Skip to main content
Log in

Research and development project portfolio selection under uncertainty

  • Original Research
  • Published:
Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The problem of project portfolio selection consists in allocating resources (for instance money) to a set of proposals optimizing certain impact measures [Litvinchev et al. (J Comput Syst Sci Int 50(6):942–952, 2011)]. We develop a model that takes into account the following characteristics: projects tasks; different resources allocation policies; interdependence between tasks and/or projects; portfolio balancing rules; uncertainty in the overall budget; and uncertainty in the amount of resources requested by tasks. Uncertain parameters are represented as fuzzy triangular numbers and fuzzy programming is employed for solving the model with uncertainty. Computational results are presented for medium and large scale instances.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Archer NP, Ghasemzadeh F (1999) An integrated framework for project portfolio selection. Int J Project Manag 17(4):207–216

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arratia MNM, Lopez IF, Schaeffer S, Cruz-Reyes L (2016) Static R&D project portfolio selection in public organizations. Decis Support Syst 84:53–63

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campos L, Verdegay J (1989) Linear programming problems and ranking of fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy Sets Syst 32(1):1–11

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Carazo AF, Gómez T, Molina J, Hernández-Díaz AG, Guerrero FM, Caballero R (2010) Solving a comprehensive model for multiobjective project portfolio selection. Comput Oper Res 37(4):630–639

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Carazo AF, Núñez TG, Casas FMG, Fernández RC (2016) Evaluación y clasificación de las técnicas utilizadas por las organizaciones, en las últimas décadas, para seleccionar proyectos evaluation and classification of the techniques used by organizations in the last decades to select projects. Rev Met Cuant Para Econ Empresa 5:67–115

    Google Scholar 

  • Hsieh MY, Hsu YC, Lin CT (2016) Risk assessment in new software development projects at the front end: a fuzzy logic approach. J Ambient Intell Human Comput 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12652-016-0372-5

  • Jatoth C, Gangadharan GR, Fiore U (2016) Evaluating the efficiency of cloud services using modified data envelopment analysis and modified super-efficiency data envelopment analysis. Soft Comput 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-016-2267-y

  • Javanrad E, Pooya A, Kahani M, Farimani NM (2017) Designing a fuzzy expert system with a hybrid approach to select operational strategies in project-based organizations with a selected competitive priority. Ind Eng Manag Syst 16(1):129–140

    Google Scholar 

  • Litvinchev IS, López F, Alvarez A (2010) Large-scale public R&D portfolio selection by maximizing a biobjective impact measure. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 40(3):572–582

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Litvinchev I, López F, Escalante HJ, Mata M (2011) A MILP bi-objective model for static portfolio selection of R&D projects with synergies. J Comput Syst Sci Int 50(6):942–952

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Medaglia AL, Hueth D, Mendieta JC, Sefair JA (2008) A multiobjective model for the selection and timing of public enterprise projects. Soc Econ Plan Sci 42(1):31–45

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Namazian A, Yakhchali SH (2016) Modeling and solving project portfolio and contractor selection problem based on project scheduling under uncertainty. Proced Soc Behav Sci 226:35–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Perez F, Gomez T (2016) Multiobjective project portfolio selection with fuzzy constraints. Ann Oper Res 245(1–2):7–29

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Solak S, Clarke JPB, Johnson EL, Barnes ER (2010) Optimization of R&D project portfolios under endogenous uncertainty. Eur J Oper Res 207(1):420–433

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Stummer C, Heidenberger K (2003) Interactive R&D portfolio analysis with project interdependencies and time profiles of multiple objectives. IEEE Trans Eng Manag 50(2):175–183

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang Y, Luo S, Gao J (2017) Uncertain extensive game with application to resource allocation of national security. J Ambient Intell Human Comput 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12652-017-0538-9

  • Yan S, Ji X (2017) Portfolio selection model of oil projects under uncertain environment. Soft Comput 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-017-2619-2

  • Zhang W, Reimann M (2014) A simple augmented-constraint method for multi-objective mathematical integer programming problems. Eur J Oper Res 234(1):15–24

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This paper is dedicated to the First EAI International Conference on Computer Science and Engineering, 11–12 November 2016, Golden Sands Resort, Penang, Malaysia. The authors would like to thank anonymous referees for their comments and suggestions. This work was partially supported by CONACYT, Mexico (Project No. 280081).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nancy M. Arratia-Martinez.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Arratia-Martinez, N.M., Caballero-Fernandez, R., Litvinchev, I. et al. Research and development project portfolio selection under uncertainty. J Ambient Intell Human Comput 9, 857–866 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12652-017-0564-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12652-017-0564-7

Keywords

Navigation