Abstract
The 2001–2013 sum of positive temperatures (SPT) record, as a proxy of snow/ice ablation, has been obtained for the high-mountain glaciarized Munku-Sardyk massif, East Sayan Mountains, using daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The SPT (and ice melt) demonstrates a significant decreasing trend, with the highest values in 2001, 2002, and 2007, and the lowest in 2013. We have investigated relationships between potential summer ablation and synoptic-scale conditions over the study area. Increased summer ablation is associated with anticyclonic pressure field, secondary anticyclones with cloudless weather conditions, and low gradient field. Reduced ablation is strongly correlated with Arctic air invasions, cyclonic pressure field, and southern cyclones entailed the advection of cold air masses. Statistically significant correlations have been found between the SPT data and meridional circulation intensity and cyclonic/anticyclonic activity. Variability of regional atmospheric circulation conditions in the early 21st century resulted in change of high-mountain snow/ice melt regime and could lead to future change of the East Sayan glaciers.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ambach W (1974) The influence of cloudiness on the net radiation balance of a snow surface with high albedo. J Glaciol 13(67):73–84
Ananicheva MD, Kononova NK (2007) Relation of air temperature, precipitation and glacial mass balance with macro-circulation processes in north-western Siberia and Polar Urals. Data Glaciol Stud 103:58–67 (in Russian)
Belleflamme A, Fettweis X, Erpicum M (2014) Recent summer Arctic atmospheric circulation anomalies in a historical perspective. Cryosphere Disc 8:4823–4847. doi:10.5194/tcd-8-4823-2014
Bitz C, Battisti D (1999) Interannual to decadal variability in climate and the glacier mass balance in Washington, Western Canada, and Alaska. J Climate 12:3181–3196
Braithwaite R (2008) Temperature and precipitation climate at the equilibrium-line altitude of glaciers expressed by the degree-day factor for melting snow. J Glaciol 54(186):437–444. doi:10.3189/002214308785836968
Braithwaite R, Raper S (2007) Glaciological conditions in seven contrasting regions estimated with the degree-day model. Ann Glaciol 46:297–302
Draxler RR, Rolph GD (2013) HYSPLIT (HYbrid single-particle lagrangian integrated trajectory) Model access via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Air Resources Laboratory (ARL) website (http://www.arl.noaa.gov/HYSPLIT.php), College Park, MD
Fettweis X, Hanna E, Lang C, Belleflamme A, Erpicum M, Gallée H (2013) Brief communication “Important role of the mid-tropospheric atmospheric circulation in the recent surface melt increase over the Greenland ice sheet”. Cryosphere 7:241–248. doi:10.5194/tc-7-241-2013
Ganiushkin D, Chistyakov K, Kunaeva E (2015) Fluctuation of glaciers in the southeast Russian Altai and northwest Mongolia Mountains since the Little Ice Age maximum. Environ Earth Sci. doi:10.1007/s12665-015-4301-2
Hannah D, Gurnell A, McGregor G (1999) Identifying links between large-scale atmospheric circulation and local glacier ablation climates in the French Pyrenees. In: Interactions between the cryosphere, climate and greenhouse gases, Birmingham, pp 155–163
Hodge S, Trabant D, Krimmel R, Heinrichs T, March R, Josberger E (1998) Climate variations and changes in mass of three glaciers in western North America. J Climate 11:2161–2179
Ivanov EN, Plyusnin VM, Kitov AD, Kovalenko SN, Balyazin IV, Sofronov AP (2015) Inventory of nival-glacial geosystems in Lake Baikal area (East Siberia, Russia). Environ Earth Sci (this issue)
Josberger E, Bidlake W, March R, Kennedy B (2007) Glacier mass-balance fluctuations in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska, USA. Ann Glaciol 46:291–296
Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437–471
Kats AL (1960) Seasonal variations in the general circulation of the atmosphere and long-term forecasts. Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad (in Russian)
Malneva IV, Kononova NK (2012) Midflow activity in the territory of Russia and neighboring countries in the 21 century. GeoRisk 4:48–54 (in Russian)
Malygina NS, Zyablitskaya AG, Kononova NK, Barlyaeva TV, Ostanin OV, Papina TS (2014) Macro-circulation processes and precipitation in the Altai region. News Altai State Univ 3(83):151–155. doi:10.14258/izvasu(2014)3.1-27 (in Russian)
McCabe G, Fountain A (1995) Relations between atmospheric circulation and mass balance of South Cascade Glacier, Washington, USA. Arctic Ant Alp Res 27(3):226–233
McCabe G, Fountain A, Dyurgerov M (2000) Variability in winter mass balance of Northern Hemisphere glaciers and relations with atmospheric circulation. Arctic Ant Alp Res 32(1):64–72
Meier M, Dyurgerov M, McCabe G (2003) The health of glaciers: recent changes in glacier regime. Clim Change 59:123–135
Narozhniy Y, Zemtsov V (2011) Current state of the Altai glaciers (Russia) and trends over the period of instrumental observations 1952–2008. Ambio 40:575–588. doi:10.1007/s13280-011-0166-0
Ohmura A, Kasser P, Funk M (1992) Climate at the equilibrium line of glaciers. J Glaciol 38(130):397–411
Osipov EY, Osipova OP (2014) Mountain glaciers of southeast Siberia: current state and changes since the Little Ice Age. Ann Glaciol 55(66):167–176. doi:10.3189/2014AoG66A135
Osipov EY, Osipova OP (2015) Glaciers of the Levaya Sygykta River watershed, Kodar Ridge, southeastern Siberia, Russia: modern morphology, climate conditions and changes over the past decades. Environ Earth Sci. doi:10.1007/s12665-015-4352-4
Osipov EY, Ashmetiev AY, Osipova OP, Klevtsov EV (2013) New glacier inventory of the south-east of Eastern Sayan. Ice Snow 3(123):45–54 (in Russian)
Osipova OP (2011) Quantitative assessment of the atmospheric circulation intensity in southern East Siberia. Geogra Nat Resour 32(1):76–79. doi:10.1134/S1875372811010136
Osipova OP, Osipov EY (2014) Characteristics of the circulation regime over Kodar range during the glacier ablation period. Geogra Nat Resour 35(1):77–81. doi:10.1134/S1875372814010119
Plyusnin VM, Kitov AD, Kovalenko SN, Suvorov EG (2015) Modern changes of the high-mountain landscapes and glaciation in Southern Siberia (Russia) by the example of the Eastern Sayan Mountains. Environ Earth Sci (this issue)
Rolph GD (2013) Real-time Environmental applications and Display sYstem (READY) website (http://www.ready.noaa.gov), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Air Resources Laboratory (ARL), College Park, MD
Shahgedanova M, Stokes C, Gurney S, Popovnin V (2005) Interactions between mass balance, atmospheric circulation, and recent climate change on the Djankuat Glacier, Caucasus Mountains. Russia. J Geophys Res 110:D04108. doi:10.1029/2004JD005213
Shahgedanova M, Popovnin V, Aleynikov A, Petrakov D, Stokes C (2007) Long-term change, interannual and intra-seasonal variability in climate and glacier mass balance in the central Greater Caucasus, Russia. Ann Glaciol 46:355–361. doi:10.3189/172756407782871323
Stepanova OG, Trunova VA, Zvereva VV, Melgunov MS, Fedotov AP (2015) Reconstruction of glacier fluctuations in the East Sayan, Baikalsky and Kodar Ridges (East Siberia, Russia) during the last 210 years based on high-resolution geochemical proxies from proglacial lake bottom sediments. Environ Earth Sci (this issue)
Sun W, Qin X, Du W, Liu W, Liu Y, Zhang T, Xu Y, Zhao Q, Wu J, Ren J (2014) Ablation modeling and surface energy budget in the ablation zone of Laohugou glacier No. 12 western Qilian mountains China. Ann Glaciol 55(66):111–120. doi:10.3189/2014AoG66A902
Washington R, Hodson A, Isaksson E, Macdonald O (2000) Northern hemisphere teleconnection indices and the mass balance of Svalbard glaciers. Int J Climatol 20:473–487. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(200004)20:5<473:AID-JOC506>3.0.CO;2-O
Watson E, Luckman B, Yu B (2006) Long-term relationships between reconstructed seasonal mass balance at Peyto Glacier, Canada, and Pacific sea surface temperatures. The Holocene 16(6):783–790. doi:10.1191/0959683606hol973ft
Zhang G, Kang S, Fujita K, Huintjes E, Xu J, Yamazaki T, Haginoya S, Wei Y, Scherer D, Schneider C, Yao T (2013) Energy and mass balance of Zhadang glacier surface, central Tibetan Plateau. J Glaciol 59(213):137–148. doi:10.3189/2013JoG12J152
Acknowledgments
We are very grateful to three anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and suggestions. The study was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project ##15-05-04525_a) and FANO Program VIII.76.1.6 (0345-2014-0008). We are also grateful to the staff of scientific library of the Irkutsk Meteorological Office for assistance in collecting of weather maps.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Osipova, O.P., Osipov, E.Y. Relationship between recent climate change, ablation conditions of glaciers of the East Sayan Range, Southeastern Siberia, and atmospheric circulation patterns. Environ Earth Sci 74, 1947–1956 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-015-4488-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-015-4488-2