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Temperature simulation by numerical modeling and feedback of geostatic data and horizontal domain resolution

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Abstract

The accuracy of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) can be affected by multiple factors, including domain resolution, geostatic data, and model configuration. This study examined the sensitivity of simulated seasonal temperature to different geostatic data, horizontal domain resolutions, and configurations in Northeast Iran. During the investigation, the WRF model utilized Asymmetric Convective Model version 2 (ACM2) planetary boundary layer, WRF-single-moment-microphysics classes 6 (WSM6) Microphysic, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Long-wave/short-wave radiation parameterization schemes, and Climate Forecast System version2 (CFSV2) initial and boundary conditions from Nov 2019 to Feb 2020. The default (States Geological Survey (USGS)/ Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)) and high-resolution (ASTER/Copernicus) geostatic data and inner domain resolutions 3 and 6 km were set for model simulation. The results revealed that following the physical configuration, the model simulation’s highest sensitivity was associated with the domain resolution and geostatic data. Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) had approximately similar results in the 6 km domain for both geostatic data, but the Mean Bias (MB) showed a cold Bias. The MB results were warmer when the horizontal resolution increased from 6 to 3 km. To obtain reliable temperature simulation, WRF was more sensitive to horizontal domain resolution than geostatic data. However, the accuracy of geostatic data affected the distribution of temperature patterns. A greater error appeared in the lower horizontal domain resolution (6 km) and low-resolution geostatic data (default), especially in complex terrains.

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Data availability

All experiments evaluated in this study can be replicated following the methods described above, using the CFSv2 data available, as cited in (Saha et al. 2014), and the WRF 4.3 (Skamarock et al. 2021).The simulation products produced during this study.

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Acknowledgements

The authors sincerely thank the reviewers and the Editor of the Journal for reviewing the manuscript and providing critical comments to improve the quality of the paper. The authors acknowledge NASA for the public availability of datasets used in this study. In addition, the authors gratefully acknowledge the I.R. of Iran Meteorological Organization (IRIMO) for providing meteorological data from weather stations.

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This research was not supported by any fund research project.

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Correspondence to Hossein Mohammadi.

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Supplementary Information

The historical 2m temperature data are available from the irimo Data Portal at https://www.data.irimo.ir, the seasonal climatic parameters including 2m temperature data are available from the NASA Climate forecast Portal at https://cfs.ncep.noaa.gov/cfsv2/downloads.html, The land use static data are available from the Copernicus Portal at https://land.copernicus.eu/global/products/lc, and The topography static data are available https://gdemdl.aster.jspacesystems.or.jp/index_en.html.

All regulations and restrictions of data use can be found at their portals.

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Karakani, E.G., Mohammadi, H., Azizi, G. et al. Temperature simulation by numerical modeling and feedback of geostatic data and horizontal domain resolution. Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 10, 3845–3864 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-024-01990-9

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