Abstract
We show that the creation of new bank relationships was effective to ease the credit constraints of firms in the aftermath of the 2008–09 financial crisis: firms that started new bank relationships were able to maintain or even increase their outstanding loans. These firms were generally larger and better performers (higher profitability, investments and growth improved the possibility to start new credit relationships). On the opposite, access to new credit lines was more difficult for small and more opaque firms, for which a long-term relationship with their main bank has been the most effective way to mitigate financing constraints. Finally, geographical proximity matters for bank relationships: the closer the firms are to the lending banks, the lower is the probability of closing a credit relationship and the higher of starting a new one.
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Notes
Differences across banks have been related to their size and capitalization (Albertazzi and Marchetti 2010; Barboni and Rossi 2011), funding structure (Bonaccorsi di Patti and Sette 2012; Ivashina and Scharfstein 2010; Iyer et al. 2014) and internal organization (Del Prete et al. 2017). De Mitri et al. (2010) looked at the characteristics of bank relationships, showing that bank loans grew even during the crisis for firms with long-lasting relationships with banks.
In 2011 a new financial shock due to the Sovereign debt crisis within the euro area hit the Italian economy.
Detragiache et al. (2000), using a sample from the Survey of Industrial Firms by Mediocredito Centrale, show that the median firm has credit relationships with five different banks. However, the mode of the distribution of the number of credit relationships is equal to 3.
From the last data available, the accounts of the banks are reconstructed backwards in order to exclude closures or openings of credit relationships due to bank mergers or acquisitions and so avoid overestimating the number of bank relationships begun or ended.
The existence of a threshold is a source of concern owing to the possible confounding effect. When the credit line falls below the threshold, it is no longer detected by the Italian Central Credit Register. Our main concern is to avoid inflating the firms’ mobility because of the change in the threshold at the beginning of 2009 (from 75,000 euro to 30,000 euro). We therefore continue to assume a fictitious threshold of 75,000 euros, in order to neutralize all movements near the threshold. In other words, if we observe a credit relationship in period t but not in period t + 1, we consider this occurrence a real closure only if the amount of credit initially granted was greater than €75,000. Similarly, when we observe for the first time a credit relationship in period t, we consider it a real opening only if the new credit granted is above €75,000 in order to disregard small changes in the loans granted around the CR threshold. In this way we significantly reduce the confounding effects of the threshold. Following this rule, we increase the number of observations classified as stay (rather than switch, drop or open) by 5%. All the estimates were confirmed when we assumed either a fictitious threshold of 100,000 euros or none.
As robustness, the estimates are then replicated using a multinomial probit model. Results are confirmed. The estimates are available upon request.
We substitute firm balance-sheet variables at firm level with firm fixed effects.
To compute the duration of the credit relationship between the bank and the firm, we consider the first occurrence after the year 2000, in which it appears in the Credit Register.
However, at this stage, we cannot exclude that banks whose headquarters are located in the same geographical area of the firm may be “captured”; in other words banks may be induced by political and social context to financially support even not fully creditworthy firms.
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Acknowledgements
The authors wish to thank Monica Andini, Daniele Coin, Cristina Demma, Alessio d’Ignazio, Luca Giaccherini, Giorgio Gobbi, Paolo E. Mistrulli, Stefano Monferrà, Marcello Pagnini, Federico M. Signoretti, the participants at seminars held at the Bank of Italy and at the University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments and suggestions. All remaining errors are the responsibility of the authors alone. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Bank of Italy.
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Arnaudo, D., Micucci, G., Rigon, M. et al. Should I Stay or Should I Go? Firms’ Mobility Across Banks in the Aftermath of the Financial Crisis. Ital Econ J 5, 17–37 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40797-018-0081-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40797-018-0081-7