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The Influence of Rainfall Variation on Slope Stability: Case Study of Wanayasa Street Slope, Banjarnegara, Indonesia

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Abstract

This study aims to understand the rainfall characteristics in Karangkobar that potentially develop the rainfall threshold triggering a landslide in Banjarnegara-Karangkobar lane. To tackle the rainfall uncertainty, 11 years of rainfall data was employed to obtain three dominant rainfall models. The hydromechanical strength of soil was modeled numerically with the precipitation. Back analysis was presented to validate the model. The report provides the correlation of seepage flow and the safety factor of slope (FS) affected by the rainfall model. It resulted in a strong correlation between rainfall intensity to slope instability compared to rainfall duration. It is thus the slope failure mechanism identified as a debris flow rather than slope cracking. The slope result was relevant to understanding rainfall characteristics in Banjarnegara annually since 2014. The rainfall model proposed > 8 h rainfall duration and rainfall cumulative 45.6 mm or 5.7 mm/h intensity, as the rainfall threshold for the warning system in the study case area. This study report is applicable for the area where rainfall threshold is not available such as the Banjarnegara to Karangkobar route, which help the local citizens and policymakers decide on disaster management.

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Data Availability

All the datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the author upon reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

This research was founded by Internal funding Tridharma, 076/A.3-III/FT/I/2023 from Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta. This study is conducted under collaboration research between Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta and Soil Mechanic Laboratory work Universitas Gadjah Mada.

Funding

Tridharma funding, 076/A.3-III/FT/I/2023 from Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta, Surakarta, 57162, Indonesia

    Gayuh Aji Prasetyaningtiyas, Anto Budi Listyawan & Muhammad Najib Azhom

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Bengkulu, Bengkulu, 38371, Indonesia

    Lindung Zalbuin Mase

  3. Department Civil Engineering and Environment Department, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, 55284, Indonesia

    Ahmad Rifa’i & Teuku Faisal Fathani

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  1. Gayuh Aji Prasetyaningtiyas
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  2. Lindung Zalbuin Mase
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  5. Anto Budi Listyawan
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Contributions

Gayuh Aji Prasetyaningtiyas: Conceptualization, Methodology, Data Analysis, Visualization, Original Draft, Review-Editing, Project Administration. Lindung Zalbuin Mase: Vizualisation Original Draft, Data Analysis, Review-Editing. Ahmad Rifa’i: Data analysis. Teuku Faisal Fathani: Data analysis. Muhammad Najib Azhom: Visualization Original draft. Anto Budi Listyawan: Project Administration.

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Correspondence to Gayuh Aji Prasetyaningtiyas.

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Prasetyaningtiyas, G.A., Mase, L.Z., Rifa’i, A. et al. The Influence of Rainfall Variation on Slope Stability: Case Study of Wanayasa Street Slope, Banjarnegara, Indonesia. Transp. Infrastruct. Geotech. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40515-024-00376-9

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