text{ SW}}^{U} \), and \( {\text{WW}}^{T} \, > {\text{ WW}}^{U} \) unconditionally and \( \pi_{y}^{T} \, > ( \le ) \, \pi_{y}^{U} ,{\text{ if }}c_{x} \, < ( \ge ) \, \bar{c}_{x}^{DM} . \) This is the result in Sect. 5.2.1.

Finally, we can derive the profit and welfare differences in Sect. 5.2.2 as follows:

$$ \pi_{x}^{T} - \pi_{x}^{U} = - \frac{{kc_{x} \Delta_{1 1} }}{{(2 + k)^{4} (2 - k )^{2} (1 - k)}}, $$
$$ {\text{SW}}^{T} - {\text{SW}}^{U} = \frac{{c_{x} \Delta_{12} }}{{2(2 + k)^{3} (2 - k )(1 - k^{2} )}}, $$
$$ {\text{WW}}^{T} - {\text{WW}}^{U} = \frac{{c_{x} \Delta_{13} }}{{2(2 + k)^{4} (2 - k )^{2} (1 - k)}}, $$
$$ \pi_{y}^{T} - \pi_{y}^{U} = \frac{{c_{x} (c_{x} - \bar{c}_{x}^{IM} )}}{{(2 + k)^{4} (2 - k)^{2} (1 - k^{2} )}} \, > ( \le ) \, 0,{\text{ if }}c_{x} \, > ( \le ) \, \bar{c}_{x}^{IM} , $$

where

$$ \Delta_{1 1} \equiv (8 - 2k^{3} - 6k^{2} ) (a - c_{x} )- ( 1 { + }k )kc_{x} , $$
$$ \Delta_{12} \equiv (12 + 2k - 10k^{2} - 4k^{3} ) (a - c_{x} )+ (5 + 6k - k^{2} - 2k^{3} )c_{x} > 0, $$
$$ \Delta_{13} \equiv (16 - 8k - 20k^{2} + 2k^{3} + 8k^{4} { + }2k^{5} )a + (12 + 20k - k^{2} - 11^{3} - 4k^{4} )c_{x} > 0. $$

It is straightforward to show that \( \Delta_{12} \) and \( \Delta_{13} \) are positive as \( k \in \left( {0,1} \right) \). Furthermore, it is worth noting that the equilibrium output \( x^{T} \) under the IM regime in Sect. 5.2.2 is positive, which requires that \( c_{x} \, < {{ \, \left( {(1 - k)(2 + k)^{2} a} \right)} \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{ \, \left( {(1 - k)(2 + k)^{2} a} \right)} {\left( {(4 + k - 2k^{2} - k^{3} )} \right)}}} \right. \kern-0pt} {\left( {(4 + k - 2k^{2} - k^{3} )} \right)}} \). Utilizing this condition together with the assumption of \( k \in \left( {0,1} \right) \), we can derive that \( \Delta_{1 1} \, > \, 0 \). Therefore, we have \( \pi_{x}^{T} \, < \, \pi_{x}^{U} \), \( {\text{SW}}^{T} \, > {\text{ SW}}^{U} \), \( {\text{WW}}^{T} \, > {\text{ WW}}^{U} \), and \( \pi_{y}^{T} \, > ( \le ) \, \pi_{y}^{U} ,{\text{ if }}c_{x} \, > ( \le ) \, \bar{c}_{x}^{IM} . \) This is the result in Sect. 5.2.2.

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Chang, RY., Hwang, H. & Peng, CH. Antidumping protection and welfare in a differentiated duopoly. JER 71, 421–446 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42973-019-00024-9

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